Selzer national poll: Clinton leads GOP field by 6-13 points

[Mr. Morden]

Selzer national poll:

http://images.businessweek.com/cms/2014-12-06/14_15_22.pdf

Clinton 43%
Bush 37%

Clinton 42%
Christie 36%

Clinton 46%
Cruz 33%

Clinton 45%
Paul 37%

Clinton 45%
Romney 39%

fav/unfav %:

Clinton 52/42% for +10%
Paul 32/29% for +3%
Biden 45/43% for +2%
Christie 36/35% for +1%
Romney 43/44% for -1%
Cruz 26/29% for -3%
Bush 32/37% for -5%

[Tender Branson]

This poll assumes a turnout of 75% likely voters.

Probably too Democratic as well because of this and too many undecided.

[Lief 🗽]

Good, good. As 2014 proved, Selzer (along with Marquette and Vox Populi) is the gold standard polling firm.

I look forward to the usual concern trolls on twitter and at (the thoroughly discredited) 538 ignoring this poll though, so that they continue pushing their "CLINTON IS DOOMED" narrative.

[IceSpear]

Selzer is the best pollster. Wonderful news!

RIP GOP

[IceSpear]

Clinton 52/42% for +10%
Paul 32/29% for +3%
Biden 45/43% for +2%
Christie 36/35% for +1%
Romney 43/44% for -1%
Cruz 26/29% for -1%
Bush 32/37% for -5%

b-b-b-b-b-but hillz is unpoplar

[Ljube]

Name recognition, guys!

[Skill and Chance]

Name recognition, guys!

I'd focus more on the relative approvals, which do suggest Clinton has a real but not insurmountable advantage over that GOP field.

[Ljube]

Name recognition, guys!

I'd focus more on the relative approvals, which do suggest Clinton has a real but not insurmountable advantage over that GOP field.

I agree. Her favorabilities are higher than I expected.
We'll see if that holds when the campaign starts and she starts going negative on her opponent for lack of meaningful ideas.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hilary proves herself in another poll despite the likes of Romney, Jeb or Christie.

[pbrower2a]

6% margin for Hillary:

13% margin for Hillary:

[Mehmentum]

This poll assumes a turnout of 75% likely voters.

Probably too Democratic as well because of this and too many undecided.

Actually, most of the people who didn't chose either candidate are under the category Other/would not vote, which were all voluntary responses.  Only 2 to 5% were undecided.

If you exclude this group the percentages look like:
Clinton: 52% Bush: 45%
Clinton: 52% Romney: 45%
Clinton: 51% Christie: 44%
Clinton: 53% Paul: 44%
Clinton: 55% Cruz: 39%

[Landslide Lyndon]

Another ugly poll for Bush. Seems to me that W.'s stench is still strong enough.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Jeb is just like Romney 52-48% for Clinton

[C9xV63H5]

Hillary Clinton is so far ahead of the others?

Wow.

[Türkisblau]

Hillary Clinton is so far ahead of the others?

Wow.

Eh, I wouldn't count it as anything special. I think that it's name recognition more than anything. Once campaign season starts, I expect her to start doing a bit worse in these polls.

This is basically Presumptive Nominee vs. Fractured, Non-unified Field so of course she would do well.

[pbrower2a]

We can expect to see few polls until the New Year. So far I have seen polls since November 4th as binary matchups -- and Hillary Clinton wins New Jersey very decisively and New Hampshire decisively but in a tie to winning slightly in North Carolina. The Republican nominee must win North Carolina by 7% or more and have New Hampshire as a toss-up to have a real chance of winning.   

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Hillary Clinton is so far ahead of the others?

Wow.

Eh, I wouldn't count it as anything special. I think that it's name recognition more than anything. Once campaign season starts, I expect her to start doing a bit worse in these polls.

This is basically Presumptive Nominee vs. Fractured, Non-unified Field so of course she would do well.

Exactly. In May 2003, Bush led Kerry 55-27.  Bush was of course going to be the nominee, while the 2004 Democratic primary was certainly non-unified. 18 months later, that 28 point lead turned into a 2.46 point margin.

[IceSpear]

Hillary Clinton is so far ahead of the others?

Wow.

Eh, I wouldn't count it as anything special. I think that it's name recognition more than anything. Once campaign season starts, I expect her to start doing a bit worse in these polls.

This is basically Presumptive Nominee vs. Fractured, Non-unified Field so of course she would do well.

Romney's name recognition is just as high as Hillary's.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Hillary Clinton is so far ahead of the others?

Wow.

Eh, I wouldn't count it as anything special. I think that it's name recognition more than anything. Once campaign season starts, I expect her to start doing a bit worse in these polls.

This is basically Presumptive Nominee vs. Fractured, Non-unified Field so of course she would do well.

Romney's name recognition is just as high as Hillary's.

Bush isn't exactly unknown either.