NJ-Quinnipiac: Hillary would win New Jersey easily

[Tender Branson]

2016:

50-39 Hillary/Christie
52-35 Hillary/Romney
53-31 Hillary/Bush
55-31 Hillary/Paul

Favorables:

58-35 Hillary
45-47 Christie
25-32 Paul
25-35 Bush
36-48 Romney

Obama approval:

46-50 disapprove

From December 3 - 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,340 registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2118

[Landslide Lyndon]

I'd expect Bush to perform better in a state full with Country Club Republicans.

[Mehmentum]

Hillary's margin over Romney (which I'll use as a baseline since he should have very high name recognition) is essentially identical to Obama's 2008 and 2012 margins.  

Her 58% favorable rating basically matches the % of the vote Obama got in the state in 2008 and 2012 (that assumes everyone who has a neutral opinion of her votes against her, of course).

[IceSpear]

Dominating!

Hillary wins more Republicans than Christie does Democrats. lol

[Oregreen]

Not a big surprise. New Jersey is a solid Democratic state.

[Xing]

Well, I think we can agree that New Jersey will almost certainly not be in play.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

I'd expect Bush to perform better in a state full with Country Club Republicans.

We are not FULL of country club Repubs, but the Repubs that ARE here tend to be of that category, yes.  Those people do not necessarily hate the Clintons. 

Well, I think we can agree that New Jersey will almost certainly not be in play.

It will not.  Christie is far, far past his days of being a very popular governor in this state.  Would you believe that being seen in Jerry Jones' luxury box was rough on his image?  : P

[Obnoxiously Slutty Girly Girl]

Republicans would be foolish to waste a cent trying to compete in New Jersey regardless of whether Christie or J. Bush is the nominee. G.W. Bush 2004 is probably the strongest any Republican can do in New Jersey, and that year's results were largely the result of a unique 9/11 effect.