Queensland State Election- January 31, 2015

[lilTommy]

What kind of seat count would the produce? The trend has to be good for the ALP who have broken even at this point.
With Campbell Newman having higher approval ratings would this favour LNP returning to government?
Is Katter's Australian Party with 3 seats already that they will gain anymore? possibly picking up old National vote?

[lilTommy]

Labor to either win or go very close to victory. You heard it here first.

We're talking about Queensland. They won't elect a Premier with a name like that.

Ouch, Labor's leader is Polish born, not a "new" immigrant? would that really be an issue?... but having said that, is/was Queensland not the home of Hanson and One Nation?

[lilTommy]

If anything is to be learnt from the VIC campaign it is that starting a campaign early is better than a late push. So, I'd expect the LNP have been planning this for quite some time if it really is soon and are hoping to catch Labor out.

Is Labor likely to be caught that off guard? they seem to have already nominated most candidates which would have been one the worse cases with an early election (not having a candidate puts you weeks behind)

[lilTommy]

I think Abbott is living on borrowed time, but we should see how the staking horse does first. Nightmare scenario for the LNP is for a close leadership to divide the frontbench but Abbott to survive.

Bishop I feel is a more likely choice - Turnbull is utterly despised by half the party.

Recently it seems Aussie parties have the knives out at the ready all the time... Rudd-Gillard-Rudd in the ALP while in government and now potentially something similar with Abbott and the Liberals, Any idea why that is?