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Velasco
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« Reply #75 on: January 29, 2015, 05:13:32 pm »
« edited: January 29, 2015, 05:19:40 pm by Velasco »

The joint candidacy between Podemos and Ganemos (a platform created a year ago to rally political organizations and social movements in the left) will constitute an "instrumental party" to run in the municipal elections in Madrid. The name of the party will be decided next month in a "citizen's assembly", according to Ganemos spokeswoman Celia Mayer. The candidates will be elected in a primary election that will take place in March. "In neither case" said "instrumental party" will form a coalition with IU, that is to say, IU must run in the primaries or they will be out of the candidacy.

The IU regional leadership (the 'old guard') intended a deal in which the places in the list were agreed between forces, as well as preserving the name of the organisation. However Mauricio Valiente, the IU elected candidate for the mayoralty, expressed before his will of running in the Ganemos primaries. Valiente attended the press release with Tania Sánchez, who was elected to top the IU list for the Madrid Regional Assembly. The Sánchez-Valiente tandem won the primaries held recently in IU and both are opposed to the 'old guard' which still rules the organisation in Madrid. Tania Sánchez raises suspicion among some people in the 'old guard', partly due to her relationship with Podemos leader Pablo Iglesias.

Tania Sánchez is backed by Alberto Garzón, the national deputy who will be in all likelihood the top IU candidate for the next general election. However, Garzón admitted days ago that she would be removed as candidate if Sánchez is formally accused of alleged wrongdoing during her tenure as councilor in Rivas, a town next to Madrid. PP filed a grievance against her for having allegedly favoured his brother's enterprise to get a contract with the Rivas municipality.

The press release to announce the joint candidacy was attended as well by Podemos municipal secretary Jesús Montero and Inés Sabanés (former IU councilor herself) from Equo.

So far, PSOE and UPyD have nominated candidates for the mayoralty of Madrid. Regional deputy and economist Antonio Miguel Carmona will top the PSOE list, whereas UPyD nominated its current municipal spokesman David Ortega. The PP candidate will depend on the decision of Mariano Rajoy.
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Velasco
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« Reply #76 on: January 31, 2015, 04:01:13 am »

The IU's national executive held an extraordinary meeting yesterday, in order to deal with the crisis of the organisation in Madrid. As said in the previous post, IU in Madrid is divided between the supporters of the regional executive and those of Tania Sánchez -candidate elect for the next regional election-. It was discused a procedure of expulsion against municipal and regional spokesmen, Ángel Pérez and Gegorio Gordo. The motivation of such procedure is that both performed "political responsibilities" in the past 20 years, when IU participated in the distribution of positions in Caja Madrid (later merged into Bankia). Ángel Pérez and Gregorio Gordo held the position of regional coordinator during that period. Despite Alberto Garzón required an immediate expulsion, national leader Cayo Lara submitted a more moderate resolution which consists in "disowning politically" Pérez and Gordo and opening a file against both. To make things more complex, it's questionable that the IU national executive is competent to take disciplinary measures against the regional leadership, because IU in Madrid has a separate legal personality.   

Meanwhile, the Podemos "March for Change" takes place today. Podemos expects to flood the centre of Madrid, in order to demonstrate its public support. The March will end at Plaza del Sol, an emblematic place for the indignados movement. Front de Gauche's Jean Luc Melenchon, anti-eviction activist and Guanyem spokeswoman Ada Colau and several member of the PSOE's leftist faction have confirmed their attendance. Podemos informed that local círculos and supporters have chartered 260 buses from several places across Spain. Around 100 people offered their cars to travel to Madrid and others living in the city offered their homes.

Syriza's victory in Greece has given a boost to the Spanish party but, on the other hand, the organisation feels that it's under "scrutiny" and politically motivated attacks.

Juan Carlos Monedero, one of the most notorious leaders of Podemos, has been criticised after an online paper revealed that he billed 425,000 Euros in his own enterprise. That money was received in exchange for consultancy works -he advised several Latin American countries (Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia and Nicaragua, among others) on the creation of a single currency. Monedero's enterprise was registered in Spain and paid taxes for that money, although some people say that he should have paid a share to the Complutense University, where he is professor. The money was used in financing La Tuerka, a political show produced by Pablo Iglesias and broadcasted by local TVs.

In the news, PP and PSOE seek to finalise an anti-terrorist agreement. PSOE accepts reluctantly PP's reintroduction of life sentences to save cross-party deal:

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/01/30/inenglish/1422640052_611838.html

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Thomas from NJ
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« Reply #77 on: January 31, 2015, 10:25:00 pm »

http://electomania.es/sigma-dos-utn-31-01-2015/

PP: 27,1%
Podemos: 26,3%
PSOE: 21,4%
C's: 5,0%
IU: 4,8%
UPyD: 4,0%
CiU: 2,5%
ERC: 2,4%
Others: 6,5%
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Velasco
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« Reply #78 on: February 01, 2015, 04:14:55 am »

Plaza del Sol yesterday. The Podemos "March for Change" gathered between 100k (according to municipal police) and 300k (according to organisation) people. El País estimated 153k. In any case, this is the starting point of the Podemos campaign. "This is the year of change", said Pablo Iglesias.


Andalusia: Regional elections. Sigma Dos/El Mundo

PSOE 34.7%, PP 30.2%, Podemos 15.6%, IU 8.2%, UPyD 3.5%, C's 3.4%, Others 4.4%

Sample: 1800. Fieldwork: Jan 26-29.
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Velasco
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« Reply #79 on: February 02, 2015, 03:12:50 am »
« Edited: February 02, 2015, 06:22:56 am by Velasco »

Pedro Sánchez called for "unity, strength and go out to win" in the next elections. PSOE held a conference of territorial leaders past weekend, marked by the absence of Andalusian premier Susana Díaz, affected by a strong influenza (given her state of pregnancy, doctors discouraged her to take medication). Pedro Sánchez vindicated PSOE as the only alternative to PP: socialists are the "serious left" and the the ones whom fear PP. The socialist leader avoided mentioning Podemos, but accused them of being fuelled by disenchantment: "Spain cannot stand those whom seek recovery for the more privileged 10%, nor those whom fish in the troubled waters of disenchantment". Later, Sánchez picked out the main lines of his project of "safe change" that will create opportunities for Spaniards: "No more mass redundancies in companies with profits. No more rescued banks denying credit for self-employed workers. No more vulture funds evicting poor families (the Madrid Council sold social housing to Goldman Sachs and other funds, in order to balance the cash; families are subject of real estate mobbing). No more exorbitant salaries in companies that pay misery salaries to their employees". Programme highlights will be the creation of funds of active employment policies and to facilitate the return of economic expatriates; and fighting evictions by creating a network of social rented housing or negotiating a "debt restructuring" between the threatened families and the banks.

Jean Luc Mélenchon was in Madrid to attend the Podemos "March for Change". Previously he met with Alberto Garzón from IU. "The left is dead if it doesn't convince the middle class"


Two polls depicting parallel realities.

Simple Lógica:

Podemos 30.8%, PP 24.5%, PSOE 18.6%, UPyD 6.4%, C's 5.8%, IU 4.6%.

http://www.simplelogica.com/iop/iop15001-intencion_voto_popularidad_lideres.asp

Celeste-Tel / El Diario

PP 31.1%, PSOE 23.8%, Podemos 20.9%, IU 4.7%, C's 4.5%, UPyD 2.7%

http://www.eldiario.es/politica/PP-levemente-aspiraciones-electorales-consolida_0_352065037.html
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« Reply #80 on: February 02, 2015, 03:24:50 am »


Two polls depicting parallel realities.

Simple Lógica:

Podemos 30.8%, PP 24.5%, PSOE 18.6%, UPyD 6.4%, C's 5.8%, IU 4.6%.

http://www.simplelogica.com/iop/iop15001-intencion_voto_popularidad_lideres.asp

Celeste-Tel / El Diario

PP 31.1%, PSOE 23.8%, Podemos 20.9%, IU 4.7%, C's 4.5%, UPyD 2.7%

http://www.eldiario.es/politica/PP-levemente-aspiraciones-electorales-consolida_0_352065037.html

Methodological differences?
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Velasco
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« Reply #81 on: February 02, 2015, 04:51:35 am »
« Edited: February 02, 2015, 06:36:40 am by Velasco »


Sure. I have reasons to believe that polls are going to be increasingly unreliable. Either for the volatility of the electorate and the difficulty of making predictions in an unprecedented scenario, or maybe because fear is installed among certain people and pollsters might be tempted to adjust their methods. Actually, I don't know.

Edit / on the reliability of pollsters:

There is consensus in regarding the CIS polls as the best in collecting raw data, given the size of the samples and the professionalism in which they are conducted. However, the CIS is not necessarily the best in vote estimation. As for the latter, right now I tend to trust more in Invymark, MyWord or GESOP, based on their level of success in the past EP elections and my subjective perception. It's my understanding that NCReport, GAD3, Celeste-Tel, Metroscopia and other pollsters are quite unreliable. I'd say Sigma Dos is professional, but it has certain anti-PSOE bias (just the opposite to Metroscopia).
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« Reply #82 on: February 02, 2015, 09:46:09 am »

If the PP remained the largest party but Podemos and PSOE had a clear majority between them - what would happen? Would PSOE go into a "grand coalition" with PP or would PSOE and Podemos form a "Popular Front-style" leftwing coalition?
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Velasco
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« Reply #83 on: February 02, 2015, 09:57:31 am »

I would dismiss the idea of a "Popular Front" of any kind. The general election can place PSOE in the situation of being the kingmaker. In spite of themselves, they'll have to make a decision. Maybe they would take the easy way, allowing a PP minority government but not taking part in an electorally suicidal "Grosse Koalition".
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« Reply #84 on: February 02, 2015, 10:28:10 am »

Surely the lesson from Greece is that if the PSOE made any kind of a deal with the PP that would mainatin a rightwing government - the following election would see the PSOE reduced to less than 5% of the vote and becoming even smaller than the Communists...
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« Reply #85 on: February 02, 2015, 12:02:30 pm »

Could PSOE simply refuse to ally with either party and keep triggering elections until someone can form a majority government or a working minority, like Ireland 1981-1982 or Greece 1989-1990?
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Velasco
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« Reply #86 on: February 02, 2015, 01:43:35 pm »

I don't see it. Imagine an scenario in which PP comes first, Podemos second and PSOE third. It seems to me that triggering a new election might have the consequence of PSOE suffering a loss of voters to Podemos, given the predictable polarisation of the electorate. I think it'd be a bad strategy on the part of the Spanish socialists.

If you have to trust Pedro Sánchez, the only workable solution for him is a PSOE minority government (I guess propped up by Podemos or PP, depending on issues). On the other hand, there's no tradition in Spain of coalition governments at national level, although it exists at regional and local levels. In all likelihood, we'll see a wide range of coalition deals or governability pacts in regions and municipalities. It's complicated to make predictions at this moment.

Under our current electoral system, a workable PP minority would need getting around 34% of the vote, providing that Podemos+PSOE+IU are below 44%. Someone made the calculation here:

http://politikon.es/2014/09/03/dhondt-vota-podemos/


Right now, PP is polling at best around 30% (27% on average). Podemos is around 25% on average, PSOE at 21% and IU slightly below the 5% line. If you look at the graph above, with those percentages the intersection of X and Y axes falls in the red colour.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_Spanish_general_election,_2015#Election_polling
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #87 on: February 02, 2015, 01:50:35 pm »

A question worth asking is whether Podemos can sustain the support they're currently registering in the polls; those that rise quickly can fall just as fast.

(though, against that, it can be pointed out that the government is unpopular and that the PSOE doesn't seem capable of articulating whatever the hell it is they stand for these days).
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« Reply #88 on: February 02, 2015, 08:58:51 pm »

If there is a difficulty forming a government, could there be a constitutional role for the King?

One possible outcome of the election results on the current polling is that nobody can form a government, but PP and PSOE could, in principle, agree on a technocratic government. Would Felipe be capable of mediating this sort of an outcome?
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Velasco
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« Reply #89 on: February 03, 2015, 03:23:45 am »

The constitution says that the king has "arbitral" and "moderating" functions, attached to the character of "invariable neutrality" consubstantial with his figure. The limits of his moderating functions are open to interpretation, as you can read in the last paragraphs quoted below. I guess that Felipe VI could mediate in the formation of a 'technocratic' government at the request of PP and PSOE.

http://www.congreso.es/consti/constitucion/indice/sinopsis/sinopsis.jsp?art=62&tipo=2

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On a side note, there's another Felipe who advocates for a PP-PSOE coalition if it's needed "for the good of the country". Former PM Felipe González, to be precise.

http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2014/05/12/actualidad/1399875819_660624.html
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Velasco
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« Reply #90 on: February 03, 2015, 04:00:16 am »

A question worth asking is whether Podemos can sustain the support they're currently registering in the polls; those that rise quickly can fall just as fast.

(though, against that, it can be pointed out that the government is unpopular and that the PSOE doesn't seem capable of articulating whatever the hell it is they stand for these days).

Indeed. The Podemos people is aware that sustaining the level of support they currently enjoy is not going to be easy. This is going to be a long and tough year for them, too. Their first concern is that polls in Andalusia are not as favourable for them as they are in other regions. They need a good result there to have chances in a general election. Also, the 'two souls' inside Podemos are still struggling to reach a deal in Andalusia. On the other hand, I think the Podemos support is not going to fall abruptly. The reason is that it's sustained in a sociological undercurrent, a general dissatisfaction with the inefficient and corrupt political and economical elites. Podemos has reached its current status because they have been able to connect with that mood, as well as they represent a factor of hope and illusion for many people. As long as the mainstream parties (PP and PSOE) continue to be incapable of reforming themselves, as well as to reform a system running out of steam, I think Podemos is here to stay.
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Velasco
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« Reply #91 on: February 03, 2015, 08:46:03 pm »

Some notes on the Andalusian elections.

- According to Infolibre, the two main factions inside Podemos - the one led by MEP Teresa Rodríguez and the another led by Sergio Pascual, close to the Pablo Iglesias' team- have reached some kind of draft agreement to run a single list of candidates. Apparently Teresa Rodríguez is going to be the top candidate, although union leader Diego Cañamero (SAT) will be excluded at the request of the Sergio Pascual faction.

Cañamero was previously in IU as member of the CUT party, led by the Marinaleda mayor Juan Manuel Sánchez Gordillo. He left in December with other CUT members, because of a strong disagreement with the PSOE-IU coalition government. Later they joined Podemos and it was rumoured that all the CUT would follow, including Sánchez Gordillo. The controversial mayor of Marinaleda stated months ago feeling much more closer to Podemos than IU. Diego Cañamero and his partners are close to Teresa Rodríguez and he was mentioned as a possible top candidate.

Days ago Luis Alegre, who is member of the Podemos' national executive, said in an interview that Andalusia was not a region in which they have chances of winning. Alegre rectified later that statement, which didn't make Teresa Rodríguez happy for obvious reasons. Previously Alegre said that Podemos would not facilitate a PP government, as well as he conditioned possible dealings with PSOE to an "implacable commitment" against corruption.

- PP regional leader Juan Manuel Moreno offered Susana Díaz a "Grand Coalition" or some kind of governability pact, in order to prevent that Podemos governs ("it'd be a chaos", he said). The offer looks like a poisoned sweet for the socialists.

- Susana Díaz, on her part, rejected deals with PP and Podemos. PP is discarded because she doesn't want dealings with the party which has caused "a lot harm to the people". Podemos because she won't have dealings with "whom insult us".

- Finally, the former deputy premier Diego Valderas (IU) says that "the new electoral map will take us to be in a territory of permanent dialog with Susana Díaz and PSOE", showing that the "political anger" with Susana Díaz could go down in history. I ignore what's the opinion of the new regional coordinator Antonio Maíllo.


The CIS January survey will be released soon. Apparently not good news for PSOE at national level. The last survey was in October and the socialists were still in second place.
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Velasco
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« Reply #92 on: February 04, 2015, 08:13:43 am »

CIS, January 2015:

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Velasco
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« Reply #93 on: February 05, 2015, 08:41:28 am »
« Edited: February 05, 2015, 11:22:48 am by Velasco »

The internal chasm inside IU Madrid (IUCM) has deepened in the last days. Tania Sánchez, candidate elect for the next regional election, has left the IUCM membership and her seat in the Regional Assembly (thus, she won't be the IU candidate). Sánchez intends to create a new party aimed to converge in a "popular unity candidacy". A couple of days ago, the PCE branch in Madrid broke ties with the IUCM, pledging allegiance to the IU's federal executive. Sánchez, however, won't seek IU's approval . Instead, she aims to rally around her new party those who believe that there's a chance of unseating the PP regional government. But Podemos still intends to run its own list in the regional elections. Unless they change their strategy, "popular unity" candidacies including Podemos are only possible at local level (using various legal formulas, such as independent lists or the "instrumental party" that will run in the city of Madrid). Meanwhile, the IUCM 'old guard' is determined to stay, regardless several IU leaders have asked them to leave. The attitude of Cayo Lara and the federal executive has been hesitant and irresolute in tackling the crisis in Madrid, which is one of the most important regional federations in IU.

Edit: Pablo Iglesias offered Tania Sánchez and those who believe that "change is possible" to join the Podemos candidacy, although he says that respects the decisions of members of other organisations. "I would be delighted that all the good people would assume that Podemos is their instrument, but we are going to respect them if they think their instruments are others", said iglesias.
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Velasco
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« Reply #94 on: February 07, 2015, 06:22:01 am »

- Tania Sánchez has discarded joining Podemos. She and her followers (IUCM dissidents) will seek to create a space for "change and popular unity". The potential IU candidate Alberto Garzón was understanding with her departure, blaming the current IUCM leadership which should have taken political responsibilities for the involvement in corruption scandals of former IU representatives in Caja Madrid. Other IU leaders have criticised her decision. Sánchez won't seek that her new party replace IUCM as the IU's referent in Madrid, although she hopes meeting her former partners along the way, as well to find a formula to cooperate with them and Podemos in a "popular unity candidacy".

- Juan Carlos Monedero (who is the Podemos nº3 behind Pablo Iglesias and Íñigo Errejón) submitted on Jan 29 a complementary tax return, paying around 130,000 additional Euros to the Treasury. That amount was paid order to regularise the taxes he paid in 2013 for the income he received from several Latin American in exchange for consultancy works. Monedero paid 70,000 Euros in that year through an unipersonal limited company; as a legal person he should have paid 200,000. According to Podemos, Monedero chose the most favourable payment option for the Treasury, in order to tackle a negative campaign against him orchestrated by the government (they perceived a veiled menace from Finance minister Cristóbal Montoro) and right-wing press. Deputy PM Soraya Sáez de Santamaría stated that "if every one did like Monedero, there would be more money to pay social services. PSOE spokesman Antonio Hernando compared Monedero with Luis Bárcenas, the former PP treasurer.

While the method of payment he used in 2013 is legal, he should have created his limited society before starting to work or paid taxes as a self-employed worker. It's possible that error is the result of a bad tax advice, although paying correctly is his personal responsibility. On the other hand, the comparison with Bárcenas looks exaggerated and the attitude of the Finance minister and the government contrasts sharply with the non-existent will to cooperate in the investigation of several scandals (for instance, those affecting former Caja Madrid/Bankia officials or princess Cristina). Monedero, on his part, didn't provide explanations and claimed being subject of a campaign against him, acting like those establishment politicians he criticise. Obviously, most of the media is hostile to Podemos and its leaders are being over scrutinised. Unverified information on alleged wrongdoings is not uncommon as of late. For instance, days ago El País claimed that Monedero falsified his curriculum vitae without solid evidence and later the paper had to rectify. El Mundo did the same with some information concerning Íñigo Errejón.

- PP territorial leaders are nervous because of Rajoy's indecision, especially regional premiers Alberto Fabra (Valencia) and Ignacio González (Madrid). Apparently, Mariano Rajoy has taken a decision on whom will be the candidates in the main places at stake in the regional and local elections. As usual in the Spanish PM, he would be delaying the announcements until the last moment, just in case it happens something (a scandal, a rival's move...). Alberto Fabra and Ignacio González hope to be nominated and seek reelection. The mayoral candidate in Madrid could be Esperanza Aguirre, although government delegate Cristina Cifuentes is not fully discarded. Internal polling is not very favourable in the capital of Spain and Rajoy would leave Aguirre (who polls slightly better than other potential candidates) to run on her fate. Given that elections in Andalusia were put forward, regional leader Juan Manuel Moreno has been confirmed together with José Antonio Monago in Extremadura. The only mayoral candidates conformed yesterday by the electoral committee were those whom will run in the provincial capitals of Extremadura and Galicia. The impatient potential candidates in other regions will have to wait until the next meeting.

- In Andalusia, the list topped by MEP Teresa Rodríguez that will run in the Podemos internal primary elections (named something like "Sowing Future") might include people from the ecologist party Equo. The Vox Party and Ciudadanos have already nominated candidates. Former judge Francisco Serrano (notorious for a controversial campaign on gender violence, calling women for not filing false complaints) will run for the conservative PP splinter. The top C's candidate will be Juan Marín, Deputy Mayor of Sanlúcar (Cádiz) and linked to the party since 2011. Marín ran in the Ciudadanos por Sanlúcar list in the past municipal elections, group which governs in coalition with the local PSOE.
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Velasco
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« Reply #95 on: February 08, 2015, 02:19:43 am »

New polls.

Invymark / La Sexta

PP 26.1%, Podemos 26%, PSOE 20.1%, UPyD 5%, IU 4.3%, C's 3.8%.

Metroscopia / El País

Podemos 27.7%, PP 20.9%, PSOE 18.3%, C's 12.2%, IU 6.5%, UPyD 4.5%.

The Metroscopia poll can provoke an orgasmic rection in Albert Rivera's hosts. My opinion is that pollster should stop taking dope. On the other hand, the CIS might be underestimating C's. Raw polling data shows UPyD and Ciudadanos tied in the CIS Jan survey.
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Velasco
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« Reply #96 on: February 08, 2015, 11:32:14 am »

Celeste-Tel poll for the Andalusian elections released by various regional papers.

PSOE 36%, PP 27.8%, Podemos 16.1%, IU 7.3%, C's 4.6%, PA 3.2%, UPyD 2.8%

Seats (109): PSOE 47, PP 36, Podemos 17, IU 7, C's 2

Sample size: 3300 (phone calls). Fieldwork: Jan 17-22.
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« Reply #97 on: February 11, 2015, 08:10:04 am »

Pedro Sánchez has dismissed Tomás Gómez, leader and candidate of the Socialist Party in Madrid:

http://ccaa.elpais.com/ccaa/2015/02/11/madrid/1423647485_897542.html

The only thing I'm going to say is that I'm behind that.
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« Reply #98 on: February 11, 2015, 03:13:42 pm »
« Edited: February 11, 2015, 03:29:36 pm by Nanwe »

Pedro Sánchez has dismissed Tomás Gómez, leader and candidate of the Socialist Party in Madrid:

http://ccaa.elpais.com/ccaa/2015/02/11/madrid/1423647485_897542.html

The only thing I'm going to say is that I'm behind that.

Good riddance, indeed.

That been said, since PSOE militants have stormed into Ferraz accusing Sánchez of being a PP submarine and a dictator and with Gomez threatening to take the affair to court.... Well this is not turning exactly into a victory for him. In fact, it could be his political death, if he doesn't do something right before the next elections, although it also depends on Díaz's performance in the Andalucian elections (lacklustre or very lacklustre)
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Velasco
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« Reply #99 on: February 12, 2015, 02:20:09 am »

The dismissal of Tomás Gómez appears to be handled clumsily, especially hearing the yesterday's imprecise statements made by the secretary for organisation César Luena (who seems mediocrity personified, on the other hand). Possible reasons are the issue of extra costs in the construction of a tram in Parla (a working-class town located south of Madrid) when Gómez was mayor, the repercussions of a scandal involving former PP and PSOE mayors (including Francisco Granados, who also was a top regional official and one of the Esperanza Aguirre's lieutenants) or internal conflicts in the PSOE's Madrid branch. Tomás Gómez is not formally accused for the tram affair; even though he has been a controversial, despotic and arguably incompetent leader, the procedure to get rid of him looks somewhat rushed and irregular (some people defined it as a little coup d'état).

PSOE's executive has appointed a management committee led by former regional leader Rafael Simancas, that includes several rivals of Gómez such as Jaime Lissavetzky (candidate for Mayor of Madrid in 2011). Some media point former minister of Education Ángel Gabilondo as possible candidate for regional premier, seen as a "winning candidate" by the PSOE's leadership. Gabilondo, who is not in PSOE, was the Rector of the Autonomous University of Madrid (UAM) and is brother of a prestigious journalist. El País is already campaigning for him. Metroscopia conducted an "urgency" (if not "scence-fiction") poll immediately after the dismissal placing PSOE first in voting intention, with Podemos falling to third place. While Ángel Gabilondo is far better person than Tomás Gómez and maybe better candidate, he's not well known by voters.   

(Welcome back, Namwe. Hope that you and Julio continue posting something)

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