Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 12, 2019, 12:40:02 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (Primary) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  International Elections (Moderators: Gustaf, Hash, Kutasoff Hedzoff)
  Spanish elections and politics
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 93 Print
Author Topic: Spanish elections and politics  (Read 289961 times)
Worried Italian Progressive
italian-boy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,630
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #275 on: May 28, 2015, 01:46:10 am »

Gràcia is the most Catalanist of the Barcelona districts. Even though Vila de Gràcia is traditionally left-leaning (ICV used to poll strongly, ERC as of late), there are neighbourhoods that tend to favour CiU a bit more.
...
Great post! Thanks for the explanation.
Catalan politics are a true mess. Didn't understand them when I lived in Barcelona,and now with Podemos they seem even more obscure. But you shed some light over them Smiley
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #276 on: May 28, 2015, 03:33:51 am »

The results in Barcelona by neighbourhood are available in La Vanguardia. In the Gràcia district BComú came ahead in two of the five neighbourhoods: Vila de Gràcia (BComú 26.5%, CiU 24.7%) and El Coll (BComú 28.5%, CiU 20.1%). CiU came ahead in Vallcarca i els Penitents (BComú 20.4%, CiU 28.4%), La Salut (BComú 21.2%, CiU 28.9%) and Camp d'en Grassot i Gràcia Nova (BComú 21.8%, CiU 28.4%).


http://www.lavanguardia.com/vangdata/20150526/54431883852/mapa-interactivo-distribucion-voto-barrios-barcelona.html
Logged
Nanwe
Full Member
***
Posts: 219
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: -8.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #277 on: May 28, 2015, 03:36:03 am »

Instead of working on my thesis I did this:

Taken from here.

The elections of the past May 24th have ended the absolute majorities in the autonomic Parliaments. The division of power, and of seats, has opened a complex process of negotiations. The common elements in every autonomy is that an absolute majority is necessary in the first round [of investiture votes]. In the second round, it is sufficient to obtain more 'yes'es than 'no'es, hence abstention plays a fundamental role, except in Castilla-La Mancha, where in the -unlikely- case of there not being an agreement, the most voted list governs, in this case the PP of Dolores de Cospedal.

Madrid

In Madrid only the populares of Cristina Cifuentes, with 48 parliamentarians, and Ciudadanos, which has 17, can reach an absolute majority, fixed at 65 parliamentarians. A pact between the socialist Ángel Gabilondo and Podemos' candidate, José Manuel López, which would stand on the edge of power, with 64 seats. In order to supplant the PP, which governs Madrid since 1995, the hypothetical scenario would be an agreement between PSOE, Podemos and Ciudadanos.

The PP's candidate, Cristina Cifuentes will meet next Monday, the 25th, with the heads of the list of Ciudadanos, Ignacio Aguada and of Podemos, José Manuel López. Cifuentes also hopes to also meet with the PSOE's candidate, Ángel Gabilondo, although for this meeting there is no date yet.

Castilla-La Mancha

The socialist Emiliano García-Page (14 deputies) has the possibility of supplanting the Government of María Dolores de Cospedal, maybe the most emblematic of the PP, but it requires the supports of the three seats of Podemos, who, however has not guaranteed their support. Cospedal obtained on Sunday 16 seats, one less than the necessary ones to reach the absolute majority.

García-Page and the leader of Podemos, José García Molina, have already spoken on the phone to negotiate the support of the new party to a socialist Government. The regional secretary of Podemos and elected deputy, José García Molina, has hoped that an agreement with the PSOE will be reached "as soon as possible".

Extremadura

The socialist Guillermo Fernández-Vara (30 deputies) won the elections against José Antonio Monago (28) in Extremadura. In order to reach the absolute majority (33 seats), he will need the support of the autonomic leader of Podemos, Álvaro Jaén, who obtained 6 parliamentarians. In the meantime until a decision is reached, it is known that both have a cordial relationship from even before the local and regional elections. The sum of PP and Ciudadanos, which has one autonomic deputy, would not be enough in this community to be able to govern with stability.

The leader of Extremadura's socialists has already spoken on the phone with Podemos and Ciudadanos, in a 'polite conversation' and instends to meet this week although the exact date is yet to be confirmed.

Asturias

In the Principality of Asturias, the sum of PSOE, led by Javier Fernández (14), and Podemos, whose head of list is Emilio León (nine seats) would reach the absolute majority, fixed at 23 seats. This majority would not be reached by a pact between PSOE and Izquierda Unida (5 seats).

The sum of PP (11), Ciudadanos (3) and Foro Asturias (3), the party founded by Francisco Álvarez-Cascos, ads up to 17 parliamentarians.

The president of the PP of Asturias, Mercedes Fernández, has asked Ciudadanos and Foro Asturias their support for her election as president of the Principality. Fernñandez has manifested that she has already held talks to obtain these supports that the president of Foro Asturias, Cristina Coto, has already denied.

Aragón

The parliamentay arithmetic will be even more difficult for socialist Javier Lambán in Aragón, as the Podemos candidate, Pablo Echenique, has already warned him that he also wants to be president and he feels legitimised since he was only one percentage point away from the PSOE's result. In order to supplant Luisa Fernanda Rudi, winners of the elections, requires a pact between PSOE (18 deputies), Podemos (14) and the Chunta Aragonesista (2).

Echenique is yet to set his conditions to the PSOE, but at the very least, they will revolve around the fight against corruption, fiscal proposals and evictions.

The sum of the populares of the incumbent president, Luisa Fernanda Rudi, Ciudadanos and the PAR reach 31 seats, not enough to govern.

Echenique has stated that there have been no contacts yet with Javier Lambán and that to the question as to whether he would stand as candidate to preside Aragón, he has insisted that "at the present moment, I haven't ruled out anything".

Comunidad Valenciana

In order to expel the PP in the Comunidad Valencia requires an agreement between, at least, three parties PSOE (23), Compromís (19) and Podemos (13). They all agree in the need to establish a left-wing programme but the candidates of PSPV-PSOE and of Compromís both maintain their desire to preside the Generalitat.

The sum of seats of PP (31) y Ciudadanos (13) would not reach the absolute majority to govern, which is fixed at 50 deputies.

The secretary of Podemos, Antonio Montiel, is to meet , next Monday, at 10.30, the general secretary of the PSPV, Ximo Puig, as well as Compromís' candidate, Mónica Oltra, to deal with the future Valencian Government "in a three-way meeting".

Navarra

Geroa Bai, led by Uxue Barkos, has obtained nine seats of the 50 that Navarra's parliament has. It could count on the support of EH Bildu ( 8 ) and of Izquierda-Ezkerra (2) but the sum of all three doesn't reach the absolute majority, set at 26 seats. Pablo Iglesias said that Podemos would not pact with Bildu if it didn't condemn ETA's violence. Now they are the key to allow a change in Government.

The other three parties with parliamentary representation, PP, PSOE and the winner UPN don't have the sufficient majority to prevent this change and would not support any agreement hcih requires siding with Bildu.

Geroa Bai and Izquierda-Ezkerra have agreed to work for a "pragmatic accord" in an hour-long meeting held in the Navarrese Parliament.

Baleares

The parliamentary panorama is formed by eight parties. The PP suffered an important loss and obtained twenty seats. The socialist listed obtained 14 and the sum of the latter with Podemos (10) doesn't reach the 30 seats required for an absolute majority. The nationalists of Més per Mallorca and Més per Minorca obtained six and three seats each. The regionalist split of the PP, PI, enters with three deputies, while Ciudadanos obtained 2 and the Grupo por Formentera (GxF) obtained one.

Negotiations will be complex in the Balearic Islands for the socialist Francina Armengol, who has announced she will held talks with Podemos and MÉS for a left-wing government.

Castilla y León

The PP's list obtained 42 seats, one seat away from the absolute majority. The PSOE reached 25. Podemos entered into the autonomic Parliament with 10 seats and Ciudadanos, with five. Meanwhile IU and Leonese People's Union (UPL), obtained one seat each.

The only contact known to have taken place is the one held between the federal coordinator of IU, Cayo Lara on the phone with the federal secretary of the PSOE, Pedro Sánchez. The socialists of Castilla y León have not set any kind of 'red line' to negotiate.

La Rioja

The PP also lost the absolute majority in La Rioja, as it only obtained 15 seats in a Parliament of 33. The rest of seats are distributed between PSOE (10), Ciudadanos (4) and Podemos (4).

Sanz, who has been in power for the last 20 years, would have to reach an agreement with Ciudadanos if it wants to obtain an absolute majority. A potential agreement between PSOE and Podemos would not suffice. There haven't been any talks yet.

Murcia

The PP won in Murcia with 22 deputies, one below the 23 required for an absolute majority. PSOE obtained 13 and Podemos six. Ciudadanos got four deputies.

The PP's candidate, Pedo Antonio Sánchez, has not ruled out anything about possible pacts and has extended the offer to negotiate to all parties. "If there is no statesmanship, if governability is not guaranteed, we will have to hold elections again" he has warned. No talks have held yet.

Cantabria

In Cantabria, no party reached the 18 seats needed for an absolute majority. Ignacio Diego's PP reached 13 seats, Miguel Ángel Revilla's PRC got 12 seats and the PSOE of Rosa Eva Díez obtained six. Hence, the three deputies of Podemos or the two of Ciudadanos are they key. The leaders of PRC and of Podemos already held on Wednesday a first meeting to know each other but without dealing with any possible pact of the conditions of the purple party to facilitate a Government led by the regionalist Miguel Ángel Revilla. According to Podemos, the conditions will not be presented only to Revilla and, if Ignacio Diego, also wants to know them, "he'll have them there".

Canarias

In the Canary Islands, the CC-PNC obtained 18 out of 60 seats. The PSOE obtained 15 seats; PP obtained 12; Podemos, 7; Nueva Canarias, 5 and Agricupación Socialista de Gomera (ASG), three.

Coalición Canaria (CC) and PSOE have started today, Thursday the round of negotiations to reach a government pact in the Canary Islands.
Logged
Nanwe
Full Member
***
Posts: 219
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: -8.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #278 on: May 28, 2015, 07:45:25 am »

CyL spokesperson just demanded the resignation of Industry minister Soria. WTF, one defeat and Spain's most monolithic party seems to be collapsing before our very eyes.
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #279 on: May 29, 2015, 06:08:29 am »

Results by district of the 2015 local elections in the city of Valencia:



Partido Popular (PP) 25.71% (-26.83%) y 10 (-10) councilors

Compromís per València 23.28% (+14.25%) y 9 (+6) councilors

Ciudadanos (C’s) 15.38% (new) y 6 (+6) councilors

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) 14.07% (-7.69%) y 5 (-3) councilors

València en Comú (VALC) 9.81% (nuevo) y 3 (+3) councilors

Esquerra Unida País Valencià (EUPV) 4.71% (-2.46%) y 0 (-2) councilors

Unión, Progreso y Democracia (UPyD) 1.38% (-1.45%) y 0 (nc) councilors

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (PACMA) 1.09% (+0.64%) y 0 (nc) councilors

Highlights.

1) PP's debacle. Figures speak by themselves.

2) Compromís replaces PSOE as the main party of the left in the Valencia City Hall. Joan Ribó (Compromís) will replace Rita Barberá (PP) in the mayoralty, with the support of the socialists and the Podemos outfit.

3) C's and València in Comú get into the Town Hall, while EUPV (the IU's regional branch) fails to reach the 5% threshold and lose its 2 seats.

C's result was particularly strong (although slightly lower than some polls predicted) and it's specially remarkable that they came a very strong second in the Pla del Reial district, one of the PP strongholds in the city, getting more than 25% of the vote. VALC got a result lower than expected, attributable to the unexpectedly high result won by Compromís.


CyL spokesperson just demanded the resignation of Industry minister Soria. WTF, one defeat and Spain's most monolithic party seems to be collapsing before our very eyes.

I know José Manuel Soria pretty well and understand why the premier of Castilla y León dislikes him. It's hard to find someone more arrogant than my fellow countryman. It'd be nice if Soria and Cospedal are swallowed by a black hole. Minister of Education José Ignacio Wert is about to leave his post for "personal reasons" or "family circumstances". Apparently Wert told Rajoy that he wanted to go and the PM asked him to wait until the elections took place. Rajoy may or may not reshuffle the cabinet in a couple of weeks, taking advantage of Wert's departure. Thank you for that summary Wink
Logged
Nanwe
Full Member
***
Posts: 219
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: -8.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #280 on: May 29, 2015, 07:55:16 am »
« Edited: May 29, 2015, 07:58:20 am by Nanwe »

If I remember correctly, Wert wants to be Spain's ambassador to the OECD so that gives the perfect excuse for a reshuffle, maybe Montoro will follow suit. That being said, rumour has it that Cospedal will obtain the Education ministry, as a 'honorary' retirement from her post as General Secretary of the PP.

Well yes, but among other amazing things regarding the CyL spokesperson is that he said, that personally, were he to support someone for the mayoralty of Valladolid it would be the candidate from Valladolid toma la Palabra (IU), Saravia, over both the PP and the PSOE candidates. In any case, De La Riva was just indicted for delaying a judicial decision over removing a fence in his Valladolid attic for over a decade, and he won't be able to even be city councilor for the nest 13 months or so. It's all going down so fast, I don't think I had ever checked El Norte de Castilla so often as this week.

EDIT: He just announced he will challenge the decision and that he will remain as mayor en funciones until the 13th until the plenary session of the new city council meets. He also points out he has not been indicted for corruption, I guess that's the only good thing of it, he's not corrupt. Even if his government has been signing contracts until 2019 when they have no right to do it as a caretaker government. Oh and, like in Madrid and every other major city waiting turnover I bet they are burning/shredding more paper than our cities' garbage disposal service can take on.
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #281 on: May 29, 2015, 08:13:35 am »
« Edited: May 29, 2015, 08:18:44 am by Velasco »

Yes, I forgot that Cospedal might replace Wert in Education. As for De la Riva and according to El Diario, he has been disqualified from sitting as a member of the City Hall, on having been found guilty of a disobedience crime. De la Riva delayed nearly five years the execution of a judgement which forced him to restore the legality in a real estate property. Namely it's the Caja Duero building in Plaza de Zorrilla, in which De la Riva owned an apartment. The regional High Court of Justice ruled that there were several housing irregularities and cancelled a project to refurbish said building.

http://www.eldiario.es/politica/alcalde-Valladolid-condenado-desobediencia-concejal_0_393010838.html

As a reminder, De la Riva lost majority in the Sunday's local elections. PSOE, an IU-led coalition and the local Podemos outfit added 15 out of 29 councilors in the City Hall. The three municipal groups agreed on ousting the incumbent mayor. It's not clear if PSOE will govern in minority or IU will enter in a coalition that Podemos won't join. The result was the following:

PP 35.81% (12 councilors), PSOE 23.22% ( 8 ), Toma la Palabra (IU-Equo) 13.39% (4), Sí Se Puede (Podemos) 9.98% (3), C's 7.61% (2).

By the way, IU got a surprisingly strong result in the town of Zamora and given the correlation of forces may win the mayoralty. I ignore the reason why.

http://resultadoslocales2015.interior.es/99MU/DMU0849927599_L1.htm?d=5687

In other news, new legal setback for PP in the Bárcenas case:

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/05/29/inenglish/1432889857_823672.html

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Pablo Iglesias admits relationship with socialists has changed:

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/05/28/inenglish/1432821438_817486.html

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Iglesias stated recently that Podemos wouldn't join regional coalition governments led by PSOE. Perhaps Aragon would be an exception. There, the list topped by Pablo Echenique came virtually tied with the socialists in popular vote. In any case, Pablo Iglesias and Pedro Sánchez need each other's parties. Socialists need the Podemos support to get their candidates elected in various regional and local investiture sessions.
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #282 on: May 30, 2015, 08:45:56 am »
« Edited: May 30, 2015, 08:49:57 am by Velasco »

Popular Party's corruption saga continues: the conservative party dismisses a Valencia official arrested on corruption charges:

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/05/29/inenglish/1432910939_560122.html

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Mariano Rajoy says before a businessmen audience in Sitges (Barcelona) that"we have to change things", but not on economic policies. Rajoy attributed bad election results to corruption and the "constant hammering" of disturbing news in TV, because PM thinks that his party has been treated unfairly by critic journalists. Rajoy talked about the "problems" to bring the wonders of the economic recovery to people, as well he considers that they had been lacking an explanation for measures like brutal VAT increases. "It is time to lowering taxes", told Rajoy to the select audience.

Paul Krugman says that just a few days ago Very Serious Europeans took Spain as an example of big success, a vindication of the austerity programme. Obviously, Spanish people disagrees.

This news surfaced days before the election: "Inequality between rich and poor has hit record highs, OECD warns"

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/05/21/inenglish/1432203309_060148.html

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

OECD report: "In It Together: Why Less Inequality Benefits All"

http://www.oecd.org/social/in-it-together-why-less-inequality-benefits-all-9789264235120-en.htm
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #283 on: May 31, 2015, 10:19:35 am »

Seville 2015: local election results by district.



Provisional results:

Partido Popular (PP) 33.08% (-16.23%) 12 (-8) councilors

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) 32.14% (+2.69%)  11 (=) councilors

Ciudadanos (C’s) 9.3% (new)  3 (+3) councilors

Participa Sevilla 9.01% (new)  3 (+3) councilors

Izquierda Unida-Convocatoria por Andalucía (IULV-CA) 5.97% (-1.18%) 2 (=) councilors

Ganemos Sevilla 4.13% (new) 0 councilors

Partido Andalucista (PA) 1.41% (-3.37%) 0 (sc) councilors

Equo 1,04% (-0.17%) 0 (nc) councilors

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (PACMA) 1.02% (+0.6%)  0 (nc) councilors

Unión, Progreso y Democracia (UPyD) 0.84% (-2.41%) y 0 (nc) councilors

There was a terrible mess of "popular unity lists" in the Andalusian capital. Finally Podemos endorsed the Participa Sevilla list, which won 3 councilors in the City Hall. IU ran in its own and kept 2 councilors. Some IU dissidents submitted a list called Ganemos Sevilla , which failed to win seats but splitted the vote in the left and created a considerable confusion. Finally, Equo ecologists ran their own list.

Probably Juan Espadas (PSOE) will replace Juan Ignacio Zoido (PP) in the mayoralty.

PP will likely hold the mayoralty in Málaga, the second largest Andalusian city. Conservatives might hold Granada, Almería and Jaén as well, propped up by C's. However, PP is about to lose Córdoba if opposition parties join forces. PSOE came first in Huelva at the expense of PP. Cádiz will go likely to Podemos. The candidate of the Podemos outfit in Cádiz is José María González Santos, aka 'Kichi'. He is the partner of Teresa Rodríguez, the Podemos leader in Andalusia.

Málaga (31 councilors): PP 36.4% (13), PSOE 26.2% (9), Málaga Ahora 13.3% (4), C's 10.3% (3), IU 7.4% (2).

Córdoba (29 councilors): PP 34.4% (11), PSOE 20.5% (7), Ganemos 12.5% (4), IU 12% (4), C's 8.6% (2), Unión Cordobesa 5.6% (1)

Granada (29 councilors): PP 35.4% (11), PSOE 25.9% ( 8 ), C's 14% (4), Vamos Granada 12.7% (3), IU 5.8% (1)

Almería (27 councilors): PP 40.4% (13), PSOE 27% (9), C's 10% (3), IU 7% (2), Ahora Almería 3.7% (-), Ganemos 3.7% (-). Two "popular unity lists" competing against each other with tragic consequences.

Cádiz (27 councilors): PP 33.7% (10), Por Cádiz Sí Se Puede 28% ( 8 ), PSOE 17.4% (4), IU 8.4% (2), C's 7.1% (2)

Out of the provincial capitals, PP might lose Jerez and the situation in Marbella is unclear.
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #284 on: June 03, 2015, 06:36:26 am »

Zaragoza 2015: local election results by district.



Provisional results:

Partido Popular (PP) 26.88% (-14.38%)  10 (-5) councilors

Zaragoza en Común (ZGZ) 24.57% (+16.15%)  9 (+6) councilors*

Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) 18.65% (-8,49%)  6 (-4) councilors

Ciudadanos (C’s) 12.29% (new)  4 (+4) councilors

Chunta Aragonesista (CHA) 6.78% (-2.46%)  2 (-1) councilors

Partido Aragonés (PAR) 2.82% (-1.72%) y 0 (sc) councilors

Unión, Progreso y Democracia (UPyD) 1.51% (-2.07%)  0 (sc) councilors

Escaños en Blanco (EB) 1.36% (new)  0 councilors

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (PACMA) 1.18% (+0.85%)  0 (sc) councilors

*With regard to IU and Ecolo-Verdes en 2011. Zaragoza en Común rallies Podemos, IU, Equo and other parties, as well social movements, independents, etc.

Incumbent mayor is Juan Alberto Belloch (PSOE), a judge who was minister of Interior and Justice in mid 90s. Belloch was elected mayor with the support of IU and the Aragonese Union (CHA); he didn't seek reelection. In all likelihood next mayor will be lawyer and human rights activist Pedro Santisteve (ZGZ).

Regional election results in the municipality of Zaragoza (Aragon):

PP 27.1%, Podemos 24.12%, PSOE 17.17%, , C’s 11.38%, CHA 5.28%, IU 5.06%, PAR 3.69%.

If I have time I'll post some regional election maps from next weekend on, regardless if you care or not and only because it's more funny sharing that kind of stuff.
Logged
Worried Italian Progressive
italian-boy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,630
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #285 on: June 03, 2015, 07:09:57 am »

Kinda surprising also how CiU won in Sant Antoni (by very little, admiteddly), since it's much more similar to Raval than to Eixample.
Logged
Watermelon sin Jamón
Zanas46
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,878
France


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #286 on: June 03, 2015, 08:55:26 am »

I at least find these very instructing, and ask you to keep posting them, Velasco! Wink

I will come up with a few questions about the near future shortly.
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #287 on: June 04, 2015, 05:17:50 pm »

Kinda surprising also how CiU won in Sant Antoni (by very little, admiteddly), since it's much more similar to Raval than to Eixample.

I've just checked the Sant Antoni results in the EP 2014 elections and ERC came ahead in that neighbourhood getting 25.8% to CiU's 24.5%. In this local election ERC got nearly a half of that percentage. CiU uses to win in all of l'Eixample, although Sant Antoni has a lower income than the central Eixample neighbourhoods. I think that CiU came ahead PSC in the 2011 general election (I can check it, but I'm sure of that). I know little about that place, but it appears more nationalistic than El Raval... and a bit less than Sants, that is located west of Sant Antoni. ERC and CUP got 13.4% and 9.2% respectively in Sant Antoni to 14.7% and 10.7% in Sants. 

http://lameva.barcelona.cat/eixample/ca/home/el-barri-de-sant-antoni

I at least find these very instructing, and ask you to keep posting them, Velasco! Wink

I will come up with a few questions about the near future shortly.

Thanks. In any case I won't have time to post regularly. As for the maps, I made already the islands (Balearic and Canaries) but I want to post Madrid first. I hope I can finish Valencia.

Albert Rivera held private meetings with Mariano Rajoy and Pedro Sánchez while Pablo Iglesias met with Sánchez (it may sound strange, but they didn't know each other personally) but wasn't invited by Rajoy. A couple of members of the Madrid regional government have resigned after having been involved in the investigation of the Púnica case, another PP corruption affair. The most relevant is Lucía Figar, who was holding the education portfolio and has a close relationship with Esperanza Aguirre. Those last minute resignations have been interpreted as a gesture to get the C's support in the investiture of Cristina Cifuentes as premier.

Pablo Iglesias met with Mónica Oltra from Compromís. Podemos leader would prefer Oltra rather than the PSOE candidate Ximo Puig as regional premier in Valencia; Oltra herself says that's not an indispensable condition, but she doesn't renounce to head the government. Apparently they talked about the possibility of running together Podemos and Compromís in the next general election, albeit vaguely and without reaching a decision.

Logged
¢®🅰ß 🦀 ©@k€ 🎂
CrabCake
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,792
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #288 on: June 06, 2015, 03:47:59 pm »

Socialists municipal heatmap



Popular Party heatmap



Overall:

Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #289 on: June 07, 2015, 05:34:23 am »

Bilbao 2015: local election results by district:

Results (final):

Euzko Alderdi Jeltzalea– Partido Nacionalista Vasco (EAJ–PNV) 39.34% (-4.82%) 13 (-2) councilors

Euskal Herria Bildu (EH BILDU) 14.04% (-0.17%) 4 (=) councilors

Partido Socialista de Euskadi–Euskadiko Ezkerra (PSE–EE) 11.97%  (-1.48%) 4 (=) councilors

Partido Popular (PP) 11.86% (-5.38%) 4 (-2) councilors

Udalberri-Bilbao en Común 8.47% (+3.98%)* 2 (+2) councilors

Ganemos Sí Se Puede-Goazen 6.53% (new) 2 (+2) councilors

Ciudadanos (C's) 3.52% (new)  0 councilors

Partido Animalista Contra el Maltrato Animal (PACMA) 1.2% (+0.72%) y 0 (nc) councilors

Unión, Progreso y Democracia (UPyD) 0.84% (-0.24%) y 0 (nc) councilors

*Udalberri includes Podemos, IU and Equo among others. Ganemos (or "let's win") is a list promoted by some Podemos dissidents in Bilbao, whom have been accused by the party of "swindle and cheat" voters. The 'Ganemos' people say they are loyal to the "original spirit" of Podemos.

Podemos performed better in the elections for the Juntas Generales de Bizkaia, that is to say the Biscay provincial legislature. Results in Bilbao municipality were:

EAJ-PNV 37.57%, Podemos 15.37%, EH Bildu 13.67%, PP 12.15%, PSE-EE (PSOE) 12.1%, C’s 3.55%, Irabazi (IU, Equo) 3.37%, PACMA 0.94%, UPyD 0.77%.
Logged
Simfan34
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,726
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #290 on: June 07, 2015, 03:01:49 pm »

The PP, it has occurred to me watching these elections, must be the worst major centre-right party in Europe. Possibly worse than the GOP. How can they have the gall to compare anyone to dictators when their party was founded by a member of Franco's cabinet, their rhetoric remains unchanged from the 30's and their internal party democracy is about as flourishing as North Korea's?

There is a reason the Francoist parties don't get much of the vote.
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #291 on: June 08, 2015, 01:03:52 pm »

Madrid 2015: leading party by municipality/district in the regional elections.



Results in the municipality of Madrid (bordered in yellow) are shown by municipal district.

Total regional results:

http://resultados2015.madrid.org/12AU/DAU12999CM_L1.htm

Among the highlights, many people in the city of Madrid splitted their vote in the local and regional elections between candidates Manuela Carmena (Ahora Madrid) and Ángel Gabilondo (PSOE). Ahora Madrid got 519.2 thousand votes in the municipal elections and Podemos 287.6 thousand in the regional elections; PSOE 249.2k and 416.8k respectively; IU 27.8k and 67.7k On the other hand, PP regional candidate Cristina Cifuentes got more votes (568.8 thousand) in the capital than Esperanza Aguirre (563.3 thousand). PP losses in the city of Madrid are strongly correlated with income (particularly strong in districts like Villaverde, Villa de Vallecas or Usera), according to this analysis:

http://www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepapel/mirada-resultados_6_392020810.html

In the municipalities of the so-called 'red belt' south of Madrid PSOE came first, while Podemos performed strongly. Examples: Getafe (PSOE 30%, PP 25.7%, Podemos 23.1%, C's 9.9%), Leganés (PSOE 29.7%, PP 22.9%, Podemos 22.6%, C's 10.1%). West of Madrid there were similar results in working-class municipalities like Coslada and San Fernando. In Alcalá de Henares PP came a weak first (27.4%), followed by PSOE (26.4%), Podemos (20.3%) and C's (13.4%). SW of Madrid PP came first in Móstoles (PP 28.9%, PSOE 26.8%, Podemos 22.8%, C's 10.5%) and Alcorcón (PP 29.9%, PSOE 27.2%, Podemos 20.6%). In high income municipalities west of Madrid PP came obviously in first place, and in many cases C's was the second party. Examples: Las Rozas (PP 41.4%, C's 19.4%, PSOE 16.9%, Podemos 11.6%) and Majadahonda (PP 44.9%, C's 17.9%, PSOE 16.9%, Podemos 10.7%). Podemos came first in a couple of municipalities of symbolic value: Parla (SW of Madrid) and Rivas-Vaciamadrid (SE). Parla was the fiefdom of Tomás Gomez, the former leader of the PSOE regional branch who was dethroned by Pedro Sánchez and replaced by independent Ángel Gabilondo as candidate. Rivas is the main IU stronghold in the region; in the municipal elections IU managed to come first ahead the local Podemos outfit, which placed a close second.
Logged
Nanwe
Full Member
***
Posts: 219
Spain


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: -8.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #292 on: June 09, 2015, 08:41:47 am »

Historic overview:

So, I got bored and I did the results of the local elections and the regional elections since the start of democracy in Spain. It was an easy affair, it is all very static. There are some things going on under the map that aren't seen because it only shows the most voted party for each government, which is not necessarily the most voted party within a region or the party that holds the post of President/Premier/Lehendakari or whatever. That is especially important for the Canary Islands, where the CC has a policy of either picking PP or PSOE as their junior partners depending on the term but themselves being on top. I might refine the map later to differentiate between minority/coalition and absolute majority single-party governments.

The map does not show the occasions when, especially with the CDS, a junior party shifts its support from AP/CP/PP to PSOE or vice versa and hence the executive changes mid-legislature. I'm still trying to find a more nice-looking way of showing it.

Because not all the regional elections happen at the same time (usually Galicia, Basque Country, Catalonia and Andalucia have their own legislative periods), I had to condense it all.

Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #293 on: June 09, 2015, 01:25:57 pm »
« Edited: June 09, 2015, 06:01:38 pm by Velasco »

Nice work, Nanwe. Perhaps you have to clarify that square symbols represent regional capitals and small circles provincial capitals. Obviously in the 2015 map the symbols in purple represent capitals where "popular unity lists" backed by Podemos are going to govern: Ahora Madrid, Barcelona en Comú, Zaragoza en Común, Marea Atlántica or Somos Oviedo.

In the news, Ciudadanos decided to support Susana Díaz in Andalusia. PSOE and C's have signed three documents required by the orange party as condition to unlock the investiture of the socialist candidate. Documents include a Decalogue of measures against corruption and for "democratic regeneration", as well economic and welfare safeguards.

Meanwhile, PP and C's agreed a "smooth path to Madrid premiership".

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/06/09/inenglish/1433859811_936345.html

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

There's an interesting article in Spanish about the "Zamora miracle". Zamora is a conservative-leaning provincial capital in Castile and León that is about to be governed by IU:

http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2015/06/08/actualidad/1433767925_755097.html
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #294 on: June 10, 2015, 06:41:30 am »

Balearic Islands: leading party by municipality in the 2015 regional elections.



Full results:

http://www.resultatseleccions2015.caib.es/04AU/DAU04999CM_L2.htm
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #295 on: June 11, 2015, 01:57:47 am »

Canary Islands: leading party by municipality in the 2015 regional elections.



Full results:

http://elecciones2015.gobcan.es/05AU/DAU05999CM_L1.htm
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #296 on: June 11, 2015, 01:59:42 am »

Asturias:



Full results:

http://www.resultadoselecciones2015.asturias.es/03AU/DAU03999CM_L1.htm
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #297 on: June 13, 2015, 03:25:26 am »

Today El País entitles: "Leftist governments take shape in cities and regions across Spain"

http://elpais.com/elpais/2015/06/12/inenglish/1434103988_673495.html

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

In short, four of the five most important Spanish cities will be governed by leftist "citizen platforms" or forces of the "alternative left": Madrid (Ahora Madrid), Barcelona (BComú), Zaragoza (ZGZ) and Valencia (Compromís). The remaining city is Seville, that will go for PSOE with the support of the Podemos local outfit and IU. All those cities were governed by PP except Barcelona, which had a CiU mayor.

Besides, A Coruña and Santiago de Compostela in Galicia will be governed by "popular unity lists" with the support of the socialists. PSOE will govern Vigo with a majority (Abel Caballero won a crushing victory on May 24) and Lugo with the support of the left.

However, in Asturias Podemos and PSOE didn't reach agreements to govern the cities Gijón and Oviedo. Regional premier Javier Fernández (PSOE) didn't want to accept that socialists support the Somos Oviedo candidate Ana Taboada, because the Podemos outfit in Gijón voted in assembly withdrawing support to the local socialist candidate. Unless they come to an agreement, PP and the FAC will hold respectively Oviedo and Gijón, on having been their lists the most voted in the respective local elections.

In the Basque Country, the mayoralty of Vitoria will go from PP to PNV. Bildu will vote for Gorka Urtaran (PNV) to replace Javier Maroto (PP); although there's no formal agreement between Bildu and PNV-PSOE. On election night PP won 9 councilors, EH Bildu 6, PNV 5 and PSOE 4 councilors. EH Bildu will allow PNV to govern the Diputación of Álava, so the jeltzales will hold the three provinces with their respective capitals. PNV won the local election in San Sebastián and the Gipuzkoa provincial election to EH Bildu on May 24.

The map of likely mayoralties in provincial capitals stands as follows:


Key: blue=PP, red=PSOE, purple="citizen platforms", green=PNV, yellow=CiU, grey="others". Provincial capitals going to "others" are: Valencia (Compromís), Palma de Mallorca (PSOE-MÉS), Santa Cruz de Tenerife (CC), Pamplona (EH BILDU), Pontevedra (BNG) and Zamora (IU). Oviedo (Asturias) is left in white because it's uncertain (PP or Somos Oviedo). Actually, there is no big difference with the map posted by Nanwe some days ago.

As for ongoing talks to form regional governments:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.


As said previously, C's is about to support the investiture of Cristina Cifuentes (PP) in the region of Madrid.
Logged
¢®🅰ß 🦀 ©@k€ 🎂
CrabCake
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,792
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #298 on: June 13, 2015, 03:30:39 am »

Is thee any major municipality which still has a majority government.
Logged
Velasco
andi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,645
Western Sahara


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #299 on: June 13, 2015, 04:18:59 am »
« Edited: June 13, 2015, 04:27:08 am by Velasco »

Is thee any major municipality which still has a majority government.

I guess you mean majorities held by a single party and not coalition governments, right? Among municipalities above 250,000 people, I only recall Vigo (PSOE). Probably I could find some single party majorities in municipalities between 100,000 and 250,000. As for provincial or regional capitals I recall Ceuta (PP) and Soria (PSOE). Neither of those two is a big city.

Right now, there is a live stream covering the formation of city councils. Manuela Carmena's investiture has just begun. Ada Colau will count in her investiture  with the affirmative vote of ERC, PSC and the CUP, so she will be elected with a majority. However, Colau won't govern in coalition and BComú only has 11 out of 41 councilors. She will have to negotiate initiatives with the different opposition parties.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 7 8 9 10 11 [12] 13 14 15 16 17 ... 93 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC