pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,859
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« on: January 29, 2015, 12:07:42 AM » |
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With an approval rating of 28% (PPP recently) Senator Toomey has a very low ceiling. He will get practically no crossover vote, and even if he gets almost the entire GOP vote he will be behind with independent voters. Against several non-politicians, failed challengers, and unknown Democrats he is ahead but never cracking 45%. The 28% approval suggests that 45% is very close to his ceiling.
He will not go down to defeat as Rick Santorum did in 2006 or Tom Corbett in 2014 -- but he is far to the Right in a Democratic-leaning state. He got away with that as a stealth candidate in 2010, but his voting record in a high-turnout election will make him one-and-done.
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