Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
December 12, 2019, 10:49:26 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (Primary) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  YouGov national: Hillary+11 against Bush, many would vote for "other"
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: YouGov national: Hillary+11 against Bush, many would vote for "other"  (Read 743 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51,004
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 15, 2015, 01:15:27 pm »

I'd also rather jump off a bridge or something, than vote for her or another Bush:

(registered voters)



https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/01/15/republicans-and-democrats-prefer-what-they-know
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2015, 01:29:41 pm »

>YouGov
>Internet poll
>15% third party

Junk poll! Actual scientific polls never have "other" getting more than 1-3%. Toss it in the garbage.
Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,559
Dominica


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2015, 01:30:57 pm »

I was polled for this!
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 51,004
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2015, 01:32:00 pm »

>YouGov
>Internet poll
>15% third party

Junk poll! Actual scientific polls never have "other" getting more than 1-3%. Toss it in the garbage.

That's of course correct. The election will not have 15% for an "other" candidate (unless a really strong 3rd party candidate emerges).

But it's an indicator that many people will stay home and not vote at all, if the matchup is Hillary vs. Bush (especially many Independents will stay home).
Logged
King
intermoderate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,410
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2015, 01:44:05 pm »

Are we sure YouGov isn't just Zogby rebranded?
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,727
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2015, 01:44:52 pm »

>YouGov
>Internet poll
>15% third party

Junk poll! Actual scientific polls never have "other" getting more than 1-3%. Toss it in the garbage.

That's of course correct. The election will not have 15% for an "other" candidate (unless a really strong 3rd party candidate emerges).

But it's an indicator that many people will stay home and not vote at all, if the matchup is Hillary vs. Bush (especially many Independents will stay home).

I just see it as an indicator that YouGov is terrible. CNN polled all adults and "other" got 1%. FOX and Quinnipiac polled RVs and "other" got 1% and 3% respectively, so an adults/RV difference can't be the explanation. Selzer got a result somewhat similar to this, but they grouped together "other" with "won't vote", so it's not directly comparable. According to them, there's not a major difference between Hillary vs. Jeb and Hillary vs. other Republicans in this total, so I'm going to have to dispute your point that the high other total is any sort of "dynasty backlash", at least until we see evidence from a decent pollster to support it.



Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC