Democracy Corps/WVWVAF: Hillary up 6 vs. Romney, up 12 vs. Bush

[Tender Branson]

Democracy Corps (D) for Women’s Voices Women Vote Action Fund (D, I guess):

49% Clinton
43% Romney

Clinton leads Dems 92-3 and Indies 43-40. Romney leads among Reps 90-4.

52% Clinton
40% Bush

Clinton leads Dems 95-4 and Indies 46-38. Bush leads among Reps 87-3.

Obama approval:

48-48 (up from 44-50 in their November poll)

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http://www.wvwvaf.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/2016VoterSurvey-GQRR-DCorps-WVWVAF-201501SLIDES.pdf

[Tender Branson]

927 of the 950 likely voters polled said they voted in the 2012 election (the other 23 registered to vote since then).

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...

Looks like Hillary is not doing all too hot against Mitty, relative to Obama.

[Mehmentum]

927 of the 950 likely voters polled said they voted in the 2012 election (the other 23 registered to vote since then).

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...

Looks like Hillary is not doing all too hot against Mitty, relative to Obama.

Well, her margin is 1 point worse, which is certainly within the MoE.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I dont think we are gonna win WVa, we should spend our money in CO and OH. But, WVA is a microcosum of EAST OHIO, she definately plays well there, in OHIO.

[The Other Castro]

I dont think we are gonna win WVa, we should spend our money in CO and OH. But, WVA is a microcosum of EAST OHIO, she definately plays well there, in OHIO.

wut

[pbrower2a]

Strong enough -- but this sounds like a biased pollster.  

[SWE]

I dont think we are gonna win WVa, we should spend our money in CO and OH. But, WVA is a microcosum of EAST OHIO, she definately plays well there, in OHIO.

agreed

[Senator Cris]

I dont think we are gonna win WVa, we should spend our money in CO and OH. But, WVA is a microcosum of EAST OHIO, she definately plays well there, in OHIO.

It's a national survey.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Let it put it this way, Clinton may very well put the WVA governor race in play, should Manchin run, but OHIO and CO, are winnable and the bellweathers, WVA will be ignored, at the presidential level.

[Mr. Morden]

Let it put it this way, Clinton may very well put the WVA governor race in play, should Manchin run, but OHIO and CO, are winnable and the bellweathers, WVA will be ignored, at the presidential level.

Do you understand what this thread is about?

[Mehmentum]

Let it put it this way, Clinton may very well put the WVA governor race in play, should Manchin run, but OHIO and CO, are winnable and the bellweathers, WVA will be ignored, at the presidential level.

I know it looks like this is a poll of West Virginia because 'WV' is in the thread title twice, but its really not. 

[IceSpear]

Republicans would have to win Indies by a pretty substantial margin to offset the partisan gap. Romney won them by 5 in 2012.

[Württemberger]

She only leads Romney by 6 points? That's not a good sign for her.

[Flake]

She only leads Romney by 6 points? That's not a good sign for her.

Considering both have run national campaigns and are known to every active voter, I think it's a great sign.

[Württemberger]

She only leads Romney by 6 points? That's not a good sign for her.

Considering both have run national campaigns and are known to every active voter, I think it's a great sign.

In that regard, yes. But considering the fact that Romney lost the election by 4 points to Obama and she is much more popular than he is, it says much about her "expand the map" strategy.

[Nichlemn]

Let it put it this way, Clinton may very well put the WVA governor race in play, should Manchin run, but OHIO and CO, are winnable and the bellweathers, WVA will be ignored, at the presidential level.

I know it looks like this is a poll of West Virginia because 'WV' is in the thread title twice, but its really not. 

I thought this too initially. It's a pretty bad name for the group nonetheless. Were "Women's Voices Fund" and "Women Vote Action Fund" both taken?

[pbrower2a]

She only leads Romney by 6 points? That's not a good sign for her.

Romney already has name recognition, and he won 47% of the vote in 2012. He will need more than 47% of the vote, and unlike the case with Jeb Bush, 47% could be his ceiling.

A 12-point gap against somewhat-less-well-known Jeb Bush in contrast suggests a floor of 44% for him. A floor of 44% certainly beats a ceiling of 47%.