FL/PA/OH-Quinnipiac: Clinton leads all Republicans in all three states

[Skill and Chance]

Oh yeah, Florida could be the tipping point vs Walker. Jeb isn't terribly strong in Colorado either though. If Hillary wins PA, FL she wins the election period.

Loses 272-266 to Kasich/Paul

Explain NH right of Florida?  Everything else is vaguely reasonable.

[Keystone Phil]

Only down 20? We got this.

[JRP1994]

Oh yeah, Florida could be the tipping point vs Walker. Jeb isn't terribly strong in Colorado either though. If Hillary wins PA, FL she wins the election period.

Loses 272-266 to Kasich/Paul

Explain NH right of Florida?  Everything else is vaguely reasonable.

Florida is trending left; New Hampshire isn't really moving all that much. New Hampshire is smaller and much more elastic than Florida. A moderate-sounding GOPer like Kasich, teamed with libertarian Paul, could swing it narrowly.

[JRP1994]

Only down 20? We got this.

GOP nominates Tom Brady, who proceeds to score 24 unanswered electoral college points.

[Boston Bread]

Clinton would win NV before FL unless Sandoval is on the ticket and so I don't think the republicans can win without FL.

[Devils30]

If Hillary is winning FL she is doing well with Latinos and therefore she is winning Nevada. New Hampshire doesn't seem like a terribly good bet for the GOP either and Virginia is becoming more like Pennsylvania too.

[Xing]

Oh yeah, Florida could be the tipping point vs Walker. Jeb isn't terribly strong in Colorado either though. If Hillary wins PA, FL she wins the election period.

Loses 272-266

Florida going Democratic, but Wisconsin going Republican? I really doubt that would happen without Walker on the ticket, and even then I'd be skeptical.

Anyway, these polls are, of course, very optimistic for Hillary, though it's definitely clear that Kasich and Bush have a better home-state advantage than Rubio or Santorum. I think pbrower2a is right that if Hillary loses all three of these states, she's toast (she's not going to win NC before PA). If she wins one (most likely PA), it's going to be a close race. If she wins two, she almost certainly wins. If she wins all three, she does nearly as well as Obama 2012, if not better.

[pbrower2a]

Saying that any Republican can now win the Presidency without winning Florida is about like saying that a Democrat can win the Presidency without Pennsylvania.  One needs a very contrived map, so to speak.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Dems don't necessarily need Florida, but nice to have

[pbrower2a]

The Senate seat may be more critical.

[IceSpear]

Funnily enough, Quinnipiac showed Hillary up 1 on Christie nationally, but now shows her beating him by double digits in FL/PA/OH. Though to be fair, the national poll was back in November. But still, have things really changed that much? Unless the GOP got an enormous "midterm victory bounce".

[pbrower2a]

Funnily enough, Quinnipiac showed Hillary up 1 on Christie nationally, but now shows her beating him by double digits in FL/PA/OH. Though to be fair, the national poll was back in November. But still, have things really changed that much? Unless the GOP got an enormous "midterm victory bounce".

The Republicans probably did get a "Hail to the winners!" bounce. It may not have lasted.