PA-Muhlenberg College/Morning Call: Hillary up 17 on Jeb, 19 on Christie

[IceSpear]

Clinton 49
Bush 32

Clinton 50
Christie 31

Clinton 50
Romney 29

http://www.mcall.com/mc-acrobat-morning-call-poll-politics-20150219-acrobat.html

Keep in mind this is a poll among adults, so it is most likely skewed ~5 points or so towards the Dems. But other than that, Muhlenberg is a solid pollster.

[IceSpear]

Other parts of the poll:

Approval:
Obama - 44-48
Wolf - 37-13
Toomey - 35-25
Casey - 40-22
Kane - 26-33

Split into thirds on whether Toomey deserves to be re-elected, and he leads generic D 32-30.

[Panda Express]

Why didn't they poll O'Malley? Some of us would have liked to see how he does.

[IceSpear]

Why didn't they poll O'Malley? Some of us would have liked to see how he does.

Agreed. They also should've tested Hillary against Jack Fellure.

[Reaganfan]

What's with all the low percentages? 20%-30% range for approvals. I'm guessing many people have no real clue or interests in their elected representatives anymore.

[Tender Branson]

What's with all the low percentages? 20%-30% range for approvals. I'm guessing many people have no real clue or interests in their elected representatives anymore.

It's not surprising that a big chunck of Americans tune out of politics, considering how toxic and polarizing the political climate in the US is.

(That's not only in the US though ...)

[pbrower2a]

Other parts of the poll:

Approval:
Obama - 44-48
Wolf - 37-13
Toomey - 35-25
Casey - 40-22
Kane - 26-33

Split into thirds on whether Toomey deserves to be re-elected, and he leads generic D 32-30.

"Generic D" and "Generic R" are highly visible in the polls until they go into political hibernation about the time that the bears start getting out of their dens during the year of the election. Ordinarily someone stronger and more colorful emerges, even if from seemingly-nowhere.

[pbrower2a]

What's with all the low percentages? 20%-30% range for approvals. I'm guessing many people have no real clue or interests in their elected representatives anymore.

It could be familiarity. The President is always on the 30-minute network news. The others? Not so much.

Approval at "35" is about halfway between two different polls that I saw of approval for Pat Toomey. I do not know whether "28" or "43" is the outlier.

A strong Democratic candidate and a powerful Democratic GOTV drive can defeat Pat Toomey. Democrats have the advantage in that they can get bigger mass audiences than Republicans in most states. That is how Barack Obama won, and that is how Democrats will win where they win for the foreseeable future.

[IceSpear]

What's with all the low percentages? 20%-30% range for approvals. I'm guessing many people have no real clue or interests in their elected representatives anymore.

The fact that this poll is among adults probably contributes to it. But yeah, it is a shame.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Clinton will win IL, MI, and Pa by 8-12 points. But, the trend is certainly in those two states directions and not trending downwards, along with NM, is certainly positive for Dems. Even WI, IA, NH and NV will be won by a decent 6 point spread.

As GOP chances of having this race close, is getting further and further away.

[Mehmentum]

Still not seeing any openings for Republicans to expand the map.

[RFayette]

Still not seeing any openings for Republicans to expand the map.

Definitely not w/ Jeb or Christie.