Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
October 19, 2019, 10:32:56 pm
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  NH-Bloomberg/St. Anselm: Clinton leads Bush/Paul/Walker by 7-14 points
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NH-Bloomberg/St. Anselm: Clinton leads Bush/Paul/Walker by 7-14 points  (Read 1290 times)
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,039
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 12, 2015, 12:10:01 am »

https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2015-02-11/bloomberg-politics-saint-anselm-poll-clinton-tops-bush-walker-paul-in-granite-state



Among Independents:


Logged
Sensitive Soccer Moms Against Impeachment
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,480
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 12, 2015, 11:11:19 am »

Hillary is likely winning women voters in NH by 20-25 points. White Democrats (especially women) in NH are probably as inelastic as white Republicans in MS. The question will be if Walker (or whoever the Rep. nominee is) can win enough women to win the state. I doubt it...
Logged
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,502
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 12, 2015, 02:17:13 pm »

Pathetic performance for Hillary. Martin O'Malley would be leading in NH by at least 500,000 points.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,904
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 12, 2015, 08:33:48 pm »

New Hampshire looks like a good bet for Democrats in 2016. Decent 2014 and Romney was a neighboring Gov and still lost it by 5.6 points.
Logged
Panda Express
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,151


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 12, 2015, 08:40:07 pm »

I firmly believe NH was only pseudo-competitive in 2008 and 2012 because of the two home state advantages.

McCain was known as the state's "third senator" and spent like, years in that state.
Romney had it as one of his home states.


I expect Clinton to win rather easily and little attention will be paid here. Nobody has the clout in NH that both McCain and Romney had.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,904
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2015, 01:07:29 am »

Yeah, McCain and Romney were both good candidates for the state and both lost by more than the national vote. If anything like this holds then NH-1 flips back and NH Senate is a close race. It doesn't make sense for the GOP to spend big bucks in the Boston market either when no other states in it are competitive.
Logged
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,502
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 18, 2015, 04:32:14 pm »

You can argue this is good for the GOP; they can stop wasting any time here and focus on states they have a realistic chance to win.

Kelly Ayotte wouldn't be too happy about that.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,687
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 18, 2015, 04:34:50 pm »

I think Walker particularly would be wise to spend a lot of time either. Really him and Paul would have a legitimate chance. Hillary is up big everywhere and this shouldn't deter so early. If Paul gets CO and NH, he doesn't need VA. For Walker, he could get WI and NH in place of VA. It's a pretty critical state.
Logged
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,502
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 18, 2015, 04:36:27 pm »

You can argue this is good for the GOP; they can stop wasting any time here and focus on states they have a realistic chance to win.

Kelly Ayotte wouldn't be too happy about that.
Obviously I mean in Presidential elections.

Yeah, I know. But competing in the presidential race in NH would also help Ayotte by proxy. If you concede the state in the presidential race, that's going to increase the Dem margin by at least a few points from what it would otherwise be, and it could hurt the Republicans downballot.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC