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  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: Torie, Senator ON Progressive)
  Major Cities where Whites Voted for Romney?
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Author Topic: Major Cities where Whites Voted for Romney?  (Read 13719 times)
RFayette
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« on: February 13, 2015, 05:33:43 pm »

I know pretty much all major cities (other than OKC, Tulsa, and a few others, I guess) vote Democratic, but what I was wondering is, what are major cities where the white population of those cities voted for Romney?  And remember this is the city itself, not the whole county.

A few guesses:
-Dallas
-Houston
-New Orleans
-Atlanta
-Phoenix
-Tampa/Miami?
-Indianapolis
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TDAS04
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« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2015, 07:17:22 pm »

Nashville, Charlotte. 
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RFayette
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« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2015, 07:33:00 pm »

Can anyone verify the ones I put down?
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L.D. Smith
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« Reply #3 on: February 13, 2015, 07:40:15 pm »

Provo
Salt Lake City
Boise
Fresno
Bakersfield
Colorado Springs
Virginia Beach
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2015, 08:10:42 pm »

Are we talking about the city proper or the metro?
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RFayette
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« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2015, 08:11:34 pm »

Are we talking about the city proper or the metro?

City proper
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #6 on: February 13, 2015, 08:24:51 pm »

Is Cincinnati a possibility? I would doubt it, but Romney did actually win some mostly white precincts - though usually ones with fewer people.

He also won a precinct just east of downtown that's rather built-up. For the life of me, I don't know why.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #7 on: February 13, 2015, 11:59:38 pm »

San Antonio seems like a place that would fall into this category?

Is St. Louis a possibility?

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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #8 on: February 14, 2015, 01:05:05 am »

Some of these that are being said are likely exaggerated, although I don't have numbers to back me up.

My guesses:

San Diego
Phoenix
Jacksonville
New Orleans

And that's about it. Cities like Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, San Antonio, Tampa, Indy, Pittsburgh...these would have been good guesses in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, but their trends would indicate that most whites in these cities are voting Democratic now.
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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: February 14, 2015, 03:09:50 am »

For New Orleans, my estimate (based on the 2008 results) was Obama winning whites around 51/47. The white-majority precincts are collectively 78% white and voted for him 57/41.

Obama almost certainly won white by a larger margin in 2012 because 1) the parish itself swung to him and 2) the white liberal contingent of the city is becoming increasingly more influential.
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Anonymous
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« Reply #10 on: February 14, 2015, 06:04:38 am »

San Antonio seems like a place that would fall into this category?

Is St. Louis a possibility?



No. The city itself is only plurality black, and Obama still managed to crack ~83 percent of the vote there.
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Badger
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« Reply #11 on: February 14, 2015, 08:19:43 am »

Provo
Salt Lake City
Boise
Fresno
Bakersfield
Colorado Springs
Virginia Beach

Well considering Romney won Provo, Colorado Springs, and Va Beach outright, i'd say those are pretty good guesses. Tongue Ditto for Jacksonville.
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« Reply #12 on: February 15, 2015, 10:51:16 pm »

Romney won whites in all the independent cities in the Hampton Roads area except Williamsburg and possibly Norfolk. He most likely didn't in Richmond though.
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Badger
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« Reply #13 on: February 16, 2015, 12:56:12 am »

Some of these that are being said are likely exaggerated, although I don't have numbers to back me up.

My guesses:

San Diego
Phoenix
Jacksonville
New Orleans

And that's about it. Cities like Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, San Antonio, Tampa, Indy, Pittsburgh...these would have been good guesses in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, but their trends would indicate that most whites in these cities are voting Democratic now.

Pittsburgh whites voted overwhelmingly Democratic over the decades. It's only with decreasing unionization in the region that whites in the surrounding counties and suburbs have grown more GOP friendly. Pittsburgh whites remain rather Democratic, between a combination of lingering union strength and hipster artsie social liberalism.
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mathstatman
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« Reply #14 on: May 02, 2015, 06:50:57 pm »

Jackson MS and Birmingham AL for sure.
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DS0816
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« Reply #15 on: August 01, 2015, 05:24:24 am »

Cite major cities in statesówhose counties carried Republicanówon statewide by more than 20 percentage points for a 2012 Mitt Romney. Think right away of Oklahoma!
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VPH
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« Reply #16 on: August 02, 2015, 05:45:44 pm »

Wichita, KS
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: August 05, 2015, 01:30:55 pm »

Indianapolis
South Bend
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jeron
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« Reply #18 on: September 27, 2015, 08:16:16 am »

Some of these that are being said are likely exaggerated, although I don't have numbers to back me up.

My guesses:

San Diego
Phoenix
Jacksonville
New Orleans

And that's about it. Cities like Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, San Antonio, Tampa, Indy, Pittsburgh...these would have been good guesses in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, but their trends would indicate that most whites in these cities are voting Democratic now.

Pittsburgh whites voted overwhelmingly Democratic over the decades. It's only with decreasing unionization in the region that whites in the surrounding counties and suburbs have grown more GOP friendly. Pittsburgh whites remain rather Democratic, between a combination of lingering union strength and hipster artsie social liberalism.

Obama got 75% of the vote in 2012, while non-hispanic whites were 65% of the population. So, Obama must have had a fairly large majority of the white vote.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #19 on: September 27, 2015, 04:24:48 pm »

Jackson MS and Birmingham AL for sure.

While Romney probably did win Jackson and Birmingham Whites in 2012, I'd be surprised if he did so with anymore than 55-60% of the votes.  Whites would have been more GOP-voting in other large cities in Mississippi/Alabama, such as the Gulf Coast, Huntsville, and Montgomery.

Also, Birmingham is changing and gentrifying than any other city in the South - its getting to be very gay too.  Give B'ham another 5 to 10 years and it'll be seen as a mini-Atlanta. 
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2015, 10:55:58 pm »

Some of these that are being said are likely exaggerated, although I don't have numbers to back me up.

My guesses:

San Diego
Phoenix
Jacksonville
New Orleans

And that's about it. Cities like Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, San Antonio, Tampa, Indy, Pittsburgh...these would have been good guesses in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, but their trends would indicate that most whites in these cities are voting Democratic now.

My sister goes to Butler, and I would be SHOCKED if Romney didn't win Indianapolis Whites.
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PR
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« Reply #21 on: October 20, 2015, 11:31:14 am »


Fort Wayne?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #22 on: October 20, 2015, 12:04:56 pm »

San Antonio seems like a place that would fall into this category?

Is St. Louis a possibility?


St. Louis City Whites are heavily Democratic, though if you merged St. Louis City and St. Louis County, I would imagine whites voted narrowly for Romney.
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SunriseAroundTheWorld
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« Reply #23 on: October 20, 2015, 12:31:59 pm »

I can't see Romney winning South Bend whites. I know its a catholic college town, but its still a college town.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #24 on: October 20, 2015, 12:36:51 pm »

I can't see Romney winning South Bend whites. I know its a catholic college town, but its still a college town.

And White Catholics are still more Democratic than White Protestants.
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