Major Cities where Whites Voted for Romney?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 12:53:54 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Major Cities where Whites Voted for Romney?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: Major Cities where Whites Voted for Romney?  (Read 16497 times)
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,955
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 13, 2015, 05:33:43 PM »

I know pretty much all major cities (other than OKC, Tulsa, and a few others, I guess) vote Democratic, but what I was wondering is, what are major cities where the white population of those cities voted for Romney?  And remember this is the city itself, not the whole county.

A few guesses:
-Dallas
-Houston
-New Orleans
-Atlanta
-Phoenix
-Tampa/Miami?
-Indianapolis
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,519
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2015, 07:17:22 PM »

Nashville, Charlotte. 
Logged
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,955
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2015, 07:33:00 PM »

Can anyone verify the ones I put down?
Logged
Mr. Smith
MormDem
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 33,172
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 13, 2015, 07:40:15 PM »

Provo
Salt Lake City
Boise
Fresno
Bakersfield
Colorado Springs
Virginia Beach
Logged
DC Al Fine
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,085
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 13, 2015, 08:10:42 PM »

Are we talking about the city proper or the metro?
Logged
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,955
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 13, 2015, 08:11:34 PM »

Are we talking about the city proper or the metro?

City proper
Logged
Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,958


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 13, 2015, 08:24:51 PM »

Is Cincinnati a possibility? I would doubt it, but Romney did actually win some mostly white precincts - though usually ones with fewer people.

He also won a precinct just east of downtown that's rather built-up. For the life of me, I don't know why.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,809
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 13, 2015, 11:59:38 PM »

San Antonio seems like a place that would fall into this category?

Is St. Louis a possibility?

Logged
Mr. Illini
liberty142
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,847
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 14, 2015, 01:05:05 AM »

Some of these that are being said are likely exaggerated, although I don't have numbers to back me up.

My guesses:

San Diego
Phoenix
Jacksonville
New Orleans

And that's about it. Cities like Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, San Antonio, Tampa, Indy, Pittsburgh...these would have been good guesses in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, but their trends would indicate that most whites in these cities are voting Democratic now.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,324
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 14, 2015, 03:09:50 AM »

For New Orleans, my estimate (based on the 2008 results) was Obama winning whites around 51/47. The white-majority precincts are collectively 78% white and voted for him 57/41.

Obama almost certainly won white by a larger margin in 2012 because 1) the parish itself swung to him and 2) the white liberal contingent of the city is becoming increasingly more influential.
Logged
HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,039
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: February 14, 2015, 06:04:38 AM »

San Antonio seems like a place that would fall into this category?

Is St. Louis a possibility?



No. The city itself is only plurality black, and Obama still managed to crack ~83 percent of the vote there.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,310
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: February 14, 2015, 08:19:43 AM »

Provo
Salt Lake City
Boise
Fresno
Bakersfield
Colorado Springs
Virginia Beach

Well considering Romney won Provo, Colorado Springs, and Va Beach outright, i'd say those are pretty good guesses. Tongue Ditto for Jacksonville.
Logged
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,677
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: February 15, 2015, 10:51:16 PM »

Romney won whites in all the independent cities in the Hampton Roads area except Williamsburg and possibly Norfolk. He most likely didn't in Richmond though.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,310
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: February 16, 2015, 12:56:12 AM »

Some of these that are being said are likely exaggerated, although I don't have numbers to back me up.

My guesses:

San Diego
Phoenix
Jacksonville
New Orleans

And that's about it. Cities like Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, San Antonio, Tampa, Indy, Pittsburgh...these would have been good guesses in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, but their trends would indicate that most whites in these cities are voting Democratic now.

Pittsburgh whites voted overwhelmingly Democratic over the decades. It's only with decreasing unionization in the region that whites in the surrounding counties and suburbs have grown more GOP friendly. Pittsburgh whites remain rather Democratic, between a combination of lingering union strength and hipster artsie social liberalism.
Logged
SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,639
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: May 02, 2015, 06:50:57 PM »

Jackson MS and Birmingham AL for sure.
Logged
DS0816
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,132
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 01, 2015, 05:24:24 AM »

Cite major cities in states—whose counties carried Republican—won statewide by more than 20 percentage points for a 2012 Mitt Romney. Think right away of Oklahoma!
Logged
VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,694
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 02, 2015, 05:45:44 PM »

Wichita, KS
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,858
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 05, 2015, 01:30:55 PM »

Indianapolis
South Bend
Logged
jeron
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 663
Netherlands
Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -7.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 27, 2015, 08:16:16 AM »

Some of these that are being said are likely exaggerated, although I don't have numbers to back me up.

My guesses:

San Diego
Phoenix
Jacksonville
New Orleans

And that's about it. Cities like Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, San Antonio, Tampa, Indy, Pittsburgh...these would have been good guesses in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, but their trends would indicate that most whites in these cities are voting Democratic now.

Pittsburgh whites voted overwhelmingly Democratic over the decades. It's only with decreasing unionization in the region that whites in the surrounding counties and suburbs have grown more GOP friendly. Pittsburgh whites remain rather Democratic, between a combination of lingering union strength and hipster artsie social liberalism.

Obama got 75% of the vote in 2012, while non-hispanic whites were 65% of the population. So, Obama must have had a fairly large majority of the white vote.
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,809
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 27, 2015, 04:24:48 PM »

Jackson MS and Birmingham AL for sure.

While Romney probably did win Jackson and Birmingham Whites in 2012, I'd be surprised if he did so with anymore than 55-60% of the votes.  Whites would have been more GOP-voting in other large cities in Mississippi/Alabama, such as the Gulf Coast, Huntsville, and Montgomery.

Also, Birmingham is changing and gentrifying than any other city in the South - its getting to be very gay too.  Give B'ham another 5 to 10 years and it'll be seen as a mini-Atlanta. 
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,010
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2015, 10:55:58 PM »

Some of these that are being said are likely exaggerated, although I don't have numbers to back me up.

My guesses:

San Diego
Phoenix
Jacksonville
New Orleans

And that's about it. Cities like Pittsburgh, Las Vegas, San Antonio, Tampa, Indy, Pittsburgh...these would have been good guesses in the 80's, 90's, and early 2000's, but their trends would indicate that most whites in these cities are voting Democratic now.

My sister goes to Butler, and I would be SHOCKED if Romney didn't win Indianapolis Whites.
Logged
All Along The Watchtower
Progressive Realist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,466
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 20, 2015, 11:31:14 AM »


Fort Wayne?
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 20, 2015, 12:04:56 PM »

San Antonio seems like a place that would fall into this category?

Is St. Louis a possibility?


St. Louis City Whites are heavily Democratic, though if you merged St. Louis City and St. Louis County, I would imagine whites voted narrowly for Romney.
Logged
SATW
SunriseAroundTheWorld
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,463
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: October 20, 2015, 12:31:59 PM »

I can't see Romney winning South Bend whites. I know its a catholic college town, but its still a college town.
Logged
RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,010
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: October 20, 2015, 12:36:51 PM »

I can't see Romney winning South Bend whites. I know its a catholic college town, but its still a college town.

And White Catholics are still more Democratic than White Protestants.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.067 seconds with 13 queries.