CO/IA/VA-Quinnipiac: Bush ties Clinton in VA; she leads everyone everywhere else (user search)
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  CO/IA/VA-Quinnipiac: Bush ties Clinton in VA; she leads everyone everywhere else (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO/IA/VA-Quinnipiac: Bush ties Clinton in VA; she leads everyone everywhere else  (Read 4210 times)
Devils30
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Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: February 18, 2015, 08:30:21 AM »

Judging Quinniipac record in Colorado this is a great poll for her. Virginia seems like an outlier, should do better there but the state also has a lot of white southerners. Seems like it's the white voters in the non-south she runs ahead of Obama with much more than VA NC etc.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: February 18, 2015, 06:31:08 PM »

Not sold on Hillary having Virginia troubles based off one poll. And the GOP can't afford to let her do better than Obama with ANY demographic. The math doesn't add up when you begin 3.85 points down and have 4 years of demographic change to counter.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2015, 08:24:28 PM »

Jeb is also a terrible fit for Ohio, Iowa and Wisconsin. All of which soured on W and have somewhat revived economically as of late. Seems like all of Hillary's white improvement would be in the northeast and Midwest.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2015, 10:26:21 PM »

If Jeb is losing WI, IA like that he is probably losing OH as well. There is no path without Ohio for the GOP. And I'm skeptical about Nevada going red, the demographics are just very tough for the GOP and not getting better. Sandoval wins because hes personally popular, not because his party. Virginia is becoming Pennsylvania like for the GOP, don't count on Clinton being held to 50% in the DC suburbs with higher turnout. FL of course is a must win for Jeb or anyone in the GOP and Jeb only ties with his home state edge.
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