Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 17, 2019, 09:38:42 pm
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls (Moderators: AndrewTX, Likely Voter)
  CA-Field Poll: Walker/Bush & Hillary ahead
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: CA-Field Poll: Walker/Bush & Hillary ahead  (Read 2168 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 49,047
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: February 19, 2015, 08:56:54 am »

GOP primary:

Likely voters/Registered voters

18 16 Scott Walker, Wisconsin Governor
16 16 Jeb Bush, former Florida Governor
10 10 Rand Paul, Kentucky Senator
  8   8 Ben Carson, author and medical doctor
  7   6 Marco Rubio, Florida Senator
  5   6 Mike Huckabee, former Arkansas Governor
  5   5 Ted Cruz, Texas Senator
  4   4 Rick Perry, Texas Governor
  3   4 Chris Christie, New Jersey Governor
  1   1 Bobby Jindal, Louisiana Governor
  1   1 Lindsey Graham, South Carolina Senator
  3   3 Others (less than of 1% each)
19 21 Undecided

DEM primary:

Likely voters/Registered voters

59 58 Hillary Clinton, former U.S. Secretary of State
17 15 Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts Senator
  9 10 Joe Biden, Vice President
  6   5 Bernie Sanders, Vermont Senator
  2   2 Jim Webb, former Virginia Senator
  0   1 Others (less than of 1% each)
  7   9 Undecided

The latest Field Poll was completed January 26-February 16, 2015 among 1,241 registered voters in California, including 525 registered Democrats and 342 registered Republicans.

Likely voter preferences in the Democratic presidential primary are based on 425 likely voters who are Democrats, while likely voter preferences in GOP primary are based on 237 likely voters who are Republicans.

Interviews were administered by telephone using live interviewers in English, Spanish, Cantonese, Korean, Mandarin and Vietnamese.

http://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/field-polls/article10663022.ece/BINARY/Field%20Poll%20results:%20Presidential%20primary%20races
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,175
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2015, 02:12:07 pm »

#HillaryBelow60
#2008Redux
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2015, 03:52:03 pm »

Hillary is only popular among far right Democrats like those in California. The true progressives in Oklahoma and Idaho hate her.
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,175
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2015, 05:23:19 pm »

Hillary is only popular among far right Democrats like those in California. The true progressives in Oklahoma and Idaho hate her.
Considering we haven't seen a poll of the oklahoma or idaho primary yet, she could be in danger there. If Webb is to succeed anywhere, it will be in the states with the most conservative democrats, which are in the south and republican west.
Logged
morgieb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,468
Australia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2015, 08:49:09 pm »

Hillary is only popular among far right Democrats like those in California. The true progressives in Oklahoma and Idaho hate her.
Didn't she win Oklahoma in 2008? And the Democratic base is Idaho would be quite progressive....I don't see your point.
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,175
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2015, 09:29:44 pm »

Hillary is only popular among far right Democrats like those in California. The true progressives in Oklahoma and Idaho hate her.
Didn't she win Oklahoma in 2008?
That was more a result of racism against Obama than anything else. Edwards would have probably won OK if he had stayed in the race long enough.
Logged
Beet
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 24,493


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2015, 09:52:14 pm »

Christie is polling below Perry in CA?
Logged
Mr. Morden
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 39,291
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2015, 10:07:59 pm »

non-Hispanic whites:

Clinton 53%
Warren 25%
Biden 6%

African Americans:

Clinton 70%
Biden 16%
Warren 3%

Quite a large racial gap there, especially for Warren.
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,175
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2015, 10:11:06 pm »

#Clinton only leading by 28 with whites
#2008Redux!!!!
Logged
King
intermoderate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 29,470
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2015, 11:50:43 pm »

non-Hispanic whites:

Clinton 53%
Warren 25%
Biden 6%

African Americans:

Clinton 70%
Biden 16%
Warren 3%

Quite a large racial gap there, especially for Warren.

Warren has always been the candidate of out of touch liberal white folk who want to lose in 2016.
Logged
Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,175
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.68, S: 1.22

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 16, 2016, 10:52:11 pm »

LOL. Walker and Bush leading, Trump not even included. Interesting that Hillary didn't fall much in the state though. 59% here, she got 55% (as of now) in the actual contest.
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,740
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 16, 2016, 10:59:11 pm »

Hillary is only popular among far right Democrats like those in California. The true progressives in Oklahoma and Idaho hate her.

Prescient!
Logged
TheDeadFlagBlues
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,794
Mexico


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 16, 2016, 11:05:48 pm »

Hillary is only popular among far right Democrats like those in California. The true progressives in Oklahoma and Idaho hate her.

Prescient!

As usual, I'll point out that Idaho Democratic voters are more left-wing than California Democratic voters. Ralph Nader won 2.45% of the vote in 2000 and he was a write-in candidate; that translates to something like 10% of Democratic voters casting a ballot for him. In California, Nader won 3.82% of the vote.

I'm not sure where you got the impression that Idaho Democrats are conservative; they tend to be secular, lower middle class or working class and they're disproportinately public employees. Generally speaking, these are the conditions that produce left-wing political views among white voters in the US...

Note: when I say "Idaho Democrats", I'm referring to people who almost always vote for Democrats, not people who identify as Democrats.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC