MO-Remington Research/Missouri Scout: Hillary trails by quite a bit in Missouri

[Landslide Lyndon]

I've said this before, Hillary has only a chance in flipping one Obama state and that's NC. Everything else you can forget about it she's not winning AZ as long as she supports full immigration reform or MO, AR, KY as long as she supports gun control.

She may also have a chance in Georgia if she is winning in a landslide (7+ points). Other than that, I agree with you.

[Landslide Lyndon]

I've said this before, Hillary has only a chance in flipping one Obama state and that's NC. Everything else you can forget about it she's not winning AZ as long as she supports full immigration reform or MO, AR, KY as long as she supports gun control.

She may also have a chance in Georgia if she is winning in a landslide (7+ points). Other than that, I agree with you.

NC and GA will probably stay Republican because of lower Black and young turnout. I know it's early but I just don't see her creating the same "magic" (2008)  and enthusiasm (2012) that Obama did.

How do you know that? Black turnout remained steady in 2013 and 2014.

[Landslide Lyndon]

The Republican base will be more motivated (presumably, of course) and the GOP will do one or two points better among Blacks in 2016. You combine that with a turnout drop among young voters and GA would only go to Hillary in a HUGE wave. AZ is a different story, though.

How will they be more motivated than 2012? Their hatred for Obama dwarfs any similar feelings they ever had for Hillary and Bill.