IA-Gravis Marketing: Hilldog leads all
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Author Topic: IA-Gravis Marketing: Hilldog leads all  (Read 1445 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: February 19, 2015, 02:15:41 PM »

44-39 Clinton/Paul
45-40 Clinton/Huckabee
47-41 Clinton/Walker
43-37 Clinton/Bush
45-35 Clinton/Christie

http://gravismarketing.com/uncategorized/iowa-poll-walker-garners-24-of-gop-support-paul-clinton-beats-walker-others-head-to-head
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2015, 04:09:42 PM »

>Gravis
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2015, 05:14:06 PM »


It seems to be in line with the Quinnipiac poll though. Basically, Hillary is winning all the Braley voters right now.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2015, 05:27:10 PM »


It seems to be in line with the Quinnipiac poll though. Basically, Hillary is winning all the Braley voters right now.

Even if 5 pollsters have someone up by 10 points, and Gravis also shows them up 10 points, I will still post a ">Gravis". Tongue
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2015, 02:38:40 AM »

It's early, but these polls aren't exactly suggesting that Hillary will be especially weak in Iowa (compared to other states).
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2015, 11:38:52 AM »

It's early, but these polls aren't exactly suggesting that Hillary will be especially weak in Iowa (compared to other states).

It's funny because Iowa was one of the worst 2X Obama states for Bill Clinton after VA and CO.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #6 on: March 03, 2015, 08:17:38 PM »


It seems to be in line with the Quinnipiac poll though. Basically, Hillary is winning all the Braley voters right now.

And no one else. 45% for someone with 100% name recognition isnt good.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #7 on: March 03, 2015, 08:25:15 PM »

Not related to these specific numbers, but what is thought to be Gravis' main "flaw"?  It's constantly made fun of as the worst polling service.  Do they use a bad method/generalize their questions/use bad sampling?
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #8 on: March 03, 2015, 09:20:36 PM »

Not related to these specific numbers, but what is thought to be Gravis' main "flaw"?  It's constantly made fun of as the worst polling service.  Do they use a bad method/generalize their questions/use bad sampling?

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/outlier-pollsters-cheated-themselves-in-virginias-senate-race/
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: March 03, 2015, 10:52:31 PM »

Not related to these specific numbers, but what is thought to be Gravis' main "flaw"?  It's constantly made fun of as the worst polling service.  Do they use a bad method/generalize their questions/use bad sampling?

They had a horrible track record in 2012. It was slightly better in 2014, but their polls seem very amateurish, misspelling the names of candidates, using obviously absurd demographics (such as the NH D primary being 56-44 male when it was 58-42 female in 2008), and even their own polls being inconsistent with each other. They've shown Bush doing better in SC than in FL, Warren doing better in NH than MA, showing Rand Paul beating Warren by a bigger margin in CA than in NC, etc. etc. They also "recalled" a poll in 2014 that was an obvious outlier. Overall, they're extremely shoddy.
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RFayette
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: March 03, 2015, 10:56:30 PM »

In my opinion, Clinton will probably carry Iowa though Walker or Rand could make it competitive.  Jeb Bush, not a snowball's chance in hell for him.
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