Hydera
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,545
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« on: April 25, 2015, 08:36:19 AM » |
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Ignoring the Reagan 80' part. These counties voted for Carter in 1980, Mondale in 1984, then switched to Bush in 1988 and Won by Clinton in 1992.
Tenneessee: Hardeman, White, Lincoln
South Carolina: Edgefield
Georgia: Mitchell, Telfair, Taylor, Bibb, Washington
For the south carolina and georgia counties, those counties had a large black population.
Bush did increase the share of blacks voting for republicans by 1%
However the most likely scenario is a southern democrat who voted for mondale due to appreciation of carter despite probably not liking mondale very much. Then switched to Bush over social issues, especially on gun control and the death penalty. Before switching to Clinton because they thought of him as a reformed southern democrat that was more likeable and strong on crime. And probably after Clinton left became solid voters for republican candidates.
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