FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?
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  FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?
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Author Topic: FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?  (Read 103797 times)
Heisenberg
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« Reply #625 on: June 07, 2016, 01:41:14 AM »

The last hope is that of Jolly, DeSantis, and CLC, only one stays in, and the other two drop out. I really don't know which of the three is strongest, they all have their strengths and weaknesses.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #626 on: June 07, 2016, 10:15:56 PM »

So my internship ended suddenly today (I wasn't fired but I'm being replaced since my boss owes someone a favor and there isn't room for two interns) so no more Sanchez-leaks for the time being Sad. He said he's gonna get me hooked up with the RPOF, but it looks hazy.
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Vosem
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« Reply #627 on: June 07, 2016, 10:19:25 PM »

So my internship ended suddenly today (I wasn't fired but I'm being replaced since my boss owes someone a favor and there isn't room for two interns) so no more Sanchez-leaks for the time being Sad. He said he's gonna get me hooked up with the RPOF, but it looks hazy.

Good luck, Sanchez!
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windjammer
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« Reply #628 on: June 08, 2016, 05:56:43 AM »

So my internship ended suddenly today (I wasn't fired but I'm being replaced since my boss owes someone a favor and there isn't room for two interns) so no more Sanchez-leaks for the time being Sad. He said he's gonna get me hooked up with the RPOF, but it looks hazy.
Sorry for you, hopefully you will be able to be involved in politics behind the scene again in the future.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #629 on: June 08, 2016, 06:31:39 AM »

Adam Smith thinks Jolly drops back down and runs for House.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #630 on: June 09, 2016, 09:51:01 AM »
« Edited: June 09, 2016, 10:13:35 AM by RogueBeaver »

Caputo says Jolly is considering dropping back down, pushed by pressure and changing electoral circumstances. In Rubioworld, some believe that Rubio's non-Shermanesque statements are for leverage on a formal CLC endorsements, others that he's genuinely reconsidering.

Jolly says he'll make a Senate decision within the next week, and he expects to hear from Rubio by then. House race is a separate decision.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #631 on: June 09, 2016, 12:20:43 PM »

Murphy allegedly traded donations for favors.

He also misstated his CPA experience, according to a report.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #632 on: June 09, 2016, 12:57:23 PM »

So my internship ended suddenly today (I wasn't fired but I'm being replaced since my boss owes someone a favor and there isn't room for two interns) so no more Sanchez-leaks for the time being Sad. He said he's gonna get me hooked up with the RPOF, but it looks hazy.
Would like Atlas to fake references for you?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #633 on: June 09, 2016, 01:34:43 PM »

Isn't the House seat Crist is running for a safe D seat? Why would Jolly volunteer to be slaughtered there?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #634 on: June 09, 2016, 01:48:12 PM »

Isn't the House seat Crist is running for a safe D seat? Why would Jolly volunteer to be slaughtered there?

I just don't get the impression that Jolly is that bright.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #635 on: June 09, 2016, 02:18:44 PM »


What? The golden boy is having trouble in Paradise?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #636 on: June 09, 2016, 02:34:34 PM »

Isn't the House seat Crist is running for a safe D seat? Why would Jolly volunteer to be slaughtered there?

Obama '12 carried it 54.6-43.9. That might seem like a lot, but Curbelo's district, which is considered to be competitive, is Obama '12 55.4-43.9. So while Crist would probably be a favorite given that he carried Pinellas County, which is where the district is, as a republican, as a democrat, and as an independent, it wouldn't be completely hopeless.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #637 on: June 09, 2016, 02:44:46 PM »

Isn't the House seat Crist is running for a safe D seat? Why would Jolly volunteer to be slaughtered there?

Obama '12 carried it 54.6-43.9. That might seem like a lot, but Curbelo's district, which is considered to be competitive, is Obama '12 55.4-43.9. So while Crist would probably be a favorite given that he carried Pinellas County, which is where the district is, as a republican, as a democrat, and as an independent, it wouldn't be completely hopeless.
His old seat was considered Tilt R, and the new one is Lean/Likely D. As explained, it could still be competitive. If he drops out, it also narrows the Republican field, which is critical.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #638 on: June 09, 2016, 03:34:57 PM »

Isn't the House seat Crist is running for a safe D seat? Why would Jolly volunteer to be slaughtered there?

Obama '12 carried it 54.6-43.9. That might seem like a lot, but Curbelo's district, which is considered to be competitive, is Obama '12 55.4-43.9. So while Crist would probably be a favorite given that he carried Pinellas County, which is where the district is, as a republican, as a democrat, and as an independent, it wouldn't be completely hopeless.

Curbello's seat has a lot of Cuban-Americans who are willing to vote R for congress. Pinellas Co. doesn't.

Jolly vs. Crist is Lean D at worst.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #639 on: June 09, 2016, 04:14:01 PM »

If Curbelo survives this cycle, it will be a huge testament to his talents and he'll probably run for Senate or Governor down the line. I think no matter what he does, it's going to be tough with demographics moving against him and Trump being toxic down ballot in this type of district.

But yeah, Jolly's up sh**ts creek either way.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #640 on: June 09, 2016, 04:14:32 PM »

Isn't the House seat Crist is running for a safe D seat? Why would Jolly volunteer to be slaughtered there?
Apparently polls (pretty sure they were internals) showed Jolly could still compete against Crist.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #641 on: June 09, 2016, 04:32:05 PM »

Maybe the FL GOP wants Jolly out to help them unite behind one candidate (plus he's to the left of DeSantis and CLC) and I think he does have a small chance against Crist in FL-13 (though definately an underdog). They really need to just focus behind one candidate, IMO.
Also bumping these up from the previous page:
Murphy allegedly traded donations for favors.

He also misstated his CPA experience, according to a report.

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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #642 on: June 09, 2016, 06:25:28 PM »

Maybe the FL GOP wants Jolly out to help them unite behind one candidate (plus he's to the left of DeSantis and CLC) and I think he does have a small chance against Crist in FL-13 (though definately an underdog). They really need to just focus behind one candidate, IMO.
Also bumping these up from the previous page:
Murphy allegedly traded donations for favors.

He also misstated his CPA experience, according to a report.



Yes, yes, we know you don't like Murphy.  You don't have to spam the thread by bumping links every time it goes to a new page.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #643 on: June 09, 2016, 06:54:04 PM »

Fine. I won't do it again. Since it was the second to last post on the last page, just wanted to put it back up front. I've read that the NRSC thinks Priviledged Patrick is deeply flawed, and it looks like here's some more stuff they can use as ammo.
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cxs018
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« Reply #644 on: June 09, 2016, 07:37:03 PM »

The thing is, this is a rare situation where the Floridems aren't doing too bad. But if Murphy does turn out to be as flawed as Grayson, then they'd probably lose this one easily.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #645 on: June 09, 2016, 07:40:44 PM »

The thing is, this is a rare situation where the Floridems aren't doing too bad. But if Murphy does turn out to be as flawed as Grayson, then they'd probably lose this one easily.
If Murphy's financial corruption allegations stick, he'll probably be hoping Jolly drops out. If they stick, I'd rate a Murphy v. Jolly race Tilt R.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #646 on: June 10, 2016, 07:37:42 AM »

St Pete Polls for FL-13: Jolly and Crist tied at 44%.
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JMT
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« Reply #647 on: June 10, 2016, 09:33:13 AM »


If Crist loses this race, I'll be pissed off because another Democrat could likely win it (this same poll shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 10 points in the district, while Crist and Jolly are tied. Also, 53% of respondents said they voted Obama in 2012). I really hope Jolly stays in the Senate race so Dems can safely lock up this seat... If Crist loses yet another winnable race his political career should be over for good.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #648 on: June 10, 2016, 11:46:41 AM »


If Crist loses this race, I'll be pissed off because another Democrat could likely win it (this same poll shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump by 10 points in the district, while Crist and Jolly are tied. Also, 53% of respondents said they voted Obama in 2012). I really hope Jolly stays in the Senate race so Dems can safely lock up this seat... If Crist loses yet another winnable race his political career should be over for good.
Jolly seems like a Republican who has crossover appeal. The article shows that he is still very popular, and doing really well with moderate and independent voters. That's why he's keeping it competitive.
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SATW
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« Reply #649 on: June 10, 2016, 12:13:14 PM »

lmaoo I hope Charlie loses another race.
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