Wyoming Rule Redistricting

[rpryor03]

To go here. To start:

WYOMING (AT-LARGE)



R+42

Amount of Seats By State

Alabama: 8 - Wulfric
Alaska: 1
Arizona: 12 - rpryor03
Arkansas: 5 - Wulfric
California: 60
Colorado: 9 - Wulfric
Connecticut: 6 - AngryGreatness
Delaware: 2 - AngryGreatness
Florida: 34
Georgia: 18 - Bacon King
Hawaii: 3 - AngryGreatness
Idaho: 3 - AngryGreatness
Illinois: 22
Indiana: 11 - Rpryor03
Iowa: 5 - JerryArkansas
Kansas: 5 - AngryGreatness
Kentucky: 8 - AngryGreatness
Louisiana: 8 - Miles
Maine: 2
Maryland: 10 - AngryGreatness
Massachusetts: 12 - Wulfric
Michigan: 17 - Miles
Minnesota: 9 - Miles
Mississippi: 5 - AngryGreatness
Missouri: 11 - rpryor03
Montana: 2 - AngryGreatness
Nebraska: 3
Nevada: 5 - ElectionsGuy
New Hampshire: 2
New Jersey: 15 - rpryor03
New Mexico: 4 - AngryGreatness
New York: 34
North Carolina: 17 - Miles
North Dakota: 1
Ohio: 20 - Rpryor03
Oklahoma: 7 - Rpryor03
Oregon: 7 - AngryGreatness
Pennsylvania: 22 - rpryor03
Rhode Island: 2
South Carolina: 8 - ElectionsGuy
South Dakota: 2 - AngryGreatness
Tennessee: 11 - Wulfric
Texas: 47
Utah: 5 - AngryGreatness
Vermont: 1
Virginia: 14 - rpryor03
Washington: 12 - AngryGreatness
West Virginia: 3
Wisconsin: 10 - Miles
Wyoming: 1

(States that are underlined don't get new seats. They will not appear in this redistricting series.)

[publicunofficial]

I made an attempt at a 12-district Washington.





CD-01 (Blue)
Everett, Lynnwood, Edmonds, Lake Stevens, Mountlake Terrace
60.1% Obama 2008, ~D+7

CD-01 (Green)
Bellingham, Oak Harbor, Mount Vernon, Marysville, Anacortes
55.4% Obama 2008, ~D+3

CD-03 (Purple)
Vancouver, Longview, Goldendale
52.4% Obama 2008, ~R+1

CD-04 (Red)
Tri-Cities, Walla Walla, Pullman, Moses Lake
39.2% Obama 2008, ~R+14

CD-05 (Yellow)
Spokane, Spokane Valley, Colville, Colfax
46.3% Obama 2008, ~R+7

CD-06 (Teal)
Port Angeles, Bremerton, Shelton, Arberdeen, Bainbridge Island
55.3% Obama 2008, ~D+2

CD-07 (Grey)
Seattle, Vashon Island, Richmond Highlands
83.5% Obama 2008, ~D+31

CD-08 (Olive)
Yakima, Ellensburg, Wenatchee, Enumclaw, Sammamish
48.4% Obama 2008, ~R+4

CD-09 (Cyan)
Tacoma, Gig Harbor, Puyallup
58.2% Obama 2008, ~D+5

CD-10 (Pink)
Seattle, SeaTac, Des Moines, Auburn, Kent
66.4% Obama, ~D+13

CD-11 (Chartreuse)
Bothell, Kirkland, Redmond, Mercer Island, Renton, Issaquah
64.4% Obama, ~D+11

CD-12 (Cornflower Blue)
Olympia, Centralia, Lacey, Spanaway
52.7% Obama, ~R+0

Lots of competitive seats, at least on paper. Not entirely satisfied with my 12th + 8th, might work on them later.

With 12 districts, Seattle becomes too large to fit into a single district, so I split it between by 7th + 10th.

[publicunofficial]

And here's Montana with 2 districts.



1st District is around R+7, 2nd District is about R+14. The 1st could easily be won by the right Dem.

[ElectionsGuy]

I did Nevada for fun





1: Even
2: D+17
3: D+10
4: D+1
5: R+7

[publicunofficial]

Hawaii




CD-01 (Blue)
D+18

CD-02 (Green)
D+16

CD-03 (Purple)
D+22

[publicunofficial]

I got bored and churned out a bunch of these.

Connecticut


CD-01: 70.1% Obama (D+17)
CD-02: 59.2% Obama (D+6)
CD-03: 58.6% Obama (D+6)
CD-04: 56.6% Obama (D+4)
CD-05: 54.4% Obama (D+2)
CD-06: 67.2% Obama (D+14)

Delaware


CD-01: 71.1% Obama (D+18)
CD-02: 52.0% Obama (R+1)

Idaho


CD-01: 55.2% McCain (R+10)
CD-02: 60.7% McCain (R+16)
CD-03: 69.5% McCain (R+25)

Kansas


CD-01: 69.4% McCain (R+24)
CD-02: 56.8% McCain (R+12)
CD-03: 51.6% Obama (R+1)
CD-04: 61.2% McCain (R+16)
CD-05: 50.2% McCain (R+5)

Kentucky


CD-01: 59.1% McCain (R+14)
CD-02: 60.3% McCain (R+14)
CD-03: 61.1% Obama (D+8)
CD-04: 59.0% McCain (R+13)
CD-05: 59.6% McCain (R+14)
CD-06: 53.7% McCain (R+8)
CD-07: 71.3% McCain (R+26)
CD-08: 61.0% McCain (R+15)

Maryland



CD-01: 54.4% McCain (R+9)
CD-02: 53.6% Obama (D+1)
CD-03: 57.4% Obama (D+5)
CD-04: 91.6% Obama (D+39) [75.3% African-American]
CD-05: 52.0% Obama (R+1)
CD-06: 56.6% McCain (R+10)
CD-07: 88.1% Obama (D+35) [65.5% African-American]
CD-08: 70.4% Obama (D+17)
CD-09: 80.4% Obama (D+27) [32.1% African-American, plurality]
CD-10: 50.9% McCain (R+6)

Mississippi


CD-01: 61.3% McCain (R+15)
CD-02: 61.6% Obama (D+9) [61.3% African-American]
CD-03: 53.2% McCain (R+7)
CD-04: 67.5% McCain (R+21)
CD-05: 63.1% McCain (R+17)

New Mexico



CD-01: 61.6% Obama (D+9) [48.2% Hispanic, plurality]
CD-02: 54.4% McCain (R+9) [51.8% Hispanic]
CD-03: 64.9% Obama (D+12) [46.2% Hispanic, plurality]
CD-04: 53.2% Obama (D+0) [39% Hispanic, plurality]

Oregon



South Dakota


CD-01: 57.2% McCain (R+12)
CD-02: 49.2% McCain (R+4)

Utah



CD-01: 67.5% McCain (R+24)
CD-02: 69.9% McCain (R+26)
CD-03: 76.3% McCain (R+32)
CD-04: 55.7% McCain (R+11)
CD-05: 50.4% Obama (R+2)

[rpryor03]

District 1 (West Hamilton): D+1
District 2 (East Hamilton, Clermont, Brown, Clinton, Highland, Adams): R+23
District 3 (Butler, Warren): R+31
District 4 (Preble, Montgomery): R+4
District 5 (Greene, Clark, Champaign, Logan, Shelby, Miami, Darke): R+23
District 6 (Williams, Fulton, Henry, Defiance, Paulding, Putnam, Hancock, Hardin, Wyandot, Crawford, Allen, Mercer, Van Wert): R+25
District 7 (Wood, Lucas): D+23
District 8 (Ottawa, Sandusky, Erie, Seneca, Huron, Lorain): D+13
District 9 (Ashland, Richland, Holmes, Know, Morrow, Marion, Delaware, Union): R+20
District 10 (East Franklin): D+18
District 11 (Central Franklin): D+6
District 12 (West Franklin, Madison, Fayette, Pickaway, Ross, Hocking, Vinton, Jackson, Pike, Scioto, Lawrence, Gallia, Meigs): EVEN
District 13 (Athens, Washington, Noble, Morgan, Muskingum, Perry, Licking, Fairfield): R+5
District 14 (Monroe, Belmont, Guernsey, Harrison, Jefferson, Coshocton, Tuscawras, Carroll, South Stark): D+15
District 15 (West Medina, Wayne, North Stark, Portage, Geauga): R+5
District 16 (Columbiana, Mahoning, Trumbull): D+39
District 17 (Ashtabula, Lake, East Cuyahoga): D+12
District 18 (Summit, Southeast Medina): D+19
District 19 (Northeast Medina, Central Cuyahoga): D+51
District 20 (West Cuyahoga): D+21

[Padfoot]

I am very confused by this map.  You've clearly allowed for some significant population deviations in some areas in order to preserve whole counties and yet the Akron-Canton area is a mess, especially that ugly orange horseshoe around Summit and the three-way split in Medina.  You've also diluted the voting power of Appalachia by splitting it in three and taking in the Columbus suburbs.

I do like the way the southwest corner worked out but again there are some definitely uneven district populations down there. 

District 1 (West Hamilton): D+1
District 2 (East Hamilton, Clermont, Brown, Clinton, Highland, Adams): R+23
District 3 (Butler, Warren): R+31
District 4 (Preble, Montgomery): R+4
District 5 (Greene, Clark, Champaign, Logan, Shelby, Miami, Darke): R+23
District 6 (Williams, Fulton, Henry, Defiance, Paulding, Putnam, Hancock, Hardin, Wyandot, Crawford, Allen, Mercer, Van Wert): R+25
District 7 (Wood, Lucas): D+23
District 8 (Ottawa, Sandusky, Erie, Seneca, Huron, Lorain): D+13
District 9 (Ashland, Richland, Holmes, Know, Morrow, Marion, Delaware, Union): R+20
District 10 (East Franklin): D+18
District 11 (Central Franklin): D+6
District 12 (West Franklin, Madison, Fayette, Pickaway, Ross, Hocking, Vinton, Jackson, Pike, Scioto, Lawrence, Gallia, Meigs): EVEN
District 13 (Athens, Washington, Noble, Morgan, Muskingum, Perry, Licking, Fairfield): R+5
District 14 (Monroe, Belmont, Guernsey, Harrison, Jefferson, Coshocton, Tuscawras, Carroll, South Stark): D+15
District 15 (West Medina, Wayne, North Stark, Portage, Geauga): R+5
District 16 (Columbiana, Mahoning, Trumbull): D+39
District 17 (Ashtabula, Lake, East Cuyahoga): D+12
District 18 (Summit, Southeast Medina): D+19
District 19 (Northeast Medina, Central Cuyahoga): D+51
District 20 (West Cuyahoga): D+21

[Miles]

My goal was to create a reasonably clean second minority district:



CD1- 74/24 McCain
CD2- 71/28 Obama, 52.0% BVAP
CD3- 61/37 M
CD4- 56.5/42.5 M
CD5- 69/29 M
CD6- 73/26 M
CD7- 66/32 M
CD8- 59/40 O, 52.5% BVAP

New Orleans/Baton Rouge:

[rpryor03]

District 1 (Dark Blue): D+15
District 2 (Dark Green): EVEN
District 3 (Dark Purple): R+15
District 4 (Red): R+15
District 5 (Yellow): R+19
District 6 (Teal): R+13
District 7 (Gray): R+1
District 8 (Slate Blue): R+13
District 9 (Light Blue): R+29
District 10 (Deep Pink): D+3
District 11 (Light Green): D+17

[Miles]

I did a non-partial NC. It was more challenging than I thought, but I was reasonably happy with this:




CD1
As muon pulls out of some of the coastal counties in his maps with this, I did too. Its more compact than the current district, but is still 50.2% BVAP from arm into Raleigh.

CD2
I usually make a district that based in Johnston County plus takes in southern Wake.

CD3
As with CD1, this becomes cleaner, and is now even all whole counties. It would be very competitive but for the fact that Walter Jones lives here, who would hold it easily for the Republicans.

CD4
A compact Triagle area district. A lot like the old CD4.

CD5
With Jones taking CD3 off the table, this would be the most competitive seat. I couldn't figure out what to do with Forsyth county, so I put it with the VA border counties. Its very close to Richard Burr's old House seat. Republicans probably have a slight edge; Forsyth County is trending Dem slower than Guilford and the counties around it are pretty R-leaning.

CD6
Guilford County plus a few bedroom towns that are part of the Greensboro metro area.

CD7
Southeastern corner district thats tailor-made for Mike McIntyre.

CD8
Fayetteville district plus the sandhills counties around it. Larry Kissell was drawn out the seat, but its a lot like his old district.

CD9
Southern Charlotte and western Union County are good pair as far as CoI's go. Cabarrus County is similarly suburbanizing.

CD10
Basically the current CD10 minus Asheville but ads what was leftover in northern Mecklenburg County.

CD11
Pretty much how this district has always looked up until 2011. Adding all of Buncombe County would have put it too far over the population limit, so I had to remove a few precincts.

CD12
The urban Charlotte district.

CD13
The urban Raleigh district. Its to the right of Wake County overall, but is moving left nonetheless.

CD14
This reminds me a lot of the old CD10.

CD15
The goal here was to draw a district from Onslow to Cumberland counties, as they both have military interests (Ft. Bragg and Camp Lejuene). Its similar to the historical CD3.

CD16
Basically the old CD5 minus Forsyth County plus Rowan County.

CD17
I wanted to make a central Piedmont seat. I don't like how it encroaches on the Triangle area (taking in Chatham County, for example), but I guess it makes sense.

[rpryor03]

Virginia

District 1 (Blue): R+15
District 2 (Green): D+15
District 3 (Dark Magenta): R+14
District 4 (Red): R+5
District 5 (Gold): R+20
District 6 (Teal): D+5
District 7 (Gray): R+10
District 8 (Slate Blue): D+5
District 9 (Cyan): D+25
District 10 (Deep Pink): R+1
District 11 (Chartreuse): R+27
District 12 (Cornflower Blue): R+13
District 13 (Dark Salmon): R+15
District 14 (Olive): R+19

[Bacon King]

Georgia! 5 VRA seats. I maintained the current numbering scheme to the greatest extent possible, and I made a good-faith effort to be neutral and keep districts in fairly reasonable communities of interest.

Partisan split ended up: 5 safe Democratic, 9 safe GOP, 1 lean GOP, and 3 tossups/competitive seats

1: 51% McCain. 61% white, 31% black. competitive district
2: 62% Obama. 52% black. VRA district
3: 66% McCain. 72% white
4: 85% Obama. 51% black. VRA district
5: 71% Obama. 58% black. VRA district
6: 50% McCain. 57% white, 17% Hispanic, 15% black, 10% asian. competitive district
7: 56% McCain. 48% white, 20% black, 19% Hispanic, 12% asian. potentially competitive?
8: 62% McCain, 65% white
9: 72% McCain, 75% white
10: 59% McCain, 70% white
11: 58% McCain, 66% white
12: 51% McCain, 56% white, 37% black. competitive district
13: 68% Obama, 55% black VRA district
14: 74% McCain, 88% white
15: 73% McCain, 79% white
16: 63% Obama, 51% black VRA district
17: 69% McCain, 79% white
18: 63% McCain, 64% white

[Miles]

'Getting the upper Great Lakes region done:

Michigan:





CD5 would have flipped to Romney by about 2K votes in 2012. Obama got held on to the Kalamazoo and Lansing districts with about 51.5% of the two-party vote in each.

Wisconsin:





How the competitive districts voted in 2012:

CD1- 50.7/48.2 Obama
CD7- 50.8/47.6 Obama
CD8- 49.7/48.9 Romney
CD10- 50.9/47.8 Romney

Minnesota:




Obama would have held CD2 49.8/48.0 in 2012.

[MyRescueKittehRocks]

Could comeone try one without a VRA district in the South or other locations where it's utilized?

[Miles]

^

LA:



In the southwest, Lafayette and Lake Charles now have their own districts.

The other district I added, CD8, is in the southeastern Baton Rouge metro area. Thats one of the fastest-growing areas of the state, so that seemed like a logical place.

LA-02 is about 48% BVAP.

LA-06 would have voted for Obama 50/49 in 2008 and 51/47 in 2012.


For NC, the "quick fix" would be to pull the arm of CD1 out of Raleigh:

[rpryor03]

CD-1: D+11
CD-2: R+5
CD-3: D+15
CD-4: R+8
CD-5: D+5

[JerryArkansas]

Pryor, that map of Iowa wouldn't pass muster.  Here is a map which goes by whole counties and is reasonable.



The PVI of the districts are as follows.
1. D +5
2. D +7
3. D +2
4. Even
5. R +9

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Massachusetts:







This map has 12 safe democratic seats, without looking gerrymandered. Should pass the legislature easily.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Oklahoma with 7 Districts:





This map really shows the demise of the democratic party in Oklahoma. Two of the three most densely populated districts (CD 1,6,7) are over 60% McCain. The OKC sink (CD 7), the most democratic district in the state, is still 56% McCain. The other four districts offer no consolation, as they are at least 67% Republican. The democrats might throw some money at CD 7, but it'd take a wave bigger than a democratic 2010/14 to actually flip.

[muon2]

Oklahoma with 7 Districts:





This map really shows the demise of the democratic party in Oklahoma. Two of the three most densely populated districts (CD 1,6,7) are over 60% McCain. The OKC sink (CD 7), the most democratic district in the state, is still 56% McCain. The other four districts offer no consolation, as they are at least 67% Republican. The democrats might throw some money at CD 7, but it'd take a wave bigger than a democratic 2010/14 to actually flip.

Why such erose shapes, especially for CD 5?

[rpryor03]

A Different Oklahoma

1: R+20
2: R+17
3: R+22
4: R+17
5: R+13
6: R+27
7: R+25

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tennessee. My goal was to make the map significantly more favorable to democrats than the current 7-2 map. I only included 1 Safe D District (The VRA Seat), but there are 3 swing districts. In 2008, Obama carried one of the swing districts 51-48, McCain carried the other two 50-49. The other 7 seats are Safe R.

Due to the concentration of Democratic voters in the state and the requirement of having a minority district, a map with 5 seats capable of being won by the Democrats is impossible to draw unless you give up any hope of the map looking fairly clean.





Note to Republicans: Through some crafty vote-district-switching, it's pretty easy to get the 1st up to 57 or 58% Black, making the third much harder to win for Democrats but still not completely safe for Republicans.



Note to Republicans: To get an 8th Safe R seat, put the 6th entirely in Nashville, and make the 5th consist of the non-nashville areas in my 5th and my 6th. (you may have to do some district trading to equal out the population). The 5th will become Safe R, while the 6th will become Safe D.

[muon2]

Tennessee. My goal was to make the map significantly more favorable to democrats than the current 7-2 map. I only included 1 Safe D District (The VRA Seat), but there are 3 swing districts. In 2008, Obama carried one of the swing districts 51-48, McCain carried the other two 50-49. The other 7 seats are Safe R.

Due to the concentration of Democratic voters in the state and the requirement of having a minority district, a map with 5 seats capable of being won by the Democrats is impossible to draw unless you give up any hope of the map looking fairly clean.





Note to Republicans: Through some crafty vote-district-switching, it's pretty easy to get the 1st up to 57 or 58% Black, making the third much harder to win for Democrats but still not completely safe for Republicans.



Note to Republicans: To get an 8th Safe R seat, put the 6th entirely in Nashville, and make the 5th consist of the non-nashville areas in my 5th and my 6th. (you may have to do some district trading to equal out the population). The 5th will become Safe R, while the 6th will become Safe D.

A 50-49 McCain seat is about R+4, so it is competitive but just barely. I use a cut of R/D+5 as the outside limit of a competitive seat based on historical statistics.

[ElectionsGuy]

South Carolina:



Charleston Zoom-in:



1: 65-34 Obama (51% Black)
2: 62-37 Obama
3: 56-43 McCain
4: 57-42 McCain
5: 59-39 McCain
6: 63-36 McCain
7: 63-35 McCain
8: 61-37 McCain