Wyoming Rule Redistricting

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Arkansas:




In most years, this map should elect 5 republicans, though the right dem could win the 1st or 3rd.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Colorado:





3 Safe Republican Seats, 3 Safe Democratic Seats, 2 Toss-Ups, and 1 Seat that could flip in an R wave (the 54-44 Obama CO-2).

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

For Alabama, I drew a few different scenarios.

First, we have the 7-1 Map. Conservatives will love this:



Really not much to say here. Just the result of making the VRA district over 60% Black. Here's a Birmingham close up:



Here's the 6-2 Map. The 'reasonable goal' for an AL democrat:



This was pretty simple to conoct. I simply pulled the VRA district out of Birmingham and let it take up essentially all of the black belt instead, allowing for the creation of a 2nd democratic district solely within Birmingham. The 'arm' of the 2nd district is needed for population reasons. Here's some close-ups:





And now, for the daredevil democrats, here's an interesting one. This final map can reasonably go 5-3, but it also can reasonably go 7-1. If I was a democratic governor, I'd go with the no-risk 6-2 map above. But if democrats really want to go for a third seat in AL, here's the wacky map that's needed:



The 1st district, which just barely voted for McCain, is the more liberal half of Mobile plus a bunch of areas in or near the black belt. The close up below will show you it is indeed continuous. The 3rd district, which just barely voted for Obama, is three black belt counties plus some not-too-republican nearby areas. The 4th district, which is the Safe D VRA, includes parts of Birmingham and Tuscaloosa, then heads south to get the parts of the black belt not included in the 1st or 3rd. The Safe R districts are fairly simple - The 2nd goes through the more conservative half of Mobile and the heavily R areas near the AL border, the 5th connects two very republican cities - Alabaster and Prattville, the 6th covers the parts of Birmingham not included in the 4th before streching up to the northwestern end of the state, the 7th is mostly Huntsville, and the 8th covers the leftover areas  on the northern half of the east end of the state. Here's a Birmingham/district 1 close up:

[rpryor03]

Missouri, with zoom ins on Kansas City and St. Louis.

1: R+3
2: D+40
3: R+5
4: R+33
5: R+17
6: R+9
7: R+1
8: D+72
9: D+18
10: R+11
11: R+5

[rpryor03]

1: R+1
2: D+25
3: D+20
4: R+14
5: D+20
6: R+8
7: D+11
8: R+5
9: R+20
10: D+4
11: D+50
12: D+50
13: D+50
14: D+20
15: D+4

[rpryor03]

1: R+4
2: R+33
3: R+27
4: D+6
5: D+19
6: R+32
7: R+4
8: R+18
9: R+28
10: EVEN
11: D+6
12: R+27

[Sol]

You split the Rez!

[muon2]

You split the Rez!

Yep, in AZ it's useful to treat the reservations as unbreakable counties apart from they counties the are in.

[rpryor03]

1: R+2
2: D+25
3: R+2
4: R+16
5: R+11
6: R+20
7: R+32
8: R+14
9: R+22
10: R+12
11: R+10
12: R+5
13: R+3
14: D+9
15: D+11
16: D+4
17: D+11
18: D+17
19: D+71
20: D+72
21: D+26
22: D+4

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

A different AZ:




1. 56-43 McCain (R+16)
2. 50-49 Obama (R+2)
3. 60-39 Obama (D+22) (52% Hispanic)
4. 57-42 McCain (R+18)
5. 60-38 McCain (R+30)
6. 61-38 McCain (R+30)
7. 58-41 McCain (R+22)
8. 51-48 Obama (EVEN)
9. 66-33 Obama (D+34) (54% Hispanic)
10. 50-49 McCain (R+6)
11. 54-45 McCain (R+14)
12. 63-36 McCain (R+32)

Democrats are guaranteed two seats and could win 3 others (2, 8, 10). 11 might become more favorable to them as the state changes more demographically.

[Sol]

A different AZ:




1. 56-43 McCain (R+16)
2. 50-49 Obama (R+2)
3. 60-39 Obama (D+22) (52% Hispanic)
4. 57-42 McCain (R+18)
5. 60-38 McCain (R+30)
6. 61-38 McCain (R+30)
7. 58-41 McCain (R+22)
8. 51-48 Obama (EVEN)
9. 66-33 Obama (D+34) (54% Hispanic)
10. 50-49 McCain (R+6)
11. 54-45 McCain (R+14)
12. 63-36 McCain (R+32)

Democrats are guaranteed two seats and could win 3 others (2, 8, 10). 11 might become more favorable to them as the state changes more demographically.

You can't dice up the rez!

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

A different AZ:




1. 56-43 McCain (R+16)
2. 50-49 Obama (R+2)
3. 60-39 Obama (D+22) (52% Hispanic)
4. 57-42 McCain (R+18)
5. 60-38 McCain (R+30)
6. 61-38 McCain (R+30)
7. 58-41 McCain (R+22)
8. 51-48 Obama (EVEN)
9. 66-33 Obama (D+34) (54% Hispanic)
10. 50-49 McCain (R+6)
11. 54-45 McCain (R+14)
12. 63-36 McCain (R+32)

Democrats are guaranteed two seats and could win 3 others (2, 8, 10). 11 might become more favorable to them as the state changes more demographically.

You can't dice up the rez!

Easy enough, I can take some of Scottsdale away from AZ-1 and give it the rest of Healapai, give that part of Scottsdale to the 6th and then balance out population between the 5th and the 6th. But why does this matter? It won't create a new swing district or anything. It's no different than the splits of Tucson and Chandler on the map.

[Sol]

A different AZ:




1. 56-43 McCain (R+16)
2. 50-49 Obama (R+2)
3. 60-39 Obama (D+22) (52% Hispanic)
4. 57-42 McCain (R+18)
5. 60-38 McCain (R+30)
6. 61-38 McCain (R+30)
7. 58-41 McCain (R+22)
8. 51-48 Obama (EVEN)
9. 66-33 Obama (D+34) (54% Hispanic)
10. 50-49 McCain (R+6)
11. 54-45 McCain (R+14)
12. 63-36 McCain (R+32)

Democrats are guaranteed two seats and could win 3 others (2, 8, 10). 11 might become more favorable to them as the state changes more demographically.

You can't dice up the rez!

Easy enough, I can take some of Scottsdale away from AZ-1 and give it the rest of Healapai, give that part of Scottsdale to the 6th and then balance out population between the 5th and the 6th. But why does this matter? It won't create a new swing district or anything. It's no different than the splits of Tucson and Chandler on the map.

You also split the rez in the phoenix area.

Anyway, a map like that would never pass with the rezzes diced up. And reservations are basically the obvious-est community of interest that there is; it's gerrymandering at its finest to do that.