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  ABC/WaPo national poll: Hillary ahead by 14% and more
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Author Topic: ABC/WaPo national poll: Hillary ahead by 14% and more  (Read 4352 times)
Former Democrat
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« on: April 02, 2015, 12:31:34 pm »

PRESIDENT NATIONAL (ABC/WaPo)
Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
Jeb Bush (R) 40%

Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
Ted Cruz (R) 37%

Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
Scott Walker (R) 38%

Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
Marco Rubio (R) 38%

https://strehlspresidentialelection2016.wordpress.com/
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King
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« Reply #1 on: April 02, 2015, 12:44:25 pm »

Stop linking to your blog or you will get banned.
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Congressman Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: April 02, 2015, 12:48:55 pm »

Stop linking to your blog or you will get banned.
1) you're not a mod, you can't claim full knowledge if will and won't merit a ban.
2) why does it even matter? It's not as if he's making up polls that don't exist.
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Former Democrat
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« Reply #3 on: April 02, 2015, 12:52:25 pm »

why ban me?Huh??
 the polls are real and I posting them first

an the april fooler who works today
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King
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« Reply #4 on: April 02, 2015, 12:53:40 pm »
« Edited: April 02, 2015, 12:58:28 pm by Monarch »

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2015/04/02/National-Politics/Polling/release_393.xml

Favorable Ratings
Hillary Clinton +3 (49/46)
Walker -7 (23/30)
Paul -13 (29/42)
Rubio -14 (24/38)
Jeb Bush -20 (33/53)
Cruz -20 (25/45)

Approval Ratings
Bill Clinton +50 (73/23)
Obama 0 (47/47)
George W. Bush -4 (47/51)
Democrats in Congress -19 (38/57)
Republicans in Congress -41 (27/68)

Hillary Clinton _____, yes or no?
Strong Leader +32 (64/32)
New Ideas +16 (55/39)
Shares Your Values +1 (48/47)
Trustworthy 0 (46/46)
Understands You -1 (47/48)

Do you want experience or a new direction in the next President?
Experience 55%
A new direction 37


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King
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« Reply #5 on: April 02, 2015, 12:54:53 pm »
« Edited: April 02, 2015, 12:56:25 pm by Monarch »

Stop linking to your blog or you will get banned.
1) you're not a mod, you can't claim full knowledge if will and won't merit a ban.
2) why does it even matter? It's not as if he's making up polls that don't exist.

I have been here long enough. Advertising a blog that provides no critical analysis and simply siphon ad dollars will get him banned.

why ban me?Huh??
 the polls are real and I posting them first

an the april fooler who works today

The polls are not your content and you are not providing any information on top of the primary source. In fact, as my post above shows, you provided less content than the link of the primary source. jao
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Clarko95
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« Reply #6 on: April 02, 2015, 01:09:16 pm »

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2015/04/02/National-Politics/Polling/release_393.xml

Favorable Ratings
Hillary Clinton +3 (49/46)
Walker -7 (23/30)
Paul -13 (29/42)
Rubio -14 (24/38)
Jeb Bush -20 (33/53)
Cruz -20 (25/45)

Approval Ratings
Bill Clinton +50 (73/23)
Obama 0 (47/47)
George W. Bush -4 (47/51)
Democrats in Congress -19 (38/57)
Republicans in Congress -41 (27/68)

Hillary Clinton _____, yes or no?
Strong Leader +32 (64/32)
New Ideas +16 (55/39)
Shares Your Values +1 (48/47)
Trustworthy 0 (46/46)
Understands You -1 (47/48)

Do you want experience or a new direction in the next President?
Experience 55%
A new direction 37

Welp, looks like Hillary's gonna be number 45. And since polling shows Bush having a plurality support of the "mainstream conservatives", he'll probably be the nominee.

2016 is going to suck.
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Oh Jeremy Corbyn
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« Reply #7 on: April 02, 2015, 03:17:10 pm »

These national polls are worthless. We need at least RV.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: April 02, 2015, 03:37:58 pm »

Well, so much for the Hillary is dooommmmedddddd narrative. People really need to learn not to overreact to single polls.

These national polls are worthless. We need at least RV.

This is among RVs, according to RCP anyway.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: April 02, 2015, 03:41:05 pm »

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2015/04/02/National-Politics/Polling/release_393.xml

Favorable Ratings
Hillary Clinton +3 (49/46)
Walker -7 (23/30)
Paul -13 (29/42)
Rubio -14 (24/38)
Jeb Bush -20 (33/53)
Cruz -20 (25/45)

Approval Ratings
Bill Clinton +50 (73/23)
Obama 0 (47/47)
George W. Bush -4 (47/51)
Democrats in Congress -19 (38/57)
Republicans in Congress -41 (27/68)

Hillary Clinton _____, yes or no?
Strong Leader +32 (64/32)
New Ideas +16 (55/39)
Shares Your Values +1 (48/47)
Trustworthy 0 (46/46)
Understands You -1 (47/48)

Do you want experience or a new direction in the next President?
Experience 55%
A new direction 37

Let me put this through the media/beltway pundit filter...

"HILLARY UNDER 50! She's in hot water...can Dems find an alternative?"
"BREAKING: MASSIVE MAJORITY SAYS HILLARY DOESN'T UNDERSTAND THEM!"
"Will Obama's disastrously low approval rating be a drag on Dems?"
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DemPGH
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« Reply #10 on: April 02, 2015, 04:16:05 pm »

Keep in mind too that she and Bill are not campaigning. She's just taking shots from the far right and from some media outlets. I think she's going to really energize our party.
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Joshua
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« Reply #11 on: April 02, 2015, 04:36:24 pm »

Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
Ted Cruz (R) 37%

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Moscow Mitch
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« Reply #12 on: April 02, 2015, 04:37:37 pm »

What do you guys think an electoral map would look like with a 14- 20 point Hillary win ?

It would be very interesting to see what happens in AR , KY and WV with a national blowout like that.
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Beet
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« Reply #13 on: April 02, 2015, 04:51:53 pm »

Do you want experience or a new direction in the next President?
Experience 55%
A new direction 37

Very good news for Hillary, IMO. We've now had three inexperienced presidents in a row and I think people are starting to see the advantages of a steady hand.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: April 02, 2015, 05:03:07 pm »

What do you guys think an electoral map would look like with a 14- 20 point Hillary win ?

It would be very interesting to see what happens in AR , KY and WV with a national blowout like that.

It would never happen, since even if these numbers held until the election (don't hold your breath), the undecideds would break disproportionately Republican. But if it did, I'm guessing it would be Obama 2008 + AZ/MO/GA + branching into Appalachia.
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King
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« Reply #15 on: April 02, 2015, 05:09:46 pm »

What do you guys think an electoral map would look like with a 14- 20 point Hillary win ?

It would be very interesting to see what happens in AR , KY and WV with a national blowout like that.

It would never happen, since even if these numbers held until the election (don't hold your breath), the undecideds would break disproportionately Republican. But if it did, I'm guessing it would be Obama 2008 + AZ/MO/GA + branching into Appalachia.

I don't think there would be much electoral college gain. A lot of this PV increase could simply be her losing by smaller margins in Romney states--Gore 2000esque losses--while maintaining Obama's numbers in Dem stats.
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Vega
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« Reply #16 on: April 02, 2015, 05:13:23 pm »

Do you want experience or a new direction in the next President?
Experience 55%
A new direction 37

Very good news for Hillary, IMO. We've now had three inexperienced presidents in a row and I think people are starting to see the advantages of a steady hand.

How was Bill Clinton inexperienced?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #17 on: April 02, 2015, 05:14:04 pm »

The only states that a Clinton landslide that Romney won in 2012 are Missouri, Indiana, Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona. I could possibly see her winning Kentucky, but really, Arkansas and West Virginia are totally lost causes.
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Beet
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« Reply #18 on: April 02, 2015, 05:24:26 pm »

Do you want experience or a new direction in the next President?
Experience 55%
A new direction 37

Very good news for Hillary, IMO. We've now had three inexperienced presidents in a row and I think people are starting to see the advantages of a steady hand.

How was Bill Clinton inexperienced?

He was inexperienced in the ways of Washington, which cost him, especially on health care. His predicament was even worse than usual because with Jimmy Carter having been the last Democratic administration, there was no deep well of experienced advisors to draw from either.
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Flake
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« Reply #19 on: April 02, 2015, 08:21:43 pm »

Do you want experience or a new direction in the next President?
Experience 55%
A new direction 37

Very good news for Hillary, IMO. We've now had three inexperienced presidents in a row and I think people are starting to see the advantages of a steady hand.

How was Bill Clinton inexperienced?

He was inexperienced in the ways of Washington, which cost him, especially on health care. His predicament was even worse than usual because with Jimmy Carter having been the last Democratic administration, there was no deep well of experienced advisors to draw from either.

I can't stress how lucky Clinton is that she has experience with D.C. because her husband was President and she was SOS under the current President. It's really a unique opportunity.
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #20 on: April 03, 2015, 11:27:23 am »

Hillary wins the South by 10 points? She wins 18-39 year olds by 40 points?? She wins Blacks by the same margin as Obama (though that is somewhat plausible)? She wins male voters by 10 points?? Bill Clinton has a 73-23 approval rating?? Clinton leads Rubio and Walker by almost 20 points despite leading them by single digits in almost every other poll? Also, where are the numbers for Hispanic voters?

--> JUNK POLL!

Yeah, the numbers in this poll are wildly implausible.  Sorry, guys.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #21 on: April 03, 2015, 02:05:38 pm »

This is the only election close to a 14% difference between a Republican and a Democrat in a binary election in a century.



The color scheme does not violate the Atlas color convention: this is 1956, and Ike won big (57-42).
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #22 on: April 03, 2015, 06:05:57 pm »

It's beginning to look like a landslide folks.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #23 on: April 03, 2015, 06:44:09 pm »

why ban me?Huh??
 the polls are real and I posting them first

an the april fooler who works today

At least my April Fool polls (as from "Loof-Lipra") and suggestion of the deceased Harold Stassen for President were intended as jokes.

The Star Trek references in one of them (basically Senator KIRK will need phasers to win in a year in which "Hillary Clingon") should have given it away.   
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Ebsy
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« Reply #24 on: April 03, 2015, 06:52:11 pm »

Democrats getting comfortable about Hillary's good polling numbers would create a more likely chance of there being a major mess up that could cost her the race.
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