Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
August 21, 2019, 10:31:12 am
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (General) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  2016 Senate Predictions & Analysis
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 Print
Latest 2016 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
BushCountry (I-IN)MapProfile 11-07 55 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 0
An Antineutrino (R-NJ)MapProfile 11-04 11 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
SupersonicVenue (R-GBR)MapProfile 11-06 3 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
reyndani (I-WI)MapProfile 11-07 16 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
RMH8824 (R-IA)MapProfile 11-07 16 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
stirling (R-GBR)Map 05-18 1 Even 24 (0) 10 (0) 0 (0) 0
IceSpear (D-PA)MapProfile 11-07 7 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
axlee73 ()Map 11-07 15 D +1 23 (-1) 11 (+1) 0 (0) 0
SJerni (D-CO)MapProfile 11-07 6 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Chrome (D-NY)MapProfile 11-07 18 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Ruby2014 (I-OH)MapProfile 11-08 10 R +1 25 (+1) 9 (-1) 0 (0) 0
skolodji (D-CA)MapProfile 11-08 5 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 0
Clinton1996 (D-GA)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +7 17 (-7) 17 (+7) 0 (0) 0
SecureAmerica (R-NM)MapProfile 11-08 2 D +1 23 (-1) 11 (+1) 0 (0) 0
rpryor03 (R-OH)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
RCRFan3 (R-TX)MapProfile 11-08 3 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
AntonioV (D-CA)MapProfile 11-08 18 D +3 21 (-3) 13 (+3) 0 (0) 0
gkevgas (D-NY)Map 11-08 7 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
ground_x (D-NY)MapProfile 11-08 4 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 0
Nym90 (D-OR)MapProfile 11-08 25 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-11-08 @ 11:42:16
Map 11-08 8 D +4 20 (-4) 14 (+4) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-11-07 @ 12:03:06
Map 11-07 7 D +5 19 (-5) 15 (+5) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-10-28 @ 06:37:01
Map 10-28 6 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
edwardsna (R-NY)
by slick67 on 2016-09-09 @ 23:30:20
MapProfile 09-09 22 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 1
dfwlibertylover (I-TX)
by TimTurner on 2016-09-07 @ 01:27:42
MapProfile 09-07 1 Even 24 (0) 10 (0) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-09-04 @ 14:52:09
MapProfile 09-04 220 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-08-31 @ 13:35:34
MapProfile 08-31 219 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
dnul222 (D-MN)
by dnul222 on 2016-08-20 @ 07:15:59
Map 08-20 5 D +5 19 (-5) 15 (+5) 0 (0) 1
IndyRep (R-MT)
by IndyRep on 2016-08-13 @ 21:24:31
MapProfile 07-22 5 D +2 22 (-2) 12 (+2) 0 (0) 1
nkpolitics1279 (D-MA)
by nkpolitics1279 on 2016-08-04 @ 18:33:25
MapProfile 08-04 218 D +6 18 (-6) 16 (+6) 0 (0) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2016 Senate Predictions & Analysis  (Read 32937 times)
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,386
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 15, 2015, 10:36:26 pm »

As of 15 April 2015

Predictions:


Dark Blue - Democratic Hold
Light Blue - Democratic Pickup
Dark Red - Republican Hold
Light Red - Republican Pickup

Analysis:

Assuming that 2016 will be as blue as 2014 was red due to changing demographics, the natural election cycle, and fractures in the GOP, it looks pretty good for the Democrats, who only need four or five pickups to regain control of the Senate.

Alabama - Richard Shelby is running for reelection... considering his relative popularity and the Republican-leaning tendencies of Alabama, this will be an easy hold for the GOP.

Alaska - I wouldn't be surprised if Murkowski (a moderate) is primaried by somebody in the Tea Party. Even if she isn't, the Democrats have a fair chance of winning this seat, assuming that 2016 is a blue year and Begich runs.

Arizona - Similarly, McCain could be primaried by a Tea Partier (Kelli Ward, Trent Franks, etc.), and even if he survives he could be ousted easily by a moderate Democrat like Kyrsten Sinema.

Arkansas - John Boozman is pretty safe for reelection. I doubt Pryor will seek another term, and he probably wouldn't win anyway. Of course, Beebe could easily win the seat if he wanted to, though I don't think he'll run.

California - Boxer is retiring, though California is so blue that her retirement is wholly irrelevant to which party will have control of this senate seat come 2016.

Colorado - Bennet faces low approval ratings in a state that just ousted its other Democratic senator, though I think he'll be able to hang on if 2016 is blue.

Connecticut - Easy win for Blumenthal.

Florida - Rubio can't run for both President and Senate, so he's out. Also, considering Rubio only won in 2010 due to the spoiler effect, this seat will be pretty easy for the Democrats to recapture with somebody like Murphy or Grayson...

Georgia - Georgia is becoming increasingly more centrist, though Isakson has incumbency advantage and high approval ratings, making this seat safe for the GOP.

Hawaii - Easy win for Schatz.

Idaho - Easy win for Crapo.

Illinois - Considering Kirk is in a blue state in what will probably be a blue year, he's an easy target for the Dems (Duckworth, etc.)

Indiana - This one was hard. Dan Coats is retiring, though Indiana is a red state so I could understand the argument that it will stay red come 2016. However, I think Bayh could win this seat back if he decided to run again (I'm assuming he will). If he doesn't, the seat is safe for the GOP.

Iowa - Grassley has the incumbency advantage and great approval ratings, making his seat an easy win for reelection.

Kansas - Easy for Moran.

Kentucky - I doubt Paul will win the Republican Presidential Primaries, though due to a new law being considered by the government of Kentucky, he may still be able to try to keep his senate seat. Assuming he is able to, this will be an easy win for the GOP.

Louisiana - Vitter is running for governor and will win easily, so the seat is wide open. Even though Louisiana is a red state, 2016 will be a blue year, so Mary Landrieu could opt in for a fourth term.

Maryland - Easy win for whoever wins the Democratic primaries to succeed Mikulski.

Missouri - This one was hard, but Jason Kander gets to beat Roy Blunt because I say so.

Nevada - I doubt Governor Sandoval will run, so this seat will be fairly Democratic (Masto, Titus, etc.) even though Reid is retiring.

New Hampshire - Hassan!

New York - Easy win for Schumer (future Majority Leader).

North Carolina - Same thing as with Missouri.

North Dakota - Easy win for Hoeven.

Ohio - Strickland!

Oklahoma - Easy win for Lankford.

Pennsylvania - Blue State + Blue Year = Blue Winner (bye Toomey)

South Carolina - Easy win for Scott.

South Dakota - Easy win for Thune.

Utah - Easy win for Lee.

Vermont - Easy win for Leahy.

Washington - Easy win for Murray.

Wisconsin - #feingold2016

_____________________________________________________________________

I got lazy towards the end. Tongue

Anyway, Final Results:

Democrats - 58 Seats; Republicans - 42 Seats
Logged
Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,699
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2015, 10:39:18 pm »

I don't like the real world color scheme Sad
Logged
sawx
SawxDem
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,170
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 15, 2015, 10:44:48 pm »

Landrieu is out.
Logged
Nichlemn
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,925


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 16, 2015, 01:36:49 am »

A 12 seat Democratic gain? It's not impossible (LA is the only flip I'd put solidly out of reach even in a big Democratic victory), but it's extremely optimistic.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,386
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 16, 2015, 04:09:44 pm »
« Edited: April 16, 2015, 04:13:48 pm by darthebearnc »

Note: Blue=Dems

Sooper Dooper Fun Explanations:

Obviously, 2016 will be a blue year for the Senate. The demographics are changing, there are way more Republicans defending seats in blue states than there are Democrats defending seats in red states, and the natural election cycle suggests that 2016 will be blue (2014 was red, 2012 was blue, 2010 was red, 2008 was blue, etc.). Of course, there's no telling how blue 2016 will be - it could be as blue as 2014 was red or just moderately blue like in 2012.

However, one must note that in most US federal elections, the leading party tends to strengthen and strengthen its lead over time. For example, back in 2013, the vast majority of election analysts thought that the Democrats would easily hold senate seats such those in CO, AK, AR, IA, and NC. Even FiveThirtyEight rated Udall's seat as 'Likely Democrat' and the seats in IA, AR, and AK as 'Lean Democrat'  back in February 2013 (http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/20/can-republicans-win-the-senate-in-2014/?_r=0). Those seats eventually all went red with sizable margins.

We're in the same position right now. It's around two years before the election, and many major analysts are arguing that most of the incumbents in centrist states will keep their seats. Obviously, 2016 will be blue, and just like in 2014, the leading party will keep increasing and increasing their lead over time. Most of the polls only show the risky GOP incumbents in the lead right now because they have higher name recognition due to incumbency, and we will inevitably see red-leaning seats like those in NC, AZ, and AK go bluer over time just like we saw blue-leaning seats (CO, AR, and IA) turning redder as the 2014 election approached.

For this reason, I'm ranking quite a few red-leaning seats as pickups for the Democrats in 2016. Just like the GOP made gains as their year (2014) approached and eventually came to capture CO, AR, and NC, the Democrats will make gains as their year (2016) approaches and will eventually come to capture MO, LA, AZ, etc.
Logged
Illuminati Blood Drinker
phwezer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,528
United States


Political Matrix
E: -9.42, S: -7.30

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 16, 2015, 10:15:40 pm »

The last time a party gained over 10 Senate seats in one election was thirty-five years ago. There are literally people alive, working, and raising families who cannot remember a 10-seat swing to either party. Give it up. This is a nice fantasy - let me tell you, I would feast upon Republican tears for days to come if it happened - but that's all it is.
Logged
/
darthebearnc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,386
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 16, 2015, 11:48:23 pm »

The last time a party gained over 10 Senate seats in one election was thirty-five years ago. There are literally people alive, working, and raising families who cannot remember a 10-seat swing to either party. Give it up. This is a nice fantasy - let me tell you, I would feast upon Republican tears for days to come if it happened - but that's all it is.

There were nine pickups in 2014, so it isn't unreasonable to assume that a similar number of pickups (eleven) will occur in 2016. That's a difference of two pickups. Not unreasonable whatsoever.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,540
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 19, 2015, 12:51:33 pm »

Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

ITT: Hysterical hackishness where OC has the less absurd prediction.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

OK just one more: Roll Eyes
Cheesy
Logged
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,807
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 19, 2015, 04:11:01 pm »

This thread is quite masturbatory.

But hey, people would've said the same about R+9 in in April 2013. So keep hoping. Wink
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26,553
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 19, 2015, 04:26:58 pm »
« Edited: April 19, 2015, 04:57:45 pm by OC »

Dems will pick up a dozen house seats which can equate a 4-6 senate seat majority. Over that the House is threatened but it is safe to say that is the Dems magic number 12 pickups.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,540
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 19, 2015, 04:40:05 pm »

Dems will pick up a dozen house seats which can equate a 4-6 seat majority. Over that the House is threatened but it is safe to say that is the Dems magic number 12 pickups.

OK, I try not to question your logic very often since we all have our biases, but this is a math issue. The Democrats need THIRTY (30!) pick-ups for a 1-seat majority. Not even in the most liberal rounding method out there would that equate to a dozen.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26,553
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 19, 2015, 05:09:48 pm »
« Edited: April 19, 2015, 06:32:19 pm by OC »

I meant a dozen House which is the Dems magic number equals a 4-6 senate takeover chance, with Dems having a 1 or 2 seat majority to spare, in Senate. I think the GOP will wind up with the same number of House seats as before 2014 midterm. And continue to hold that in 2018.

234 R's - 201 Dems House of Rep

At least 50D-50R in the Senate: Baron Hill; Patrick Murphy;Russ Feingold and Duckworth win


Clinton-Castro beats Walker 272-266 winning Pa, CO, NV, NH and NM.



Revised map


Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,118
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 19, 2015, 10:25:16 pm »
« Edited: June 03, 2015, 01:42:43 pm by Del Tachi »


Republicans - 55
Democrats - 43
Independents - 2 (Caucus with Democrats)

In what turns out to be a 2008-type year for the Republicans, the GOP is able to defend all of their Senate incumbents while defeating Michael Bennett in Colorado for an overall change of R +1.  Republicans are also able to successfully defend open seats in Florida, Indiana and Iowa following incumbent retirements, and a more establishment Republican candidate wins in Utah following the defeat of incumbent Mike Lee in the primary.  Democrats, on the other hand, defend open seats in California, Maryland, and Nevada, and they come painfully close to a pickup in Florida.

2017 Freshman Senate Class
Mark Scheffel (R-CO)
Catherine Cortez-Matso (D-NV)
Kamala Harris (D-CA)

Eric Holcombe (R-IN)
Kim Reynolds (R-IA)
Josh Romney (R-UT)
Carlos Lopez-Cantera (R-FL)

Chris Van Hollen (D-MD)
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26,553
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 20, 2015, 06:32:25 pm »
« Edited: April 20, 2015, 06:40:03 pm by OC »

NV and CO stays Dem

IL, WI, Pa and NH flips for R to Dem

New senators

Van Hollen or Edwards
Cortez-Masto
Tammy Duckworth
MaggieHassan
Joe Sestak

New GOP senators
Carlos Lopez
Eric Holcombe

As Hilary, Castro def Walker 272-266

NV,CO Ia, Pa and NH go Democratic

Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,540
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 20, 2015, 10:22:13 pm »

Did you just trade IN and FL for NH and PA in a day??

I'll go with D+1 here - trade WI, IL and FL for NV and CO. NH, IN, and IA at 40% shade may be leaners too but it's too early to know the candidates. I hope the GOP puts up a fight in FL but I'm not too optimistic even if Rubio is in the 2-slot as many project.

Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26,553
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 21, 2015, 06:50:01 am »

Did you just trade IN and FL for NH and PA in a day??

I'll go with D+1 here - trade WI, IL and FL for NV and CO. NH, IN, and IA at 40% shade may be leaners too but it's too early to know the candidates. I hope the GOP puts up a fight in FL but I'm not too optimistic even if Rubio is in the 2-slot as many project.



Clinton is behind Rubio and Jeb in FL.

She doesnt need FL, she needs CO, NV and Pa and WI and IL in order to win
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
sjkqw
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 11,540
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 21, 2015, 07:28:54 am »

I'm thinking there are going to be some ballot splitting especially in PA. And FL Senate candidates are so weak there compared to Murphy.
Logged
Flake
Flo
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,699
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 21, 2015, 11:07:44 pm »


Democrats - 50
Republicans - 48
Independents - 2

Dems gain back many seats they lost, including gaining a few in Florida and Arizona, and come closer in Indiana than Pennsylvania.

2017 Freshman Senate Class
Kamala Harris (D-CA)
Catherine Cortez-Matso (D-NV)
Ann Kirkpatrick (D-AZ)
Russ Feingold (D-WI)
Tammy Baldwin (D-IL)
Eric Holcombe (R-IN)
Ted Strickland (D-OH)
Maggie Hassan (D-NH)
Patrick Murphy (D-FL)


Number of women Senators goes up by three Tongue
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26,553
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 22, 2015, 10:38:16 am »
« Edited: April 22, 2015, 11:06:22 am by OC »

I still believe in Sestak and as Pa goes so does the election.  I would just switch Pa for AZ and  keep NH. Hassan is good enough.  But, Donna Edwards; Cortez-Masto; and Tammy Duckworth are elected in 50-50 senate.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.42, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: May 16, 2015, 04:35:07 pm »
« Edited: May 23, 2015, 08:42:20 pm by ElectionsGuy »

https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2016/pred.php?action=indpred&id=77
Logged
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,533
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: May 17, 2015, 03:30:31 pm »
« Edited: May 17, 2015, 03:32:53 pm by whitesox130 »

Cliffnotes version: Russ Feingold defeats Ron Johnson, but that's all the Democrats get as Mark Kirk narrowly edges out Rep. Tammy Duckworth, and Pennsylvania Democrats fail to avoid nominating Joe Sestak, who flames out against Pat Toomey. Ron DeSantis wins in Florida, and Kelly Ayotte wins in New Hampshire (when Gov. Maggie Hassan makes her decision, I'll have to update my ratings either way, as her candidacy would flip my rating while her passing on the race would make it Safe Republican). Ted Strickland finds limited appeal as rural Republicans won't split their votes and social moderates stick with incumbent Rob Portman. Richard Burr does not attract a top-tier challenger. Mike Coffman stays in the House, and a subprime GOP candidate fails to take Colorado's seat. Rep. Joe Heck stays in the House (if he runs for Senate, the rating stays the same until he proves he has an advantage). A 53-47 Senate re-elects Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Angus King continues to caucus with Democrats. Charles Schumer becomes the top Senate Democrat, while Richard Durbin announces his retirement effective in 2021. Republicans and Democrats both make gains in the House, but they cancel each other out, producing a minimal swing in power.

Republican nominee Marco Rubio and Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton fight a very close presidential contest, but I'm not sure who wins.
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 26,553
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: May 17, 2015, 07:27:34 pm »
« Edited: May 20, 2015, 09:18:26 am by OC »

Duckworth or Zopp will def Kirk; Strickland will def Portman; Sestak def Toomey.

As Clinton selects Tim Kaine or Warner for VP that tips OH or VA.

As Clinton edges Walker and wins with 272-303 electors in a tied Senate

New senate 51D-50R

FL R; Nelson split control

IL Zopp; Durbin. Dem favored

IN Donnelly; Stutzman. split

MD Edwards; Cardin Dem favored

NV Cortez-Masto; Heller Split

OH Strickland; Brown Dem favored

Pa Sestak; Casey. Dem favored

WI Feingold; Baldwin Dem favored
Logged
whitesox130
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,533
United States


Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: 2.26


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: May 23, 2015, 08:29:47 pm »

What is the meaning of the gray "Incumbent Defeated" in Alaska? Who do you have defeating Lisa Murkowski?
Logged
ElectionsGuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 16,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.42, S: -7.65

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: May 23, 2015, 08:42:46 pm »

What is the meaning of the gray "Incumbent Defeated" in Alaska? Who do you have defeating Lisa Murkowski?

I don't know, it must have glitched up. I fixed it.
Logged
Ebsy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,740
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: May 24, 2015, 12:53:44 am »


Democrats - 50
Republicans - 48
Independents - 2

Dems gain back many seats they lost, including gaining a few in Florida and Arizona, and come closer in Indiana than Pennsylvania.

2017 Freshman Senate Class
Kamala Harris (D-CA)
Catherine Cortez-Matso (D-NV)
Ann Kirkpatrick (D-AZ)
Russ Feingold (D-WI)
Tammy Baldwin (D-IL)
Eric Holcombe (R-IN)
Ted Strickland (D-OH)
Maggie Hassan (D-NH)
Patrick Murphy (D-FL)


Number of women Senators goes up by three Tongue
I like your prediction. I certainly hope it happens.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC