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  2016 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: TJ in Oregon, Virginiá)
  How many counties will Hillary win in her former home state?
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Question: How many counties will Hillary win in Arkansas?
#10
#21 -5
#36 - 10
#411 - 15
#516 - 20
#621 - 25
#726 - 30
#831 - 35
#936 - 40
#1041 - 45
#1146 - 50
#1251 - 55
#1356 - 60
#1461 .- 65
#1566 - 70
#1671 - 74
#1775
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Author Topic: How many counties will Hillary win in her former home state?  (Read 740 times)
solarstorm
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« on: April 16, 2015, 06:41:09 am »

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2012
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2008
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1992

The last time a Republican won all counties was 1972.
The last time each county went Democratic was 1932.

Btw, Benton and Washington Counties seem to deeply hate the Democrats, which is pretty rare for the second and third most populous counties of a state...
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2015, 06:45:07 am »

Whatever 2004 was seems about right. (That might even be a bit optimistic for her).
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2015, 06:48:08 am »

Whatever 2004 was seems about right. (That might even be a bit optimistic for her).

21 counties?

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Snowstalker's Last Stand
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« Reply #3 on: April 16, 2015, 07:11:02 am »

2004ish
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #4 on: April 16, 2015, 09:23:57 am »

Arkansas is NOT her homes state.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: April 16, 2015, 03:02:23 pm »

11-15
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solarstorm
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« Reply #6 on: April 16, 2015, 03:05:00 pm »

Arkansas is NOT her homes state.

Reading educates people, and educated people read.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #7 on: April 16, 2015, 03:06:58 pm »

11-15

Which counties do you think will Hillary gain to Obama's 9?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: April 16, 2015, 03:09:07 pm »
« Edited: April 16, 2015, 04:00:50 pm by IceSpear »

11-15

Which counties do you think will Hillary gain to Obama's 9?

No idea, I'm just guessing. Probably a few in the NE or SW quadrant.
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Truth Hurts
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #9 on: April 16, 2015, 03:09:40 pm »

16-20.

On a side note, Bill Clinton actually lost 30,000 popular votes in Arkansas between 1992 and 1996, although his overall percentage stagnated.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: April 16, 2015, 03:58:34 pm »
« Edited: April 16, 2015, 04:02:20 pm by ElectionsGuy »

I agree, 11-15, and probably towards the lower end of that for a Pryor-like loss.

Btw, Benton and Washington Counties seem to deeply hate the Democrats, which is pretty rare for the second and third most populous counties of a state...

Washington has a liberal university town (Fayetteville), but Benton and northwestern Arkansas is still very historically Republican. Unlike the rest of the state though, it isn't really trending Republican.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #11 on: April 17, 2015, 12:31:29 pm »

Whatever 2004 was seems about right. (That might even be a bit optimistic for her).
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bronz4141
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« Reply #12 on: April 17, 2015, 07:58:57 pm »

21-25.
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ag
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« Reply #13 on: April 17, 2015, 08:38:20 pm »

Arkansas is NOT her homes state.

She was, merely, its First Lady.
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ag
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« Reply #14 on: April 17, 2015, 08:39:21 pm »

11-15.


She was the First Lady there, but...
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andrew_c
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« Reply #15 on: April 18, 2015, 02:00:10 am »

Around 15 or so.
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Blind Jaunting
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« Reply #16 on: April 18, 2015, 07:52:35 am »

For a moment I thought you were referring to Illinois.

Anyway, the Clinton magic is pretty much thing of the past in Arkansas (even Bill wouldn't have carried his home state today), but I expect some "home state" factor.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #17 on: April 18, 2015, 06:06:16 pm »

I would guess more than Kerry, fewer than Gore.
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