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  WI-Marquette: Hillary+12 vs. Walker
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Hillary+12 vs. Walker  (Read 7549 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 16, 2015, 12:27:35 pm »

52-40 Hillary/Walker

Walker job approval: 41-56

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/588754766492213251
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2015, 12:30:20 pm »

Good numbers for Hilldog. Confirms the earlier PPP poll.
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King
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« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2015, 12:39:31 pm »

I didn't know Walker was unpopular in WI.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: April 16, 2015, 12:40:50 pm »

Looking at the feed, either a budget, presidential hit or both. But yeah, WI behaves differently presidentially than downballot.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: April 16, 2015, 12:41:54 pm »

I didn't know Walker was unpopular in WI.

Apparently because of heavy school and university cuts which are extremely unpopular:

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publicunofficial
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« Reply #5 on: April 16, 2015, 12:59:18 pm »

Wisconsin voters realize Scott Walker sucks only AFTER electing him 3 times.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: April 16, 2015, 12:59:59 pm »

Checking back, Walker trailed Hillary between 7-12% even when his approvals were better. This isn't new.
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: April 16, 2015, 01:06:47 pm »

What's with that "we need governors" argument if you can't even get your people to vote for you again?
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Former Democrat
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« Reply #8 on: April 16, 2015, 01:32:33 pm »

Hillary/Rand Paul: 49/41

Hillary/Jeb Bush: 49/38

Hillary/Marco Rubio: 50/38

Hillary/Ted Cruz: 52/36
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Ebsy
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« Reply #9 on: April 16, 2015, 01:48:47 pm »

Wisconsin is totally out of the GOP's hands minus an extremely unlikely landslide.
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Stockdale for Veep
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« Reply #10 on: April 16, 2015, 02:14:35 pm »

Wisconsin voters realize Scott Walker sucks only AFTER electing him staying home 3 times.
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Joshua
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« Reply #11 on: April 16, 2015, 02:16:36 pm »

Wisconsin voters realize Scott Walker sucks only AFTER electing him staying home 3 times.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #12 on: April 16, 2015, 02:53:48 pm »

I took the PPP poll with a grain of salt, but Marquette is the gold standard. They're the Wisconsin version of Selzer. Amazing news!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: April 16, 2015, 02:58:34 pm »

How are the Republicans going to win the general again?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #14 on: April 16, 2015, 03:10:50 pm »

Looking at the feed, either a budget, presidential hit or both. But yeah, WI behaves differently presidentially than downballot.

Starting to wonder if there will be a long run trend in the suburban North post Obama of voting Democratic federally and Republican for local and state.  "Red Dogs" if you will...
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Hydera
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« Reply #15 on: April 16, 2015, 03:58:24 pm »

Looking at the feed, either a budget, presidential hit or both. But yeah, WI behaves differently presidentially than downballot.

Starting to wonder if there will be a long run trend in the suburban North post Obama of voting Democratic federally and Republican for local and state.  "Red Dogs" if you will...


As always, republicans have midterm advantage due to lower turnout especially for groups that dems rely on.
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King
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« Reply #16 on: April 16, 2015, 04:06:50 pm »

How are the Republicans going to win the general again?

UR R A HACK.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #17 on: April 17, 2015, 09:06:15 am »

In 2000 and 2004, Wisconsin was close in the margin of popular vote, and Dubya won nationally. In 2008 and 2012 it was not close, and Obama won.

It is more cautious to say that Scott Walker has no positive Favorite Son effect (see Rick Santorum in Pennsylvania).
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #18 on: April 17, 2015, 09:11:18 am »


A REAL conservative... duh.
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Suburban Cincinnati Soccer Moms for Beshear
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« Reply #19 on: April 17, 2015, 04:26:45 pm »

Those who know Walker best reject him wholeheartedly. Excellent news !
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #20 on: April 17, 2015, 05:00:09 pm »

Scott Walker looks as if he could be the Republican equivalent in 2016 what Mike Dukakis was in 1988.
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Xing
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« Reply #21 on: April 17, 2015, 06:43:17 pm »

Well, so much for Walker being favored in Wisconsin in the general election. Hillary wouldn't beat him by 12 unless she won in a landslide, but polls haven't shown him doing any better in Wisconsin than in any of the real swing states.
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porky88
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« Reply #22 on: April 17, 2015, 11:52:54 pm »

I still wouldn't underestimate Scott Walker. Democrats in Wisconsin have been doing that for five years now, and he always beats them.

With that said, the home son or daughter affect is very overrated in presidential politics. Maybe John Kasich could carry Ohio if he’s somebody’s running mate, though I still have reservations about that. For the most part, the electorate is too polarizing to care about somebody living in the same state as him or her. Wisconsin reinforces this narrative. I suspect Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio won’t solidify Florida, either. The same goes for Tim Kaine and Mark Warner if Hillary chooses one of them as her running mate. Hillary win or lose Virginia on her own.
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TJ in Oregon
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« Reply #23 on: April 17, 2015, 11:58:33 pm »

Walker is going through a bit of a rough patch in Wisconsin with the budget cuts and him presumptavely running for president. Wisconsinites never wanted President Walker to begin with; if we wanted any of the Wisconsin Republicans to run it was Paul Ryan. If he had to run for re-election again any time soon, Walker would probably lose. The state's economic numbers and budget look rather ugly at the moment.

Now, I voted for Scott Walker, but he doesn't look like the answer for president right now.
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porky88
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« Reply #24 on: April 18, 2015, 12:08:39 am »

Walker is going through a bit of a rough patch in Wisconsin with the budget cuts and him presumptavely running for president. Wisconsinites never wanted President Walker to begin with; if we wanted any of the Wisconsin Republicans to run it was Paul Ryan. If he had to run for re-election again any time soon, Walker would probably lose. The state's economic numbers and budget look rather ugly at the moment.

Now, I voted for Scott Walker, but he doesn't look like the answer for president right now.

I heard on the radio today that Wisconsin's unemployment rate dropped to like 4.6 percent, placing us well below the national average. I think this has more to do with Wisconsin stubbornly voting blue in presidential elections.
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