Default State Leaning for 2008
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Author Topic: Default State Leaning for 2008  (Read 2978 times)
Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #25 on: May 02, 2005, 05:39:56 PM »

I really think just about every state is in play for 2008. The Democrats could win South Carolina, the Republicans could win Vermont.

Maybe in some fantasy world.
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A18
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« Reply #26 on: May 02, 2005, 06:32:30 PM »


1988:


1992:


Things change.
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MaC
Milk_and_cereal
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #27 on: May 02, 2005, 07:12:12 PM »



gray-swingable
lighter-leaning, but likely one side will win
medium-good solid win
heavy-almost impossible for the other party

of course these maps don't mean horse crap.  It all comes down to the candidates.  It's 'bout time we have a landslide in 2008
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Smash255
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« Reply #28 on: May 02, 2005, 09:34:09 PM »


Yes tings change, but the overall trend didn't change all that much (from the National Average) between 88 & 92.  What changed was a solid Republican win to a solid Dem win, however their wasn;t that big of change from the Natl average
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #29 on: May 03, 2005, 12:37:26 AM »


Yes tings change, but the overall trend didn't change all that much (from the National Average) between 88 & 92.  What changed was a solid Republican win to a solid Dem win, however their wasn;t that big of change from the Natl average

Exactly.  Given the same swing from Republicans to Democrats from '88 to '92, '08 could turn out something like this:

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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #30 on: May 03, 2005, 03:26:50 PM »



Yes tings change, but the overall trend didn't change all that much (from the National Average) between 88 & 92.  What changed was a solid Republican win to a solid Dem win, however their wasn;t that big of change from the Natl average

Exactly. Given the same swing from Republicans to Democrats from '88 to '92, '08 could turn out something like this:



All of those Democratic pickups would be a stretch, but I can see your point.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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Posts: 24,921
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E: -4.77, S: 3.48

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« Reply #31 on: May 03, 2005, 03:32:23 PM »

These are my thoughts on 2008 right now.



Rep: 274
Dem: 264

Democrats pick up Iowa and New Mexico
Republicans pick up nothing and don't have as big of a win in Oklahoma, but still a win nonetheless.
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