MI-MRG (R): Hillary leads Snyder by 5, Bush by 9

[Tender Branson]

Marketing Resource Group (R):

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https://twitter.com/MRGMichigan/status/596731642498146304

Plus: Snyder has a 60% job approval rating.

[Tender Branson]

Fits well into all other state polls, which indicate Clinton leading Bush by about 2-8% nationally.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

This should be very concerning because it is an R poll and as long as I've followed politics, Michigan has a serious D-drift where in early polls the Republican is often leading despite ha bing no realustic chance. I doubt this firm has compensated for that factor, so they better hope more people are getting seriously decisive so early.

Clinton is in the high 40s already though. You'd expect it to be about 41-43 a piece. So it's a mix of the last thing I said with unusually poor Republican performance. Michigan doesn't matter but still no good.

[pbrower2a]

LOL Obama won the state by 9.5 points. I thought Hillary was so supposed to be a "so much better" fit for the state than Obama? Still, MI will vote Republican only in a Republican earthslide.

Anyway,

Fits well into all other state polls, which indicate Clinton leading Bush by about 2-8% nationally.

Michigan seemed a possible pickup for McCain in 2008 during the early summer and for Romney for a few days. It tempted Republicans to spend money in it only to waste that money badly.

[pbrower2a]

LOL Obama won the state by 9.5 points. I thought Hillary was so supposed to be a "so much better" fit for the state than Obama? Still, MI will vote Republican only in a Republican earthslide.

Anyway,

Fits well into all other state polls, which indicate Clinton leading Bush by about 2-8% nationally.

This pollster typically overstates things in favor of Republican politicians and policies.

This pollster's 9% lead for Clinton over Bush is consistent with at the least the 2012 electoral results.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

MI always polls like this early on. Obama rarely cracked 45% in a single MI poll before summer 2008.

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Michigan President by Marketing Resource Group on 2015-05-08

Summary: D: 46%, R: 39%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Ebsy]

Probably why Snyder decided not to run.

[pbrower2a]

But he's doing far better than Walker in Wisconsin, really in a tougher state for Reactionaries at the statewide level. .

[DS0816]

LOL Obama won the state by 9.5 points. I thought Hillary was so supposed to be a "so much better" fit for the state than Obama? Still, MI will vote Republican only in a Republican earthslide.

Anyway,

Fits well into all other state polls, which indicate Clinton leading Bush by about 2-8% nationally.

Michigan seemed a possible pickup for McCain in 2008 during the early summer and for Romney for a few days. It tempted Republicans to spend money in it only to waste that money badly.

Michigan was never in that position … let alone in the 2008 presidential election in which the incumbent White House party (the Republican Party) had the stench of the George W. Bush presidency all over it.

[Skye]

Probably why Snyder decided not to run.

Trailing Hillary by 5 in a deep blue state is not that bad and definitely not the reason why he declined to run.

But trailing in the state where the same poll says you supposedly enjoy a 60% approval rating isn't really good. I wonder how Kasich fares in Ohio.

[dmmidmi]

Should she win the nomination, Hillary Clinton will carry Michigan's 16 electoral votes.

I get why this gets polled, but the end result shouldn't be a surprise to anyone.

[Xing]

Michigan always seems to threaten to go Republican early on, but then Republican poll numbers fall during the summer, and it becomes clearly out of reach by September.