What are the odds that Hillary wins every county in the primary season?
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  What are the odds that Hillary wins every county in the primary season?
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Author Topic: What are the odds that Hillary wins every county in the primary season?  (Read 1487 times)
solarstorm
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« on: April 28, 2015, 06:41:45 PM »
« edited: April 28, 2015, 09:08:11 PM by solarstorm »

The only state where one of her "opponents" truly causes Hillary sorrow, i.e. Vermont, holds its primary pretty late on Super Tuesday.
The two only Democrats that could be a threat to Hillary, Warren and Schweitzer, don't want to run.

At the moment, the only county that might go for Sanders is, imho, Tompkins County, NY. It would certainly look incredibly ridiculous if that would be the only eyesore in the whole Democratic primary county map...
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2015, 06:48:39 PM »

Nahh. At least a couple Iowa counties will go anti-Hillary.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2015, 06:54:50 PM »

Vermont is a Super Tuesday state. It's not impossible that Sanders stays in until then, and my guess is that the county map would be the 2010 governor map, with Sanders getting the Shumlin counties and Hillary getting the Dubie counties - with the possible exceptions of Orange/Addison Counties, which could go for Hillary if she's winning the state over Sanders, as they only narrowly chose Shumlin in 2010.
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2015, 06:59:10 PM »

I'd say zero. At this point, Bernie Sanders seems to have some strength in NH (relative to anywhere else). If he stays in until Super Tuesday, I'd say that he could win some in Vermont as well. All of this is in addition to the anti-Hillary counties in Iowa. I'm not sure if he'll win any other counties. Maybe a couple in Maine and some random college towns?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2015, 07:14:27 PM »

Even if it's completely inevitable, some fringe anti-abortion activist will win a county or two in West Virginia.
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RFayette
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« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2015, 07:18:53 PM »

Even if it's completely inevitable, some fringe anti-abortion activist will win a county or two in West Virginia.

Or Arkansas/Oklahoma.  Randall Terry is always an option.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2015, 07:30:01 PM »

Even if it's completely inevitable, some fringe anti-abortion activist will win a county or two in West Virginia.

Or Arkansas/Oklahoma.  Randall Terry is always an option.

Oklahoma has always been a very "interesting" interesting primary state for the Democrats. I could see Webb win some counties. Is OK a Super Tuesday state again?
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solarstorm
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« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2015, 07:31:25 PM »

Even if it's completely inevitable, some fringe anti-abortion activist will win a county or two in West Virginia.

Or Arkansas/Oklahoma.  Randall Terry is always an option.

But Arkansas? No. It was Hillary's best state in 2008. Nevertheless, she didn't win all counties...
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2015, 08:04:40 PM »

Dean won Vermont in 2004 even after he had dropped out. I expect Sanders to do the same.
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RFayette
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« Reply #9 on: April 28, 2015, 08:12:30 PM »

Even if it's completely inevitable, some fringe anti-abortion activist will win a county or two in West Virginia.

Or Arkansas/Oklahoma.  Randall Terry is always an option.

But Arkansas? No. It was Hillary's best state in 2008. Nevertheless, she didn't win all counties...

Oh good point about that.  I was just referring to states in which troll Dems manage to win counties in general.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #10 on: April 28, 2015, 08:14:00 PM »

Sanders will have a shot at Grafton, NH as well as a few possibilities in New York.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #11 on: April 28, 2015, 08:16:13 PM »

The only state where one of her "opponents" truly causes Hillary sorrow, i.e. Vermont, holds its primary pretty late.

What are you talking about?  Vermont's primary is on Super Tuesday.
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #12 on: April 28, 2015, 08:45:45 PM »

Not only will Hillary win every county in the primary, she will win every county in the general election.

She will sweep all 50 states and DC in the election, capturing 80% of the popular vote.

The Republicans will lose every seat in the House, not only that, the Republicans will lose all 34 Senate seats being contested.

We Republicans veritably shudder whenever we hear the name HILLARY!
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #13 on: April 28, 2015, 08:59:07 PM »

Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Hillary R'lyeh wgah'nagl fhtagn.
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Thunderbird is the word
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« Reply #14 on: April 28, 2015, 09:02:12 PM »

I wonder if O'Malley will win Boston and get the endorsement of the Dropkick Murphy's.
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« Reply #15 on: April 29, 2015, 04:11:43 AM »

0%

And who knows who that one Antartica voter will vote for this time.
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solarstorm
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« Reply #16 on: April 29, 2015, 05:02:45 AM »

She will sweep all 50 states and DC in the election, capturing 80% of the popular vote.

D.C.? No way. The Washingtonians are gonna vote for Jill Stein, Hill's left-wing haters say!!!
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Fubart Solman
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« Reply #17 on: April 29, 2015, 10:24:33 AM »

Does Bernie have a chance at winning DC or does it stick too closely to the establishment?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #18 on: April 29, 2015, 10:51:41 AM »

Does Bernie have a chance at winning DC or does it stick too closely to the establishment?

Black people vote for establishment Democrats (unless they're Obama). Clinton will win DC pretty easily probably.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: April 29, 2015, 09:05:42 PM »

With Sanders in, zero.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #20 on: April 30, 2015, 07:49:19 PM »

Pretty much impossible.

I think Obama had to lose a few counties in 2012 with less than token opposition.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #21 on: April 30, 2015, 07:50:04 PM »

Obama lost counties in 2012. The odds of this happening anytime are zero.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #22 on: April 30, 2015, 09:23:00 PM »

Given people voted against Hitler when they knew they would be killed in retaliation...of course Hillary's not going to win every county. She might even lose Iowa/South Carolina. But unless someone not Martin O'Malley/Jim Webb/Bernie Sanders jumps in, that won't matter. She'll have the nomination locked up by the tim Louisiana and Nebraska vote on March 5...
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #23 on: May 01, 2015, 11:35:08 AM »

Zero:
Bernie will win the VT Caucuses
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Türkisblau
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« Reply #24 on: May 01, 2015, 11:42:38 AM »

There's some people who think Hillary is inevitable, and then there's this...
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