What are the odds that Hillary wins every county in the primary season? (user search)
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  What are the odds that Hillary wins every county in the primary season? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What are the odds that Hillary wins every county in the primary season?  (Read 1500 times)
solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« on: April 28, 2015, 06:41:45 PM »
« edited: April 28, 2015, 09:08:11 PM by solarstorm »

The only state where one of her "opponents" truly causes Hillary sorrow, i.e. Vermont, holds its primary pretty late on Super Tuesday.
The two only Democrats that could be a threat to Hillary, Warren and Schweitzer, don't want to run.

At the moment, the only county that might go for Sanders is, imho, Tompkins County, NY. It would certainly look incredibly ridiculous if that would be the only eyesore in the whole Democratic primary county map...
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2015, 07:30:01 PM »

Even if it's completely inevitable, some fringe anti-abortion activist will win a county or two in West Virginia.

Or Arkansas/Oklahoma.  Randall Terry is always an option.

Oklahoma has always been a very "interesting" interesting primary state for the Democrats. I could see Webb win some counties. Is OK a Super Tuesday state again?
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2015, 07:31:25 PM »

Even if it's completely inevitable, some fringe anti-abortion activist will win a county or two in West Virginia.

Or Arkansas/Oklahoma.  Randall Terry is always an option.

But Arkansas? No. It was Hillary's best state in 2008. Nevertheless, she didn't win all counties...
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #3 on: April 29, 2015, 05:02:45 AM »

She will sweep all 50 states and DC in the election, capturing 80% of the popular vote.

D.C.? No way. The Washingtonians are gonna vote for Jill Stein, Hill's left-wing haters say!!!
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #4 on: May 01, 2015, 01:47:58 PM »

Zero:
Bernie will win the VT Caucuses

Vermont doesn't hold caucuses.
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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Posts: 1,637
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« Reply #5 on: May 01, 2015, 01:58:34 PM »

Pretty much impossible.

I think Obama had to lose a few counties in 2012 with less than token opposition.

Obama lost counties in 2012. The odds of this happening anytime are zero.

I don't say that Hillary will win every county, but the comparison between Obama '12 and Hillary '16 is a bit lame.
Obama is thoroughly despised by fellow Democrats (!) in the Greater Appalachia area, where he lost numerous counties.
Hillary doesn't arouse such any hatred among Democrats. Her only haters dwell on the Internet and, in particular, well, here on Atlas...
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