PPP-IA: Hillary leads all Republicans

[Gallium]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/05/clinton-leads-gop-field-in-iowa-walker-leads-other-dems.html

Clinton 45%
Bush 42%

Clinton 48%
Carson 41%

Clinton 45%
Christie 40%

Clinton 49%
Cruz 42%

Clinton 46%
Huckabee 44%

Clinton 45%
Paul 43%

Clinton 48%
Perry 41%

Clinton 46%
Rubio 44%

Clinton 48%
Walker 41%

[King]

Clinton 45%
Bush 42%

Clinton 45%
Paul 43%

Clinton 48%
Walker 41%

Our sensible moderate Wulfric almost nailed it!

Clinton vs. Walker: Walker +3
Clinton vs. Bush: Bush +1
Clinton vs. Paul: Paul +3

#LeanR #ErnstRealignment

[King]

Weirdly Walker does best in the ratings despite doing the worst in the matchups:

Obama -5 (44/49)
Walker -6 (31/37)
Huckabee -9 (34/43)
Rubio -9 (31/40)
Clinton -11 (41/52)
Paul -12 (31/43)
Perry -20 (26/46)
Cruz -20 (26/46)
Bush -23 (26/49)
Christie -30 (23/53)

[King]

Btw: Encouraging numbers for Paul.  #PaulWeakCandidate  #PaulUnelectable  #PaulWillLoseInALandslide

Paul has the highest unfavorable rating among Republicans after Christie at 29% (!). He's #Unelectable in the primaries.

[Tender Branson]

We are already at the point where Hillary is in a tie with the top-Republicans in most swing states.

I'd like to see some polls from AZ, MO, IN, GA, KY, AR, WV, TN etc. instead ... (well, PPP will poll AZ this weekend).

[King]

Oh and Sanders, Webb, O'Malley, and Chafee were also polled vs. Walker, for the saddest results ever

Sanders 34%
Walker 39%

Webb 32%
Walker 39%

O'Malley 32%
Walker 38%

Chafee 29%
Walker 39%

[pbrower2a]

Oh and Sanders, Webb, O'Malley, and Chafee were also polled vs. Walker, for the saddest results ever

Sanders 34%
Walker 39%

Webb 32%
Walker 39%

O'Malley 32%
Walker 38%

Chafee 29%
Walker 39%

That Scott Walker can't break 40% against comparative unknowns gives some very important data.

[IceSpear]

We are already at the point where Hillary is in a tie with the top-Republicans in most swing states.

NH, WI, OH aren't swing states? I guess the election is safe D then!

[Ebsy]

Clinton doesn't even need to win Iowa, but it looks like she is going to anyway.

[fenrir]

A little close for comfort for all the confident Democrats out there, but not too surprising. The Clintons have always thrown shade at Iowa and the caucus process, and Iowa's demographics haven't changed as quickly as the other swing states in terms of the Democratic blocs.

That said, it was impressive Obama was able to get the margins he did in Iowa, both times around.

[Devils30]

Virginia is higher than Iowa on the Dems 2016 list.

[Hydera]

Virginia is higher than Iowa on the Dems 2016 list.

Two term itch in play?

Virginia, the budget cuts affects that state more than it does in Iowa so there's more of a pull factor thats going to keep virginia more democratic in this election cycle I guess.

Also Iowa post-obama won't have the negative approval of bush+economic crisis factor as it did in 2008+2012. So its regressing to the mean.

[IceSpear]

Christie finally found a friend! Now two candidates are disliked across the entire political spectrum. Jeb came close, but he's narrowly on positive ground among "somewhat conservatives."

[Xing]

The Walker number catches my eye.  I don't see a path for Walker to winning the GE without Iowa.

He is proving himself to be a more and more terrible candidate every day. Poor xingkerui, he likes Walker and his bold spot so much.

I know, what ever will I do if my dearest Scotty loses?

Anyway, it remains to be seen if Ernst's win was an anomaly, or evidence of a larger trend in Iowa. This poll, at least, suggests the former. For now, Iowa is a Toss-up, or possibly Tilt D at the most.

[ElectionsGuy]

The reason Walker is doing poorly is because he has low name recognition.

[Likely Voter]

The reason Walker is doing poorly is because he has low name recognition.

Rubio and Walker have roughly the same recognition number in this poll, but Rubio performs much better against Clinton.

[HAnnA MArin County]

The reason Walker is doing poorly is because he has low name recognition.

The guy who's been elected three times when there was nationwide coverage of his recall has low name recognition? The American electorate must really be stupid, then.

As per the Bernie/Webb/O'Malley losing to Walker, maybe that'll help the "true progressives" on here who are more concerned with ideological purity than electability.

[bobloblaw]

The Walker number catches my eye.  I don't see a path for Walker to winning the GE without Iowa.

He is proving himself to be a more and more terrible candidate every day. Poor xingkerui, he likes Walker and his bold spot so much.

I know, what ever will I do if my dearest Scotty loses?

Anyway, it remains to be seen if Ernst's win was an anomaly, or evidence of a larger trend in Iowa. This poll, at least, suggests the former. For now, Iowa is a Toss-up, or possibly Tilt D at the most.

In no way has Walker proven himself to be a terrible candidate. What he has done is taken out positions that the elites dislike, like reducing LEGAL immigration. Something which should be done. Like tying immigration to wages, something that was done by Barbara Jordan in the 1970s. The open borders, low wage C of C crowd is scared of Walker.

[KingSweden]

The Walker number catches my eye.  I don't see a path for Walker to winning the GE without Iowa.

He is proving himself to be a more and more terrible candidate every day. Poor xingkerui, he likes Walker and his bold spot so much.

I know, what ever will I do if my dearest Scotty loses?

Anyway, it remains to be seen if Ernst's win was an anomaly, or evidence of a larger trend in Iowa. This poll, at least, suggests the former. For now, Iowa is a Toss-up, or possibly Tilt D at the most.

The trend of getting Brian Bilbray... er, I mean Ben Bixby... shoot, Bruce Braley as your opponent, you mean? I'm curious how Ernst does in 2020 against what will hopefully be a superior candidate (she'll probably still win, honestly).

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Iowa President by Public Policy Polling on 2015-04-26

Summary: D: 46%, R: 42%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[HAnnA MArin County]

Hillary is still leading in Iowa? How can this be? Atlas told me that she was going to lose Iowa because she's so hated there that they would vote for any Republican over her. These polls must be biased. I'm sure once the campaign actually starts, though, they'll wake up and see her for the polarizing, calculating, neoconservative, warmongering, corporatist DINO that she is and will usher a landslide victory to Jeb or whomever the Republican nominee is. #SandersWarren2016