YouGov/Economist national poll:Clinton leads Bush/Christie/Huckabee by 12-14 pts (user search)
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  YouGov/Economist national poll:Clinton leads Bush/Christie/Huckabee by 12-14 pts (search mode)
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Author Topic: YouGov/Economist national poll:Clinton leads Bush/Christie/Huckabee by 12-14 pts  (Read 1932 times)
King
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« on: May 02, 2015, 10:15:51 AM »

How is 20 percent of the public undecided?

The scandals wave against Hillary has caused people to hesitate, but they still hate the Republican field too much to vote for any of them.
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King
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« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2015, 05:04:44 PM »

They're not going to cost her but the negative press does hurt her some points to undecided voters.

There's always the imprtoant distinction to make: Hillary is not inevitable because she is unbeatable. She is inevitable because nobody can beat her.
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King
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« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2015, 05:06:06 PM »
« Edited: May 03, 2015, 08:06:13 PM by King »

Another outlier which is not supported by recent state polls.

Recent state polls indicate Hillary is ahead of Bush by a 4-8% margin nationally, as well as other top Republicans.

Christie and Huckabee might be down by 8-10%.

I think Tender has declared more polls to be outliers than to be inliers lately.

Apparently the only gold standard for polling these days is Christopher Newport University
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King
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Posts: 29,356
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« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2015, 08:02:51 PM »

Another outlier which is not supported by recent state polls.

Recent state polls indicate Hillary is ahead of Bush by a 4-8% margin nationally, as well as other top Republicans.

Christie and Huckabee might be down by 8-10%.

I think Tender has declared more polls to than to be inliers lately.

Apparently the only gold standard.for polling these days is Christopher Newport University

So, you are ignoring basically all state polls recently which show that Hillary does no better than Obama in 2008 or 2012, which further means that Hillary can only be ahead by 5-10% nationally against the top GOPers ?

It's not only Christopher Newport University, it's also PPP, Quinnipiac, SUSA, Mason-Dixon etc.

If you are not seeing the pattern, you must be blind ...

Many recent polls have shown Hillary doing better than Obama in 2008. SUSA/Elon in NC, PPP in NH, Quinnipiac in OH. Marquette for WI and PPP for FL show her doing better than Obama 2012. There's some on the other side as well, like PPP in IA, CNU in VA, and Quinnipiac in PA/FL, but it's not exactly an overwhelming case.

This poll does match the aggregate anyway.



Junk aggregate!
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King
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Posts: 29,356
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« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2015, 08:57:54 PM »

King, will you vote for Hillary? Tongue Just curious...

I don't even know if I will be voting. I usually skip blowouts.
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