MS-01 Special Election Thread

[Del Tachi]

Thompson is such an inept Congressman.  Despite being the dean of Mississippi's delegation and being one of the more senior members of the CBC, he has practically zero capital with Democratic House leadership.

Competent representation, from a Republican or Democrat, would be a much-welcomed change for the Second District.

Speaking of Second District Republicans....I think Buck Clarke could pull off an upset here in a wave-type year, no?

[smoltchanov]

Speaking of Second District Republicans....I think Buck Clarke could pull off an upset here in a wave-type year, no?

I know that he wins "normally Democratic" district, and he is a pragmatic Cochran-style politician, but still - somewhat too conservative. He will need really BIG wave...

[Del Tachi]

Speaking of Second District Republicans....I think Buck Clarke could pull off an upset here in a wave-type year, no?

I know that he wins "normally Democratic" district, and he is a pragmatic Cochran-style politician, but still - somewhat too conservative. He will need really BIG wave...

Yep, and even then he'd face an uphill battle every two years.  He and his district are probably better off staying at the helm of the approps committee in Jackson. 


What would be most interesting would be if someone like Bill Luckett jumped into the and tried to get enough Delta Whites to crossover into the Democratic primary to give him the nomination.  Basically turn the primary into a GE contest between "White Mississippi" and "Black Mississippi". 

[gespb19]

Luckett would not have much support in the Delta aside from Clarksdale/Coahoma County. Look at the 2011 Democrat governor primary map. Of course, Delta whites would probably prefer him over any of the black candidates (IF they voted in the Democrat primary).

[Del Tachi]

Clarksdale/Coahoma would probably be enough to propel him to victory if turnout elsewhere was at typical primary levels (i.e., anemic) and there were several candidate splitting the Urban Jackson vote.

Clarksdale and Coahoma County are actually some of the more populated places in the Delta. 

David Blount wouldn't be a bad candidate either.  Pro-Obamacare, White state legislator with appeal in Metro Jackson.  He could subtly play the race card in order to appeal to Delta Whites while not being "too conservative" as to piss-off the Black powerbrokers who motivate the voting masses. 

[gespb19]

Coahoma is only the 8th most populated county in the district. Population there has rapidly decreased in recent years, even compared to the rest of the Delta. Luckett would have to expand his appeal to Greenwood, Greenville, Vicksburg, etc. I don't think he'd do well in inner-city Jackson.

[minionofmidas]

Of course, if this fractured primary had happened ten years ago then Democrats would have nicked this seat in the first round by locking out Republicans from the runoff. Well, of course the Blue Dog was going to beat the (not all that left, actually) Black man in the runoff, but this would still be D+1. (Kelly then loses his seat to Alan Nunnelee in 2010 .)