AZ-PPP: Paul/Huck/Christie with a lead against Hillary, others are about tied

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav %:

Carson 28/20% for +8%
Rubio 37/35% for +2%
Walker 32/30% for +2%
Sanders 21/26% for -5%
Paul 35/41% for -6%
Huckabee 32/40% for -8%
Webb 11/19% for -8%
Cruz 32/41% for -9%
Chafee 9/18% for -9%
O'Malley 8/21% for -13%
Perry 28/43% for -15%
Clinton 37/54% for -17%
Bush 28/46% for -18%
Christie 23/46% for -23%

Bush's favorability among blacks is funny:

favorable: 0%
unfavorable: 69%
not sure: 31%

Carson's favorability among blacks is:

favorable: 24%
unfavorable: 28%
not sure: 48%

Being at a net favorable of -4% puts Carson ahead of all the other Republicans among blacks.  It sure beats Bush's -69%.

[Mr. Morden]

Is Christie doing so well here because of old, conservative NJ/NY-people who retired in AZ ?

if you look at the poll details, the reason Christie is doing well is strong performance with moderates, women and Latinos. This poll looks exactly like the kind of thing Christie would hope for nationally and would have expected without all his problems for the last year. It is as if AZ has been sealed away in a time capsule.

Exactly. That's why it's so weird.

You guys haven't been paying attention to the crosstabs in other polls.  Christie getting the most crossover support from Democrats, even now in 2015, is not that unusual.  We've seen it in other polls, and I've pointed it out before, like in this Quinnipiac national poll:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=208441.msg4510722#msg4510722

That's not unusual.  What's different in this Arizona poll though is Christie's support **among Republicans**.  He's doing about as well among Republicans in the Christie/Clinton matchup as other Republicans are in their own matchups with Clinton, whereas in other polls over the past year, the Christie/Clinton matchup has yielded an unusually large number of Republican defections to Clinton.