UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)
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  UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)
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Author Topic: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)  (Read 174206 times)
#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #450 on: May 07, 2015, 07:02:51 PM »

I know it's still early, but it looks like the Lib Dems might do worse than what the exit poll is suggesting.
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afleitch
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« Reply #451 on: May 07, 2015, 07:03:29 PM »


If it makes you feel better. But if no seats in Scotland changed hands then the Tories would have 1 more seat on the Exit Poll and the Lib Dems 11 more. And they would be able to form a coalition anyway.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #452 on: May 07, 2015, 07:03:32 PM »

I know it's still early, but it looks like the Lib Dems might do worse than what the exit poll is suggesting.

One of the few bright points of the night, imo.
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Vosem
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« Reply #453 on: May 07, 2015, 07:04:02 PM »

I know it's still early, but it looks like the Lib Dems might do worse than what the exit poll is suggesting.

The 10 seats would all be won on aberrational local popularity, so these results don't really indicate anything for those kinds of seats. Normally a party that wins 8% of the national vote wins no seats in the United Kingdom.
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afleitch
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« Reply #454 on: May 07, 2015, 07:04:22 PM »

2 Scottish accented returning officers in a row Smiley
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jaichind
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« Reply #455 on: May 07, 2015, 07:04:28 PM »

After Putney confirming UKIP tactical voting for CON the political markets moved again

CON            312
LAB             246
LD                15
UKIP             3.5
SNP             54.5
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Beet
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« Reply #456 on: May 07, 2015, 07:05:24 PM »

Have the polls ever been this wrong before?
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #457 on: May 07, 2015, 07:06:24 PM »


If it makes you feel better. But if no seats in Scotland changed hands then the Tories would have 1 more seat on the Exit Poll and the Lib Dems 11 more. And they would be able to form a coalition anyway.

It's less that I'm blaming the results in Scotland themselves and more that I'm beginning to be convinced by the idea that the Tories successfully used the SNP as a bogeyman in England.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #458 on: May 07, 2015, 07:06:55 PM »

Have the polls ever been this wrong before?

1992, 1970...always against Labour.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #459 on: May 07, 2015, 07:07:20 PM »

Liberal Democrats lost 22.2% in Newcastle Upon Tyne East.
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #460 on: May 07, 2015, 07:08:10 PM »

Does anyone happen to know at what point half of all the seats had been declared last time?
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Oakvale
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« Reply #461 on: May 07, 2015, 07:08:18 PM »

The idea that Scotland owes the English a Labour government was always profoundly irritating to me during the referendum (and probably would offend me If I was Scottish), but I must say I find it funny that people freaked out about Scottish independence depriving Labour of seats and then this happens.
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Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends
Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #462 on: May 07, 2015, 07:08:48 PM »

Liberal Democrats lost 22.2% in Newcastle Upon Tyne East.

Still held their deposit, Tories gained 1.5% here as well.
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #463 on: May 07, 2015, 07:09:06 PM »

Apparently Galloway has lost.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #464 on: May 07, 2015, 07:09:37 PM »

Poor Libdems. Blamed for everything bad in the last government and not given credit for the good stuff. When the truth may well be the opposite.
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Nathan
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« Reply #465 on: May 07, 2015, 07:09:53 PM »


Cold comfort, but comfort nonetheless.
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Insula Dei
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« Reply #466 on: May 07, 2015, 07:10:10 PM »

Have the polls ever been this wrong before?

1992, 1970...always against Labour.

2010
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Foucaulf
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« Reply #467 on: May 07, 2015, 07:11:12 PM »

Why the blame to the SNP? The problem should be pinned on Labour and their very mealy-mouthed response to SNP collaboration. Given their lack of breakthrough in England, what made you think a less effusive SNP performance would've done?

It'll be interesting to see how much farther the Lib Dems have fallen. Clearly a good chunk of them did not move toward Labour.
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Јas
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« Reply #468 on: May 07, 2015, 07:11:41 PM »

Quote from: Restricted
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https://twitter.com/holly_watt/status/596464393749188608
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Vosem
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« Reply #469 on: May 07, 2015, 07:12:39 PM »
« Edited: May 07, 2015, 07:24:29 PM by Vosem »

Newcastle upon Tyne East:
49% Labour
18% Conservative
13% UKIP
11% Liberal Democrat
9% Green

2010:
45% Labour
33% Liberal Democrat
16% Conservative
4% BNP
2% Green
1% Communist
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World politics is up Schmitt creek
Nathan
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« Reply #470 on: May 07, 2015, 07:13:37 PM »

Why the blame to the SNP? The problem should be pinned on Labour and their very mealy-mouthed response to SNP collaboration.

Eh, fair point. Obviously Labour itself [Inks]ed up massively.
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afleitch
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« Reply #471 on: May 07, 2015, 07:14:01 PM »

Another small swing in London. Once again worse than the exit poll.
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #472 on: May 07, 2015, 07:14:43 PM »

Newcastle upon Tyne:
49% Labour
18% Conservative
12% UKIP
11% Liberal Democrat
9% Green

2010:
45% Labour
33% Liberal Democrat
16% Conservative
4% BNP
2% Green
1% Communist

Everyone gains from the Lib Dem's misery.
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jaichind
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« Reply #473 on: May 07, 2015, 07:15:12 PM »

Another small swing in London. Once again worse than the exit poll.

And again, UKIP under performs in places where CON are strong.
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Anton Kreitzer
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« Reply #474 on: May 07, 2015, 07:16:07 PM »

LAB HOLD Tooting:

LAB 47.1% (+3.6)
CON 41.9% (+3.4)
GRN 4.1% (+2.9)
LD 3.9% (-10.9)
UKIP 2.9% (+1.6)
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