UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)

[Clyde1998]

SNP reference

Couldn't bring myself to vote for any of these in my school election. (I blurred out the candidates names)

Loads of people at my school refused to vote for anyone - the biggest issue was that there was no Green candidate.

[Clyde1998]

Which British channels will be streaming their results on their website this time?

In 2010 I remember BBC did.

Preferably I'd watch BBC and Dimblby but I'll find whatever I can.  I don't have C-SPAN anymore sadly.

Sky will be on YouTube.

[Clyde1998]

Do they still do the big swingometer, with the guy moving the thing back and forth to show the audience? Or does UKIP, SNP, etc. totally screw that up?

They have four this year - Con-Lab, Lib-Lab, Con-Lib and SNP-Lab.

[Clyde1998]

So how long until the first results come in?

Sunderland North is likely declare at around an hour and a half after the close of polling.

[Clyde1998]

BBC/ITV/Sky News Exit Poll:
Con - 316
Lab - 239
Lib - 10
SNP - 58
Other - ?

[Clyde1998]

Any guesses as to the Scottish seat that SNP didn't win assuming exits are correct.

Orkney & Shetland.

[Clyde1998]

Sunderland North South declaration imminent.

[Clyde1998]

"BBC: Labour looks set to suffer a hammering in Scotland at the hands of the SNP, with their vote dropping an average of 18%."

[Clyde1998]

Houghton & Sunderland South:
Lab - 21,218 (+4.8%)
UKIP - 8,280 (+18.8%)
Con - 7,105 (-3.0%)
Grn - 1,095
Lib - 791

Labour hold.

[Clyde1998]

okay when are the BBC going to whip out the SWINGOMETER

7% from Lab to UKIP.

[Clyde1998]

Sunderland Central
Lab - 20,959
Con - 9,780
UKIP - 7,997
Grn - 1,706
Lib - 1,105
Indy - 215

Labour hold.

[Clyde1998]

Washington & Sunderland West
Lab - 20,478
UKIP - 7,321
Con - 7,033
Grn - 1,091
Lib - 993
TUSC - 341

Labour hold.

[Clyde1998]

Swings in the Sunderland seats smaller than the Exit Poll.

[Clyde1998]

Danny Alexander set to lose his seat.

[Clyde1998]

East Renfrewshire has a record 81.2% turnout.

[Clyde1998]

Orkney & Shetland is close between the SNP and Liberals. SNP clean sweep possible.

[Clyde1998]

So it's near 2am UK time and the BBC feed has 11 seats in. Is this unusual?

The wave will hit around 2ish.

[Clyde1998]

[Clyde1998]

Protests on the streets of London today: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.990107307666350.1073742020.593116884032063&type=1

Wait until the cuts start happening...

#LondonRiots.

[Clyde1998]

The South East.

That's terrifying for me...

[Clyde1998]

The South East.

That's terrifying for me...

Where can Labour even try and break through?

Oxford, Reading, Slough, Brighton and Southampton - only really. Not much fertile ground for Labour in the South East.

Hopefully the Greens can continue to grow in the region though.

[Clyde1998]

Are there any exit polls with subs such as ethnicity, religion etc?

The BBC/ITN/Sky Exit Poll data is never realised, sadly.

[Clyde1998]

Are there any exit polls with subs such as ethnicity, religion etc?

The BBC/ITN/Sky Exit Poll data is never realised, sadly.

It is conducted by Mori and NOP, who usually do release it sometime after the election. Here is 2005's for instance: https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/2252/How-Britain-Voted-in-2005.aspx?view=wide

Maybe they do - eventually. I found 2010 - https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/2613/How-Britain-Voted-in-2010.aspx?view=wide

[Clyde1998]

Does anyone think there is enough residual Liberal Democrat strength in the West Country for them to mount a comeback there in the coming years?

Yes - they came second in almost all seats in the West Country. However, I don't think the 2020 election will be the time for the Lib Dem re-breakthrough in the South West. Maybe 2025 (assuming the fixed-term parliament act stays in place).

[Clyde1998]

Farage back as UKIP leader already... http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32696505