UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)

[rob in cal]

  Two electoral reform jokes pertaining to Britain that I came up with, to entertain people until polls close.
Whats the difference between the US politician's knowledge of electoral reform and British politician's knowledge of it.  In Britain when people talk about PR, its understood that it refers to Proportional Representation. In the US, PR refers to public relations, and Proportional Representation would barely be understood at all (some complicated European election thing).
Ok, second joke.  What do you call David Cameron in a few days or weeks from now?  Former prime minister. What do you call David  Cameron in a few days or weeks from now if Britain had PR or even the Alternate Vote?  Current prime minister.

Don't worry, no plans to quit my day job.

[rob in cal]

   Looked at the over under betting odds for the different parties and their seat totals.  Tories are at 285, Labour 271, LD's at 26.5, SNP 50.  Also, Milliband slight favorite to be next PM. 

[rob in cal]

Tories must have cleaned up Cornwall, and massive UKIP tactical voting in Con-Lab marginals.  Epic failure for pollsters.

[rob in cal]

Any guesses as to the Scottish seat that SNP didn't win assuming exits are correct.

[rob in cal]

Any indication of overall popular vote shares of the parties from these exit polls?

[rob in cal]

     Would be fascinating to see UKIP become the primary opposition to Labour in the north in the future. I remember reading something about a future Red-UKIP emerging as Labours main challenger in its northern heartland.

[rob in cal]

   Upon looking over the results in some of the Con vs Lab marginals that the Conservatives held whats intriguing is that the UKIP vote actually held up pretty strong.  It was the LD's (the Lost Deposit Party) whose totals collapsed.  So, I wonder just how much UKIP tactical voting was going on.

[rob in cal]

What areas would look the most different with the upcoming Boundary changes that the Conservatives are talking about doing.

[rob in cal]

Anyone find a nice tidy list of the top thirty or so closest seats in terms of victory margin?

[rob in cal]

With the emergence of UKIP and the Greens, plus the still significant residual vote for the LD's, it was almost inevitable for a huge amount of wasted votes and disproportionality.  Reminds me a little about the Polish election of 1993 or 1994 where a huge bunch of parties missed the threshold.