Here's how I see the 2006 Senate:
MT: Toss-up. MT Dems seem to have it together enough to give Burns a good run.
RI: Chafee should hold this seat. Strong Lean Republican.
NJ: Given that Corzine becomes gov. Kean should be a strong Rep candidate. Slight lean Republican
MN: Toss-up. Maybe a very slight lean for the Dems. Could depend on national electorate's mood.
TN: Strong lean Republican
VT: Strong lean Independent
FL: Lean Dem. Don't see the Repub emerging to knock off Nelson
NE: Strong lean Dem. See Florida.
PA: Lean Dem. Casey is Santorum's nightmare candidate. He better hope for a pro-choice 3rd party.
MD: I'll say lean Dem until the primary starts shaping up. Mfume vs Steele is a toss-up. Cardin vs Steele is strong lean for the Dems. Cardin vs any other R is safe Dem
MI: Strong lean Dem. Who's going to knock Stabenow off?
MO: Strong lean Repub. Talent has numbers here.
Safe for party in power except for right candidate
VA: Allen (R-I) vs Warner (D) very slight Rep lean
WV: Only if Byrd retires.
WA: Cantwell (D-I) vs Dunn (R) lean Dem
NY: Clinton (D-I) vs Guiliani (R) we can hope right?
ND: Conrad (D-I) vs Hoeven (R) toss-up
TX: If Hutch runs for Gov still strong Rep lean but open seats are unpredictible.
WI: Kohl (D-I) vs Thompson (R) slight Dem lean
For jdb only
AZ: Kyl vs Grijuvila LOL 
My best guess Dems gain 1 (win PA & MT, lose NJ)
Rep: 54
Dem: 45
Ind: 1
RI, NJ, and TN are all looking much better for the Democrats than that. I'd say RI is weak lean Democrat, NJ is lean Democrat, and TN is lean Republican.
