if those Democratic legislators who currently compose the majority in both the Alabama and Mississippi state legislatures were to retire, who would likely to replace them -on average? Republicans, or other Democrats?
Depends on the district in question. Certainly most Hill Country districts aren't going to flip, even with a retiring incumbent. The ones that will, are the ones that were rural when the current incumbent was elected and have steadily suburbanised. Rural districts in the southern parts of each state might as well.
Not to forget the Black Democrat members. Most of those districts aren't going anywhere I suppose.
