Predict the year that the GOP wins the White House again

[The Other Castro]

2020

[pbrower2a]

2020. Those who follow the two terms of their predecessor are usually one-term presidents.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If Bernie Sanders or Martin OMalley are the Dem candidate: 2016

If Hillary is the Dem candidates:2020/2024/2???

But, a recession has to take place.

[TarHeelDem]

2024 at the earliest. However, if Hillary chooses a strong, young VP who runs that cycle, it could be 2028 or 2032.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I knew what they were thinking when they put Jeb up; but he hasnt lived up to expectations, Karl Rove wont endorse him.

Julian Castro v George P Bush 2024.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

2016, and I'm pretty confident about it.

[Bojack Horseman]

2024

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2016, and I'm pretty confident about it.

3rd term same party rule isnt the norm; but the division among GOP, between Tea party and GOP, is similar to what the Dems went through in 2000; which cost Gore the election due to the Green Party Nadar.


Dems are united behind Hilary.

[Abraham Reagan]

2016, and I'm pretty confident about it.

3rd term same party rule isnt the norm; but the division among GOP, between Tea party and GOP, is similar to what the Dems went through in 2000; which cost Gore the election due to the Green Party Nadar.


Dems are united behind Hilary.

Even though the GOP looks very divided now, I think Republicans (myself included) want to win in 2016 so badly that even someone like Bush would win the votes of people who stayed home for Romney last time. I recently saw a poll that showed that a majority of GOP voters are more concerned with winning this time than having an ideologically pure candidate.

[bobloblaw]

2024. The GOP is going to keep losing if they keep on nominating stale candidates like Jeb, Romney, and McCain, and there is literally no evidence that they're learning why they are losing.

Blame the establishment and Chamber of Commerce.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2016, and I'm pretty confident about it.

3rd term same party rule isnt the norm; but the division among GOP, between Tea party and GOP, is similar to what the Dems went through in 2000; which cost Gore the election due to the Green Party Nadar.


Dems are united behind Hilary.

Even though the GOP looks very divided now, I think Republicans (myself included) want to win in 2016 so badly that even someone like Bush would win the votes of people who stayed home for Romney last time. I recently saw a poll that showed that a majority of GOP voters are more concerned with winning this time than having an ideologically pure candidate.

True, your party wont have the gaffes ot suffered on 2008 &  2012, of Herman Cain and Palin, the GOP has looked to austerity; instead of progrowth policies.  Lagging problem of the Great Recession, of 2008, is low wages. Until minimum wage is raised, which Mitt Romney has wanted, Dems will be advantaged.

[BigVic]

If Hillary somehow loses the Democratic nomination, then 2016. Leaning toward 2024 or later.

[Panhandle Progressive]

2024 at the earliest. However, if Hillary chooses a strong, young VP who runs that cycle, it could be 2028 or 2032.

I agree. Also, even if Hillary's VP doesn't run a young star could continue the successive wins at the highest office. So Dems will hold the presidency for at least 16 years straight. Maybe more depending on who is nominated (by both major parties) in 2024.

[bobloblaw]

If Hillary somehow loses the Democratic nomination, then 2016. Leaning toward 2024 or later.

If Hillary wins in 2016, she loses in 2020

[NHI]

I'm leaning towards 2024.

[Mister Mets]

2016 seems more likely than not.

[bobloblaw]

I'm leaning towards 2024.

4 two term presidents in a row??? Unlikely

[RFayette]

2016 seems more likely than not.

Mr. Mets, what evidence do you have for this hunch?  If Hillary wasn't running, I'd agree, but the polling and clown car primary are pretty concerning IMO.

[bobloblaw]

2016 seems more likely than not.

Mr. Mets, what evidence do you have for this hunch?  If Hillary wasn't running, I'd agree, but the polling and clown car primary are pretty concerning IMO.

Hillary is the Clown Car.

I can think of a number of stronger Dem candidates than Hildawg. Kristin Gillibrand for one.

[RFayette]

2016 seems more likely than not.

Mr. Mets, what evidence do you have for this hunch?  If Hillary wasn't running, I'd agree, but the polling and clown car primary are pretty concerning IMO.

Hillary is the Clown Car.

I can think of a number of stronger Dem candidates than Hildawg. Kristin Gillibrand for one.

I know others say Gillibrand is stronger, but somehow I fail to see how a big-tobacco lawyer turned generic Congressman/Senator is really going to get anyone excited to support her.

[Blair]

2016 seems more likely than not.

Mr. Mets, what evidence do you have for this hunch?  If Hillary wasn't running, I'd agree, but the polling and clown car primary are pretty concerning IMO.

Hillary is the Clown Car.

I can think of a number of stronger Dem candidates than Hildawg. Kristin Gillibrand for one.

I know others say Gillibrand is stronger, but somehow I fail to see how a big-tobacco lawyer turned generic Congressman/Senator is really going to get anyone excited to support her.

Wasn't she an infamous blue dog democrat as well? Hillary would get lynched if she touched that vicious group

[bobloblaw]

2016 seems more likely than not.

Mr. Mets, what evidence do you have for this hunch?  If Hillary wasn't running, I'd agree, but the polling and clown car primary are pretty concerning IMO.

Hillary is the Clown Car.

I can think of a number of stronger Dem candidates than Hildawg. Kristin Gillibrand for one.

I know others say Gillibrand is stronger, but somehow I fail to see how a big-tobacco lawyer turned generic Congressman/Senator is really going to get anyone excited to support her.

As opposed to a corrupt elderly liar who gives $350,000 speeches.

[DS0816]

Hopefully it doesn't happen until the trash gets taken out of that party. There's a major cleansing that needs to happen. Deaths will be a help.

[EliteLX]

2016, a HUGE fight, but a strong GOP ticket slips by Hillary getting caught in her baggage.

[Indy Texas]

2020

The Democrats, meanwhile, should be very concerned about how nonexistent their bench is post-Hillary. The GOP is incubating plenty of potential future national contenders with its majorities in the House, Senate and most state legislatures. The Democrats' rising stars are disproportionately big city mayors, and historically they have poor prospects for getting elected to the presidency.