minionofmidas
Lewis Trondheim
Atlas Institution
Posts: 58,206
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« on: May 02, 2005, 02:42:53 AM » |
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Categorized all the states into eight categories depending on how well Dems did in the 2004 Presidential, Senatorial and Representative (Representatival? Representational? Whatever) elections, by D or R percentage margin of victory. Source is the Clerk of the House's official report.
States With No Senate Election - States where John Kerry did better than D House candidates: Rhode Island*, New York*, New Jersey*, Delaware, Virginia, Michigan, Nebraska, Mississippi*, Montana - States where D House candidates did better than John Kerry: Maine, Massachusetts, West Virginia, Minnesota, Tennessee, Texas*, New Mexico, Wyoming
States with a Senate election - States where John Kerry did best States where Kerry did best and House candidates worst (PSR for short, I'll do these in short hand from now) Georgia PRS New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Iowa, Missouri, Kansas, Idaho*, Arizona
SRP Connecticut, Maryland, Indiana, North Dakota, Arkansas*, Colorado, Oregon, California, Hawaii RSP North Carolina, South Dakota, Utah, Washington
SPR Vermont*, Illinois, Wisconsin, Kentucky, South Carolina, Florida*, Louisiana*, Oklahoma, Nevada, Alaska RPS Alabama
Footnotes... Rhode Island - error in official sources. (Winning) D House candidate in RI-2 not tallied. Would be in the other group otherwise. New York - Democratic and Republican party lines, not candidates' aggregate votes. New Jersey - Republicans did not contest NJ-10. Given closeness of result, this may have affected the result. Mississippi - Democrats did not contest two seats. Obviously affected result. Texas - Both parties did not contest a number of seats. This may have affected the result, though I would consider it less than 50% likely. Idaho - Democratic candidate in Senate race was write-in candidate. Arkansas - AR-4 was uncontested. According to Arkansas (and Florida, and possibly elsewhere) state law, the results weren't even counted, let alone tallied. State would be in RSP otherwise. This is likely even if the Reps had contested AR-4. Vermont - There was a Democrat running. He came third. He was not backed by the DNC. He is tallied here, however. Treating Bernie Sanders as the Dem candidate puts the state in SRP category. Adding Sanders' and Dem candidate's votes puts the state in RSP category. Florida - Numerous districts uncontested, and results not tallied. This may have affected the result in a number of ways. Louisiana - According to Clerk of the House established practice, all candidates of same party description tallied in races that did not require a runoff. Runoff result used where there was a runoff. May or may not have affected result.
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