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  2016 Gubernatorial Predictions
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Latest 2016 Predictions (Highest Scores)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
colin (R-ON)Map 11-07 2 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
jrny32 (O-NJ)Map 11-07 1 R +4 8 (+4) 4 (-4) 0 (0) 0
Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI)MapProfile 09-06 1 R +1 5 (+1) 7 (-1) 0 (0) 0
blackflamecandl (I-VA)Map 11-05 2 R +1 5 (+1) 7 (-1) 0 (0) 0
tmthforu94 (R-KS)MapProfile 11-07 14 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
jaichind (L-NY)MapProfile 11-07 5 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
ExtremeGOP (R-TN)MapProfile 11-07 4 R +1 5 (+1) 7 (-1) 0 (0) 0
TexasDemocrat (G-TX)MapProfile 11-07 2 R +4 8 (+4) 4 (-4) 0 (0) 0
whaeffner1 (R-FL)MapProfile 11-07 2 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
Higgs (R-IL)MapProfile 11-07 3 R +3 7 (+3) 5 (-3) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Entries)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
Ruby2014 (I-OH)MapProfile 11-08 9 R +5 9 (+5) 3 (-5) 0 (0) 0
Sb101 (D-NZL)MapProfile 11-08 10 D +1 3 (-1) 9 (+1) 0 (0) 0
ground_x (D-NY)MapProfile 11-08 2 D +1 3 (-1) 9 (+1) 0 (0) 0
Nym90 (D-OR)MapProfile 11-08 6 Even 4 (0) 8 (0) 0 (0) 0
Timothy87 (R-MD)MapProfile 11-08 2 R +2 6 (+2) 6 (-2) 0 (0) 0
nolesfan2011 (O-GA)MapProfile 11-08 1 Even 4 (0) 8 (0) 0 (0) 0
fezzyfestoon (I-PA)MapProfile 11-08 1 D +2 2 (-2) 10 (+2) 0 (0) 0
Juin (R-CO)MapProfile 11-08 5 R +1 5 (+1) 7 (-1) 0 (0) 0
Sedona (D-NJ)MapProfile 11-08 5 D +1 3 (-1) 9 (+1) 0 (0) 0
K.Dobrev (O-BGR)MapProfile 11-08 1 D +1 3 (-1) 9 (+1) 0 (0) 0
Latest 2016 Predictions (Most Recent Comments)
User Map Prof Date Ver. Pickup Rep Dem Ind #C
libertpaulian (I-IN)
by libertpaulian on 2016-11-07 @ 17:23:33
MapProfile 11-07 1 Even 4 (0) 8 (0) 0 (0) 1
sirnick (D-WI)
by mds32 on 2016-05-27 @ 22:19:47
MapProfile 05-26 1 Even 4 (0) 8 (0) 0 (0) 1
Latest Discussion Topics
Author Topic: 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions  (Read 12342 times)
Dave Leip
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« on: May 15, 2015, 09:51:37 pm »

The 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active.

Compiled Prediction Map
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Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2015, 12:12:55 am »

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Flake
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« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2015, 09:44:15 am »

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2015, 04:38:31 pm »

https://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/GOVERNOR/2016/pred.php?action=indpred&id=12
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Penelope
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« Reply #4 on: June 11, 2015, 06:37:49 pm »

The 'prediction graphs' for the 2016 gubernatorial predictions appear to be broken.
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Figueira
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« Reply #5 on: June 11, 2015, 10:45:08 pm »

Vermont needs to be switched to an open seat now that Shumlin isn't running.
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Flake
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« Reply #6 on: June 16, 2015, 10:14:40 pm »

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Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: June 17, 2015, 12:32:10 am »

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Kate Brown getting 60%? Are you sure about that? The only democrat since at least 1950 to manage that in an OR Gubernatorial race was Kitzhaber in 1998, and that was his 2nd election, not his first.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2015, 02:32:07 pm »

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Kate Brown getting 60%? Are you sure about that? The only democrat since at least 1950 to manage that in an OR Gubernatorial race was Kitzhaber in 1998, and that was his 2nd election, not his first.

I think she'll win around 54%.
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2015, 10:43:40 pm »

I think it will be a good year for Democrats. all the puzzle pieces are falling into place nicely.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2016, 12:05:29 am »

Ratings



Republicans: 27  <-- Overall
Safe R: 2
Likely R: 0
Lean R: 0
Toss-Up: 5
Lean D: 1
Likely D: 1
Safe D: 3
Democrats: 10

Predictions



Republicans: 29 (-2)
Democrats: 20 (+2)
Independents: 1

Exact Percentage Predictions
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2016, 04:54:58 pm »
« Edited: October 30, 2016, 04:57:01 pm by TN Volunteer »

Ratings



Predictions



Republicans: 31
Democrats: 18
Independents: 1
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2016, 12:26:09 am »

Final Predictions

Here

Final Ratings

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: November 25, 2016, 02:04:15 am »

How off was I? Ex: D+2 means I was 2 points off in margin from the actual result.

DE: D+7
IN: D+10
MO: D+5
MT: D+7
NH: D+4
NC: D+1
ND: D+28
OR: D+4
UT: Even
VT: D+1
WA: D+1
WV: R+16 (didn't see that coming)

Overall, the worst state I predicted throughout all of this is North Dakota. Apparently, unless you have name recognition or they're well liked, you get absolute crap as a Democrat in the Dakotas.
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