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  WA-PPP: Murray holding early leads
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Author Topic: WA-PPP: Murray holding early leads  (Read 1742 times)
Miles
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« on: May 20, 2015, 10:49:12 am »
« edited: May 20, 2015, 10:52:47 am by Miles »

Article.

Murray- 46%
McKenna- 41%

Murray- 47%
Herrera-Beutler- 37%

Murray- 48%
Reichert- 37%

Murray- 48%
McMorris-Rodgers- 35%


Her approval is 47/39.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2015, 11:07:01 am »

Woah, "look out for Washington state"

Murray might be more likely to lose than Feingold
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Dom. Pol. Councilor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #2 on: May 20, 2015, 11:09:23 am »

As expected, Murray has a strong advantage but does not appear completely safe.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #3 on: May 20, 2015, 11:11:15 am »

Democrats don't lose in Washington. Next.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #4 on: May 20, 2015, 11:39:13 am »

Considering McKenna seems unlikely to run, she has nothing to worry about.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #5 on: May 20, 2015, 02:12:45 pm »

As expected, Murray has a strong advantage but does not appear completely safe.

Don't give Morris anymore ideas
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IA less likely to flip than OH/TX/FL/GA/NC/AZ
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« Reply #6 on: May 20, 2015, 02:30:09 pm »

Democrats don't lose in Washington. Next.

This. The Pacific West is as inelastic as MS. This race is Safe D.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: May 20, 2015, 02:54:33 pm »

Yeah the GOP star candidate is down 5, and it only closes Democratic. The GOP should put up a non-Akin in the hopes of doing battle with the Governor.
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The Unbearable Inevitability of Nevada going Democratic
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« Reply #8 on: May 20, 2015, 03:05:49 pm »

#Reichertstrongrecruit
#SwingstateWA

As I've said, the only one who would make this race even remotely close is McKenna. He's probably not running though, so Safe D. Republicans are wasting their time by investing any resources here. Murray is safe.
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Joshua
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« Reply #9 on: May 20, 2015, 03:36:55 pm »

Murray is battle-tested in the case this ever actually becomes competitive.

Safe Democratic hold.
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mds32
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« Reply #10 on: May 20, 2015, 09:39:12 pm »

I think this will be competitive come 2022 in the off year, not now.
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Joshua
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« Reply #11 on: May 20, 2015, 10:52:30 pm »

I think this will be competitive come 2022 in the off year, not now.

It was competitive in 2010 as well. But if Murray is still there and running for reelection in 2022, Dems shouldn't have to sweat.
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○∙◄☻tπ[╪AV┼cV└
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« Reply #12 on: May 20, 2015, 10:57:27 pm »

Even if she has a reasonably strong opponent, she wins by 10.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #13 on: May 20, 2015, 11:09:56 pm »

I think this will be competitive come 2022 in the off year, not now.

Maybe, but Washington isn't a state where the midterm electorate is vastly different from the general electorate. You'd never guess 2014 was an R year looking at Washington electoral results.
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sg0508
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« Reply #14 on: May 26, 2015, 08:36:18 pm »

Well, the Republicans could always run Dino Rossi again, haha.

I think the bigger question is, will the Democrats gain a down-ballot sweep next year? The GOP used to consistently win down-ballot races and they've been weakening with each cycle. In '12, they barely won a single race. 

Part of the problem is that the Republicans have to deal with presidential years, which increases Democratic turnout.
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freepcrusher
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« Reply #15 on: May 26, 2015, 08:42:25 pm »

This. The Pacific West is as inelastic as MS. This race is Safe D.

uh, what?
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #16 on: May 27, 2015, 11:16:47 am »

This. The Pacific West is as inelastic as MS. This race is Safe D.

uh, what?

An exaggeration, but he's right. There's a substantial amount of people in the Pacific Northwest who will never vote Republican. It's similar to Pennsylvania where both parties have a high floor, and very few swing voters in between to be up for grabs.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #17 on: May 27, 2015, 05:57:32 pm »

The WA republican party is quite strong. But, they always lose in the end by a slim margin though.
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sg0508
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« Reply #18 on: May 27, 2015, 08:10:02 pm »

There definitely seems to be a large group of people in western WA state that just will not swing for the GOP....ever! No matter how corrupt or weak the Democratic party candidate may be, that's who they are voting for.  You really have a split of two states in WA, but the coastal half is becoming stronger. 

As others have said, the WA GOP isn't weak. They've put up some good candidates, but there aren't many swing voters to go around and WA's statewide elections are in presidential years. 
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