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Author Topic: CA-Field Research: Hillary leads by 20+  (Read 3864 times)
yeah_93
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« on: May 22, 2015, 07:24:35 pm »

http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/Rls2506.pdf

Clinton 53
Rubio 32

Clinton 52
Bush 31

Clinton 54
Walker 30

April 23-May 16, 2015, Sample of 801 registered voters. Lock if old.

Edit: Dumb me, I forgot to post the poll lol.
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mds32
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« Reply #1 on: May 22, 2015, 07:26:27 pm »

Looks about right. Rubio could probably get to 41%, but I don't see any other GOP candidate getting any closer than that.
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Castro
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« Reply #2 on: May 22, 2015, 08:01:28 pm »

RIP Mark Halperin
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2015, 08:03:29 pm »

RIP Mark Halperin
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #4 on: May 22, 2015, 08:20:03 pm »

Buuuttt I thought Bush waasss supposesssed too winnnn Caloffforrniiia.....

------

Trolling aside, it's nice to finally have a correct looking poll for this state.
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Gallium
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« Reply #5 on: May 22, 2015, 08:21:20 pm »

This is great news! For Jeb Bush!
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136or142
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« Reply #6 on: May 22, 2015, 08:24:45 pm »

Looks about right. Rubio could probably get to 41%, but I don't see any other GOP candidate getting any closer than that.

Rubio couldn't even get 41 on an IQ test.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: May 22, 2015, 09:25:51 pm »

No way. Gravis and Mark Halperin told me CA would be competitive.
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Joshua
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« Reply #8 on: May 22, 2015, 10:57:34 pm »

Makes sense. Not only has California been trending Dem the past two decades, but it's becoming more and more inelastic.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #9 on: May 23, 2015, 09:39:28 am »

Clinton will not win by 20; she will win the state like Kamels Harris 56-44.
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Holmes
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« Reply #10 on: May 23, 2015, 01:29:15 pm »

Clinton will not win by 20; she will win the state like Kamels Harris 56-44.

Wow. What?
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Joshua
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« Reply #11 on: May 23, 2015, 03:10:21 pm »

Clinton will not win by 20; she will win the state like Kamels Harris 56-44.

Kamels Harris would like to have a word with you.
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Flake
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« Reply #12 on: May 23, 2015, 07:24:36 pm »

New Poll: California President by Field Research Corporation on 2015-05-16

Summary: D: 53%, R: 31%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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BetoBro
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« Reply #13 on: May 24, 2015, 05:29:38 am »

Clinton will not win by 20; she will win the state like Kamels Harris 56-44.

LOL
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Hydera
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« Reply #14 on: May 24, 2015, 01:34:30 pm »

Clinton will not win by 20; she will win the state like Kamels Harris 56-44.

Let me guess, you also predict that bernie sanders will get 70%+ in cali as well?
« Last Edit: May 24, 2015, 09:08:10 pm by Hydera »Logged
SunriseAroundTheWorld
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« Reply #15 on: May 24, 2015, 01:50:37 pm »

Kamels Harris? Really, I put you on ignore OC, but for whatever reason people still respond to you.

So, I have one message for you: LEARN HOW TO SPELL.
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« Reply #16 on: May 24, 2015, 05:00:03 pm »

This poll is garbage, toss it in the trash. There is NO WAY that the great moderate Jeb with his Hispanic wife is losing California to that Neo Conservative war mongering corporate bitch.
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politicallefty
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« Reply #17 on: May 24, 2015, 06:09:14 pm »

The Field Poll is the gold standard of California polling (just as Ann Selzer is for Iowa). I put my absolute trust in it. Obviously, we're still about a year and half away from the election. With current demographics and the state of California politics, I think this poll is is probably quite accurate. I think Hillary will at least maintain the Obama coalition in California, which means something in the area of 60-62% statewide. I don't think any Republican candidate can even break 40% in California in 2016.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #18 on: May 24, 2015, 06:48:04 pm »

The Field Poll is the gold standard of California polling (just as Ann Selzer is for Iowa). I put my absolute trust in it. Obviously, we're still about a year and half away from the election. With current demographics and the state of California politics, I think this poll is is probably quite accurate. I think Hillary will at least maintain the Obama coalition in California, which means something in the area of 60-62% statewide. I don't think any Republican candidate can even break 40% in California in 2016.
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #19 on: May 24, 2015, 06:56:56 pm »

Guys, of course he means Kamel(s?) Harris:

Img


#ready4camel
#glassceiling
#HarrisTheCamelLandslide
At least we know she is charismatic, the spitting in peoples faces also shows integrity.
#stayswithoutwaterfordaysuperesourceful!
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Joshua
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« Reply #20 on: May 26, 2015, 09:23:38 pm »

I think Hillary will at least maintain the Obama coalition in California, which means something in the area of 60-62% statewide. I don't think any Republican candidate can even break 40% in California in 2016.

I'd tend to agree with you.

All Democrats running statewide (Brown the most noteworthy) basically didn't run general election campaigns in 2014. I think I saw one Kamels Harris ad the entire cycle. If California 2014 happened the way it did, when turnout ticks up Hillary shouldn't have a problem getting to 60%.
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