Glass is half full analysis going on in this thread. What really should be the headline is Hillary has a -16 favorable rating yet STILL leads everybody.
What is going to take to win the state? 60+% of Pennsylvanians disliking her? Do we really think that's possible? Do we honestly expect her to become more unpopular than this? Do we honestly expect Marco Rubio's favorable rating to stay positive through the GOP primaries?
The crosstabs tell an even worse story. Hillary's bad favorable rating is built on a -3% with Moderates, yet she leads Rubio with moderates by 23. How is it going to get any better than this?
Because while Hillary is a known quantity, many of the Pubs are not, and if a Pub wins the nomination, who acts like they would make a competent POTUS, without seeming scary and extreme, or too war mongering, there is a potential that the moderate vote will more closely resemble Hillary's favorability rating with moderates. Make sense? The other unknown, as in all elections these days, is relative turnout levels. Will Hillary manage to get the same black turnout Obama did? And how will the economy be doing then?
