'00-'12 County Trend Map (user search)
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  '00-'12 County Trend Map (search mode)
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Author Topic: '00-'12 County Trend Map  (Read 8737 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: June 05, 2015, 06:21:53 PM »

For everyone's viewing enjoyment:


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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 05, 2015, 08:48:03 PM »

^ Yep, here's the state version of this map:



With the exception of the western AZ/UT/WY cluster, all the Republican states are contiguous and sprawl out from Appalachia.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« Reply #2 on: June 05, 2015, 09:18:37 PM »

AZ sort of baffled me. This map skips over 2008, so its not like it was home state effected by McCain or anything.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2015, 11:45:22 PM »

And holy hell, Tennessee! A sea of blue!

Gore exaggerated the trend somewhat, but the '04-'12 version of this map was pretty severe as well.

You can pretty much see the outline of the old TN-04 with those dark navy counties.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« Reply #4 on: June 06, 2015, 01:12:42 AM »

And holy hell, Tennessee! A sea of blue!

Gore exaggerated the trend somewhat, but the '04-'12 version of this map was pretty severe as well.

You can pretty much see the outline of the old TN-04 with those dark navy counties.

04-12 seems to confirm a Romney suburban bounce in parts of the NE.  Of course it's overshadowed in NYC by 9/11 being compared against Sandy.

Yeah, interesting things in the northeast. CT changes quite a bit between the maps. Its all blue in 00-12 but about evenly split in 04-12. Maine is pretty much the opposite, especially in the north.


AZ sort of baffled me. This map skips over 2008, so its not like it was home state effected by McCain or anything.

That surprised me, too. FL is also baffling.

Note that this strongly suggests Republican problems in CO, NH and about half of VA are actually understated by 2008 and 2012 due to Romney and McCain being non-Southern suburbanites.  

I actually think CO looks a bit better than it actually is for Democrats. Yeah its good overall, but Nader was taking 10% or more in some of the (now) strongly D counties west of Denver. I'm not sure to what extent that influences things.

I think thats also why MT and ID, even AK, look so good for Democrats.

Thanks a lot, Miles! Both maps are very useful: one more on macro, another - on microlevel))))

Cheesy
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« Reply #5 on: June 07, 2015, 11:29:43 AM »

Correct. Though, of course, you know, national swing of 3.5 points American style between those two elections. Tongue

I knew you had a already done the swing map - thats what I did the trend map.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2015, 02:17:00 PM »

^ Yeah, even with R-trending Rockingham/Hillsborough counties casting over half the state's votes, NH swung D at twice the national rate.
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