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Author Topic: FL: Other Source: Murphy with large lead against Republicans, many undecided  (Read 1751 times)
Flake
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« on: June 10, 2015, 11:47:30 am »

New Poll: Florida Senator by Other Source on 2015-05-31

Summary: D: 33%, R: 14%, I: 0%, U: 53%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Castro
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« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2015, 02:40:24 pm »

Undecided isn't just winning; it has a mandate.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: June 11, 2015, 02:51:35 pm »

Did both of them kill a baby? lol
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Ebsy
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« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2015, 02:59:41 pm »

I don't care if the Democrat is winning, that is a junk poll that should never have been published.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2015, 12:06:33 am »

Well that's just... odd.
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Figueira
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« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2015, 12:09:11 am »

Congratulations, Senator-elect Undecided! I'm guessing a 2024 presidential run is in store?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: June 14, 2015, 02:35:58 pm »

ayy lmao
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Joshua
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« Reply #7 on: June 14, 2015, 06:41:07 pm »

Why was this put in the database? It's the epitome of junk.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: June 14, 2015, 06:57:29 pm »

Why was this put in the database? It's the epitome of junk.
The database includes everything except internals.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #9 on: June 16, 2015, 02:28:00 pm »

Seemingly, since is the first poll out of FL, this is a good one. 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: June 16, 2015, 03:59:15 pm »

Seemingly, since is the first poll out of FL, this is a good one. 

It's a good poll in the way that your posts are good.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #11 on: June 16, 2015, 04:27:50 pm »

My posts can be argued, but I am a pollster just like everyone else.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: June 16, 2015, 04:51:52 pm »

My posts can be argued, but I am a pollster just like everyone else.

You are not a pollster. You've never commissioned a poll. You're not even much of a prognosticator, since your 2016 senate predictions are nothing but confusing junk that are based on stupid firewalls that you shape and manipulate to fit your version of reality, instead of on the actual polling and fundamentals of each individual race, and because you predicted the democrats would keep the senate in 2014.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #13 on: June 16, 2015, 04:59:02 pm »

My senate prediction is based on a 51-49 senate map that is consistant with polling done in NH, Pa, CO and NV.  I can see the election turning out that way.

But Clinton best state is OH rather than CO, thats why senate map reflects Clinton winning Ohio.

But, we are 18 mnth out, still and predictions will change.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #14 on: June 16, 2015, 05:21:58 pm »

My senate prediction is based on a 51-49 senate map that is consistant with polling done in NH, Pa, CO and NV.  I can see the election turning out that way.

But Clinton best state is OH rather than CO, thats why senate map reflects Clinton winning Ohio.

But, we are 18 mnth out, still and predictions will change.

Every reputable poll in PA has Toomey ahead, and taking an average of the last five polls in NH finds Ayotte ahead by 1.2% against Hassan, and she is 11 points ahead of Kuster in the one poll we have for that matchup. To pretend your predictions are based on the senate polls is nothing but a flat out lie. SENATE RACE POLLING /=/ PRESIDENTIAL RACE POLLING, and PRESIDENTIAL RACES /=/ SENATE RACES.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #15 on: June 16, 2015, 05:26:11 pm »

The last poll from Robert Morris had Sestak ahead. I think Sestak will win. But, not by that but he is my candidate to win.
« Last Edit: June 16, 2015, 05:28:07 pm by OC »Logged
Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: June 16, 2015, 05:39:34 pm »

The last poll from Robert Morris had Sestak ahead. I think Sestak will win. But, not by that but he is my candidate to win.

That poll is the junkiest poll of that senate race. It showed 37% of voters as undecided. Don't tell me you believe that. And quite literally every other poll shows Toomey ahead.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #17 on: June 16, 2015, 06:08:53 pm »

The last poll from Robert Morris had Sestak ahead. I think Sestak will win. But, not by that but he is my candidate to win.

That poll is the junkiest poll of that senate race. It showed 37% of voters as undecided. Don't tell me you believe that. And quite literally every other poll shows Toomey ahead.
beep boop
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Holmes
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« Reply #18 on: June 16, 2015, 06:28:00 pm »

Yo guys the election is in 1.5 years so who even cares what polls have to say now?
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sjoyce
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« Reply #19 on: June 16, 2015, 07:04:12 pm »

This poll:
  • Doesn't use a random sample (respondents are self-selected)
  • Has no adjustment for demographics (57% are 18-44! 2/3 have a college degree! Too many Democrats too)
  • Does not poll voters, only "general population adults"

This poll is trash and should not be in the database.
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