WV/NC/VA-Hickman Analytics: Hillary & Huckabee/Carson/Bush ahead
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  WV/NC/VA-Hickman Analytics: Hillary & Huckabee/Carson/Bush ahead
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Author Topic: WV/NC/VA-Hickman Analytics: Hillary & Huckabee/Carson/Bush ahead  (Read 370 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 11, 2015, 09:08:13 AM »

Numbers below are for "likely primary voters":

WV:

GOP

18% Huckabee
15% Bush
10% Walker
  8% Paul
  8% Carson
  7% Cruz
  6% Rubio
  4% Perry
  3% Christie
  3% Santorum
  2% Fiorina
  0% Graham
16% Undecided

Dems

46% Clinton
16% Biden
  7% Sanders
  5% O'Malley
  4% Webb
  1% Chafee
21% Undecided

NC:

GOP

11% Carson
10% Walker
  9% Bush
  8% Huckabee
  7% Rubio
  7% Cruz
  6% Paul
  6% Christie
  3% Graham
  3% Perry
  3% Fiorina
  2% Santorum
24% Undecided

Dems

54% Clinton
16% Biden
10% Sanders
  2% O'Malley
  1% Chafee
  0% Webb
17% Undecided

VA:

GOP

17% Bush
  9% Rubio
  9% Paul
  9% Walker
  9% Cruz
  8% Carson
  8% Huckabee
  6% Christie
  3% Graham
  2% Fiorina
  2% Perry
  2% Santorum
16% Undecided

Dems

57% Clinton
13% Sanders
  9% Webb
  8% Biden
  1% O'Malley
  0% Chafee
11% Undecided

https://www.dropbox.com/s/15mt5zvjxwlj9ie/Infrastructure%20Memo%20and%20crosstabs%2C%20NC%2C%20VA%2C%20WV.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 11, 2015, 09:22:05 AM »

It should be noted that the sample sizes are very small for each contest:

For "likely primary voters", the sample sizes are between 150-200 people in the GOP/DEM primaries.

For the broader group of "primary voters" (which I did not post), the numbers are between 200-300 voters polled.

The MoE is therefore between 6% (all primary voters) and 8% (likely primary voters).
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