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  KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-PPP: Bevin leads Conway by 3; Republicans also ahead in down-ballot races  (Read 8389 times)
Bandit3 the Worker
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Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« on: June 23, 2015, 07:19:41 pm »

This poll is a complete joke: Grimes and Edelen aren't going to lose, obviously, let alone to such weak opponents.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #1 on: June 23, 2015, 07:36:41 pm »

PPP is not known for being junk. There is nothing to counter their data at this point.

Bevin losing the last poll by 11 sort of counters it.

Bevin being Bevin sort of counters it too.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #2 on: June 23, 2015, 10:59:01 pm »

Kentucky Democrats can survive.

They will, sooner or later. Even this poll has Conway handily winning the youngest voters.

My big worry is that it'll happen too late.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #3 on: June 23, 2015, 11:11:57 pm »

I guess we'll just have to wait and see.

The Democrats will come back in all 50 states sooner or later, thanks to the age gap - unless the current 2-party system somehow falls by the wayside, which is possible but not probable.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #4 on: June 24, 2015, 08:33:57 am »

Clinton is competetive in Ohio, Colo and Va states that are more friendly towards Dems. Conway had ethical issues in 2010.

What ethical issues are these? If he had ethical issues, trust me, it would be all over the Kentucky media by now.

I know he's not that great. But ethical issues???
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #5 on: June 24, 2015, 08:34:45 am »

How on earth does Clinton impact this race?

Maybe Clinton is just so far ahead so early that it helps the Democrats overall.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #6 on: June 24, 2015, 11:27:27 am »

A poll significantly after the GOP primary contention has way more validity though.

A 14-point swing to the GOP, despite scandal after scandal?
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Bandit3 the Worker
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #7 on: July 17, 2015, 11:18:20 am »

Why haven't we seen any new polls on this, and what would the numbers be like after the past few weeks of Bevin gaffes and scandals?
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #8 on: July 17, 2015, 11:33:05 am »

What new gaffes and scandals? Did Bevin vote for Buchanan in 2000 or what? Please enlighten us.

All of them.

He's been caught in several lies, and his support of cockfighting is ridiculous.

Then again, I guess it could help him, since his right-wing base tends to double down on stuff lately.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #9 on: July 17, 2015, 12:14:44 pm »

Roll Eyes If this is the best Conway has, Bevin will win by double digits.

Trust me, it isn't. Conway at least has run a good campaign so far.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #10 on: July 17, 2015, 12:24:08 pm »

Sabato moves the race from Toss-up to Leans Republican

I think Sabato is being too optimistic on the Republican side. I mean, seriously, the republicans are running Matt Bevin, the guy who was supposed to give McConnell this huge challenge and then lost by 25. Meanwhile, Conway was elected in a landslide to both of his terms as Attorney General.

That is true, but on the other hand, Conway's opponents were Stan Lee and Todd P'Pool. He beat P'Pool pretty handily, but it should have been an absolute blowout, since after all it was Todd P'Pool.
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Bandit3 the Worker
Populist3
YaBB God
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Posts: 6,559


Political Matrix
E: -10.00, S: -9.92

« Reply #11 on: July 17, 2015, 12:26:31 pm »

P'Pool is so bad that in 2014 he lost re-election as County Attorney in Hopkins County, of all places. That should have been a GOP slam-dunk, since he was an incumbent Republican in 2014 in a rural county.
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