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Author Topic: NV-PPP for Democratic PAC: Masto (D) leads Heck (R) by 1.  (Read 1908 times)
Senator Cris
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« on: July 15, 2015, 03:05:55 pm »

Masto (D) 42%
Heck (R) 41%

http://origin.ralstonreports.com/blog/democratic-poll-shows-nevada-senate-race-dead-heat-hillary-state
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olowakandi
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« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2015, 03:15:52 pm »

Much better than that R poll that had her down by 15.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: July 15, 2015, 03:47:57 pm »

If they're doing internal polls, will we have any real ones from them?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: July 15, 2015, 03:53:17 pm »

Excellent, Lean D. All the Hillary voters will come to Masto.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: July 15, 2015, 04:12:59 pm »

I wish we can get decent polls here.

Excellent, Lean D. All the Hillary voters will come to Masto.

I hope you're joking.
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King Francis I
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« Reply #5 on: July 15, 2015, 04:42:27 pm »

If they're doing internal polls, will we have any real ones from them?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: July 15, 2015, 06:16:30 pm »

I wish we can get decent polls here.

Excellent, Lean D. All the Hillary voters will come to Masto.

I hope you're joking.

Half joking
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #7 on: July 15, 2015, 07:50:16 pm »

Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be. 
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: July 15, 2015, 08:07:40 pm »

Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be. 

Never say always

Assuming polling bias will ALWAYS make you look like an arse.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #9 on: July 15, 2015, 09:00:46 pm »

The GOP would have won this race with Reid. But, CCM is a very formiable opponent.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #10 on: July 15, 2015, 11:22:29 pm »

Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be.  

Never say always

Assuming polling bias will ALWAYS make you look like an arse.

I meant the day before the election (and yes, polling 16 months out is also useless). 
« Last Edit: July 15, 2015, 11:24:39 pm by Fuzzybigfoot »Logged
Mayor Steve Pearce
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« Reply #11 on: July 15, 2015, 11:29:02 pm »

So basically it confirms what we all knew.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: July 16, 2015, 12:34:45 am »

I wish we can get decent polls here.

Excellent, Lean D. All the Hillary voters will come to Masto.

I hope you're joking.

Half joking

At least say declaring it Lean D when a Democratic poll finds the margin within error is absurd.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #13 on: July 16, 2015, 04:05:35 am »

Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be. 
It was the same discourse of the 2014 Colorado Senate race.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/co/colorado_senate_gardner_vs_udall-3845.html
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olowakandi
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« Reply #14 on: July 16, 2015, 09:57:40 am »

Clinton isnt gonna make the same mistake as Obama, and leave immigration reform up to Boehner. She will aggressively persue reform efforts during the campaign, giving CCM a lift.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
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« Reply #15 on: July 17, 2015, 07:27:32 pm »

Democrats always seem to under-poll in Nevada, so if the polls say "tied race" it probably won't be. 
It was the same discourse of the 2014 Colorado Senate race.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/co/colorado_senate_gardner_vs_udall-3845.html

(Gardner actually won by 1.9, not 2.5) True, there was no Republican bias in polling of the 2014 Colorado Senate race, but that was in a year when most polls had a noticeable Democratic bias. The Republican bias in Colorado and Nevada polling in 2010 and 2012 was larger than in most states. So, while it isn't a safe assumption that polling in 2016 in these states will have a Republican bias, it's not an unfounded assumption.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #16 on: July 27, 2015, 08:11:10 pm »

New Poll: Nevada Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2015-07-14

Summary: D: 42%, R: 41%, I: 0%, U: 17%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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