Argentina Legislative Election 2017
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Author Topic: Argentina Legislative Election 2017  (Read 16053 times)
FredLindq
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« Reply #100 on: August 14, 2017, 02:03:47 AM »
« edited: August 14, 2017, 02:31:51 AM by FredLindq »

Results PASO
Senate elections
Buenos Aires
Cambiemos 34,2%
UC 34,1
F1Pais 15,6
FJ 5,9
FIT 3,4
My prediction was a won for UC with Camb second. Lets see how this ends in the real elections

Formosa
FPV 54,5%
Cambiemos 35,6
PO (left) 2,3
My prediction FPV win Camb second. Was right.

Juyjuy
Cambiemos 36,3%
FJ 30,5
FR (UNA) 13,3
FIT 11,3
My prediction Camb win and FJ second. Was right. However thought FCV stood there and not FJ so federal peronist second not Kirchenistas

La Rioja
FJ (Menem) 44,6%
Cambiemos 36,1
MNG (Kirchenistas) 7,0
FIT 2,5
My prediction Camb win and FJ second. Was wrong. However Menem has been banned from standing so leta see how this ends.

Missiones
CS 41,0%
Cambiemos 28,6
PAS (Kirchenistas) 11,5
My prediction CS win and Camb second. Was right.

San Juan
FT 49,1%
Cambiemos 30,4
1Pais (UNA) 6,5
My prediction FT win and Camb second. Was right.

San Luis
Cambiemos 57,5%
FUJ 38,5
FIT 1,8

My prediction FUJ win and Camb second. Was wrong. Underestimated the ex governor ex Peronist now Avsnzar.

Santa Cruz
Cambiemos 45,9%
FPV 28,5
FIT 7,7

My prediction Camb win and FPV second. Was right.

In total
Cambiemos 12
PJ/FPV/UC Kirchenistas 5
Kirchenista allies 2
PJ/Peronista federal 5
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FredLindq
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« Reply #101 on: August 14, 2017, 03:24:52 AM »
« Edited: August 15, 2017, 04:43:07 AM by FredLindq »

Results PASO
Diputados elections
Cambiemos 59
A gain off 20

PJ/UC/FPV Kirchenistas 27
Buenos Aires FC, Catamarca and Nequen FUC, Chubut, Rio Negro, and Santa Cruz FPV, Cordoba FCC, Formosa AFPV, San Luis FUJ, Santa Fe FJ, Tirrea del Fuego FCyS
A loss off 3

PJ non Kirchenistas 23
Buenos Aires FJ, City of Buenos Aires UP, Catamarca FJPV , Chaco CMM, Corrientes JPM, Entre Rios SER, Juyjuj and Tucuman FJ, La Pama PJ-LP, La Rioja FJR, Mendoza FSM, Salta FUyR, San Juan FT
 
FPV-allies 5
CS (FRC) 2
No change

FCyS 3
No change

UNA (Massas federal peronism) 12
A loss off 9

Progresistas 1
Socialists  1
A loss off 6

Left 0
FTI-TS 0
A loss off 5

Others 0
JSRV (Rio Negro) 0 but is close
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RodPresident
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« Reply #102 on: August 14, 2017, 08:19:46 PM »

I'm sad to say, but unless Macri massively collapses in next 2 years, CFK presidential chances are very weak. Her only chance is to reunite all of Peronist factions (Massa, De La Sota, Randazzo, Rodriguez Saa brothers). And I'm surprised that historic Partido Intransigente appeared well at Mendoza.
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sb95
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« Reply #103 on: August 15, 2017, 01:18:12 AM »

I'm sad to say, but unless Macri massively collapses in next 2 years, CFK presidential chances are very weak. Her only chance is to reunite all of Peronist factions (Massa, De La Sota, Randazzo, Rodriguez Saa brothers). And I'm surprised that historic Partido Intransigente appeared well at Mendoza.
Yeah i don't get what happen in Mendoza with the PI, maybe some social democrat/progressive group of politians revive the party just locally.
About Cristina, yes even if she wins the senate race (which is possible because the 5% of votes that are still to be counted were in the greater buenos aires region where she won by a wide margin), the election is still seen as a defeat. The majority of the polls were giving her a 5/6 percent margin ahead of Bullrich (Cambiemos). Even the goverment thought that they would lose the province of Buenos Aires. Also, Cambiemos won in Santa Cruz Province by a wide margin of almost 25%, which is the "birthplace" of Kirchnerism.
Probably the results of the general election in October won't be much different from this primaries, Cambiemos will win some seats in deputies and in senators, but it will still need to negotiate with the different peronists sectors for the approval of laws. I think that if they repeat this results, this will give the goverment a big impulse to push forward for wider reforms specially regarding taxes, social security and particularly since the brazilian reform, in labor to remain competitive.
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EnglishPete
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« Reply #104 on: October 22, 2017, 06:58:49 AM »

Interesting article here on today's vote talking about the Maldonado case (his body was found five days ago) as well as the Kirchner corruption cases and the possible impact of these cases on today's vote

https://medium.com/@politicsarg/rough-guide-to-argentinas-midterm-election-and-the-maldonado-case-8006d3ab2a64
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #105 on: October 22, 2017, 08:33:49 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2017, 09:37:33 PM by Alex »

Buenos Aires Province (98 reported)
Senate
Esteban Bullrich (Cambiemos): 41.3% (2)
Cristina Kirchner (Unidad Ciudadana): 37.3% (1)
Sergio Massa (1 País): 11.3
Florencio Randazzo (Cumplir): 5.3
Néstor Pitrola (FIT): 4.8%

Deputies
Graciela Ocaña (C): 42.1 (15)
Fernanda Vallejos (U): 36.3   (13)
Felipe Solá (1P): 11 (4)
Nicolás Del Cano (FIT) : 5.3 (2)
"Bali" Bucca (Cumplir): 5.2 (1)

A great election for Cambiemos, I don't think even they expected to get such a large percentage and more than decent results by Randazzo and FiT









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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #106 on: October 22, 2017, 08:42:14 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2017, 08:53:07 PM by Alex »

Buenos Aires City (100% reported)
Deputies
"Lilita" Carrió (Vamos Juntos) : 51 (8 seats)
Daniel Filmus (Unidad P): 21.7 (3 Seats)
Martín Lousteau (Evolución): 12.3 (2 Seats)
Marcelo Ramal (FIT): 5.8
Matías Tombolini (1P): 4.9
Luis Zamora (AyL): 4.3

No big changes in the results for the three parties that got seats, some wins for the left and 1P over their results in the PASO, but not enough to win seats
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Lumine
LumineVonReuental
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« Reply #107 on: October 22, 2017, 08:42:49 PM »

Go Macri!
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #108 on: October 22, 2017, 09:14:44 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2017, 09:38:45 PM by Alex »

Santa Fe (83% reportes)
Cambiemos: 38.1 (5)
Frente Justicialista : 25.4 (3)
Frente Progresista: 14.3 (1)
Un Proyecto: 4.6
Unite:4
Ciudad Futura: 3.8
Partido Popular:1.2
F Socialista y Popular : 2.8
Frente de Izquierda: 2.2
Espacio Grande: 1.7

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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #109 on: October 22, 2017, 09:22:56 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2017, 09:39:53 PM by Alex »

Córdoba (98%)
Deputies
Frente Cambiemos 48.4 (5)
Union por Cordoba 30.6 (3)
Frente Córdoba Ciudadana 9.8 (1)
Encuentro Vecinal[/coral] 3.6
Frente de Izquierda y los Trabajadores 3.3
Primero la Gente 2.5
Izquierda al Frente por el Socialismo 2
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #110 on: October 22, 2017, 09:26:58 PM »
« Edited: October 22, 2017, 09:41:03 PM by Alex »

Mendoza(98%)
Cambiemos 45.7 (3)
Somos Mendoza25.4 (1)
Partido Intransigente 17.2 (1)
Frente de Izquierda y de los Trabajadores 11.7
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #111 on: October 22, 2017, 09:47:25 PM »

Entre Ríos (100%)
Deputies
Frente Cambiemos 53 (3)
Somos Entre Ríos 38 (2)
Nueva Izquierda 4.8
Partido Socialista 4.3
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Lexii, harbinger of chaos and sexual anarchy
Alex
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« Reply #112 on: October 22, 2017, 09:55:40 PM »

Tucumán (100%)
Deputies
Frente Justicialista 46.9 (2)
Cambiemos para el Bicentenario 32.6 (2)
Fuerza Republicana 15.8
Frente Izquierda de los Trabajadores 4.8
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